Shelbourne vs Bohemians Match Preview
Betting Predictions Ireland Premier Division
Posted on April 07, 2025

Shelbourne vs Bohemians: AI Tips


The Dublin Derby Returns: Shelbourne vs Bohemians Betting Insights

Historic Rivalry Meets Premier Division Stakes

One of Ireland’s most storied football rivalries reignites on April 11 as Shelbourne take on Bohemians in the always-heated Dublin Derby. With kickoff set for 19:45 UTC at Tolka Park, this Premier Division fixture promises not just local bragging rights, but also crucial points in the league table.

Both sides have a rich history in Irish football, and while Shelbourne have the edge in form and numbers, Bohemians are no strangers to upsetting the odds. But when it comes to betting angles, this matchup offers some compelling value—especially when backed by data-driven insights.

Current Form and Tactical Overview

Shelbourne have shown a steady hand lately, winning 4 of their last 10 matches while conceding only 0.7 goals per game. Their average possession sits at a tidy 55.8%, and they’re firing off nearly 15 shots per game. Defensively solid and patient in buildup, they’ve made Tolka Park a tough place to visit.

Bohemians, on the other hand, are slightly more unpredictable but dangerous. With 5 wins in their last 10, they average 1.9 goals per game—significantly higher than Shelbourne—but also concede more at 1.1 goals per game. Their 52% possession rate and 14 shots per match suggest a team willing to take risks.

In their most recent head-to-head, the teams played out a 1-1 draw, highlighting just how evenly matched they can be on any given day.

Betting Odds and Market Movement

Bookmakers currently have Shelbourne as the clear favorites:

  • Home Win: 1.73
  • Draw: 3.50
  • Away Win: 5.00

These odds reflect not only Shelbourne’s superior home form but also the overall trend in the Premier Division, where home teams win 37.8% of matches. That’s a significant edge in a league known for its parity.

AI-Powered Prediction: Back the Home Side

NerdyTips AI NT 4.0, a trusted name in predictive football analytics, gives the strongest recommendation as Home Win (1) with 8.2/10 confidence. With odds at 1.73, this tip aligns with both statistical trends and current form.

The AI model expects a final score of 1-0, also projecting a 60% possession rate for Shelbourne, with 17 total shots and 4 on target. Bohemians are expected to muster 10 shots, with just 3 hitting the target.

Goals Market: Low-Scoring Derby on the Cards?

While Bohemians have been involved in high-scoring affairs recently—6 of their last 10 matches saw over 2.5 goals—Shelbourne tend to keep things tight. Only 2 of their last 10 games featured more than 2.5 goals.

This makes the Under 2.5 Goals market (odds at 1.62) an interesting secondary play, though AI confidence is moderate at 5.5/10. Given the derby nature of the fixture and Shelbourne’s solid defense, it’s reasonable to expect a cagey affair.

Statistical Deep Dive

Looking at the numbers over a broader sample:

  • Shelbourne win rate: 39.0% (last 123 games)
  • Bohemians win rate: 36.0% (last 114 games)
  • Both teams scored in 48.0% of Shelbourne’s matches and 52.6% of Bohemians’
  • Draws: 35.8% for Shelbourne, 26.3% for Bohemians

This suggests a draw is not out of the question, but Shelbourne’s consistent home form gives them the edge.

Discipline, Set Pieces & Tactical Nuances

Expect a balanced game in terms of set pieces and discipline. Both sides are projected to earn 4 corners and receive 2 yellow cards each. These metrics point to a well-contested, but not overly aggressive, derby.

Shelbourne’s expected dominance in possession (60%) and more frequent shooting opportunities (17 shots) suggest they’ll control the tempo and force Bohemians to play on the counter.

Final Verdict and Best Bet

All signs—from AI models to form tables—point toward a narrow home win. Shelbourne have the structure, the midfield control, and the recent consistency to edge this one.

Best Tip: Shelbourne to Win (1) at 1.73

Confidence: 8.2/10 (AI-generated)

For punters seeking a slightly more conservative approach, pairing Shelbourne to win with Under 2.5 Goals could offer added value in a double bet. But for those looking to keep things simple, the straight home win is the most sensible play.

SEO Bonus: Keywords to Watch

For those searching for Irish football tips, Premier Division betting odds, or Dublin Derby predictions, this match ticks all the boxes. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just looking for the best football tips today, this is one derby you won’t want to miss.

So set your reminders for April 11, 19:45 UTC—because the Dublin Derby might just be your bet of the day.