Shelbourne vs St Patrick’s Athl.: AI Tips

The Dublin Derby: Shelbourne vs St Patrick’s Athl.

One of Ireland’s most fiercely contested rivalries reignites as Shelbourne host St Patrick’s Athletic in the Premier Division. With both teams battling for supremacy, this fixture promises tension, tactical discipline, and—if history is any guide—a low-scoring affair. Powered by NerdyTips AI NT 4.0, we break down the key betting insights for this high-stakes encounter.

Match Overview

Scheduled for May 9, 2025, at 19:45 UTC, this derby pits Shelbourne’s resilience against St Patrick’s slightly superior recent form. The odds reflect a tight contest:

– Shelbourne win: 2.95
– Draw: 3.20
– St Patrick’s win: 2.38

St Patrick’s enter as slight favorites, but Shelbourne’s home advantage and gritty style could tip the scales.

Key Betting Insights

Best Tip: Under 2.5 Goals (1.64 odds, 6.5/10 confidence)

The data strongly suggests a cagey match. Only 39.1% of Premier Division games exceed 2.5 goals, and Shelbourne’s recent form (1.0 goals scored, 1.2 conceded per match) aligns with this trend. St Patrick’s, while more prolific, average just 1.2 goals per game and face a Shelbourne side likely to prioritize defensive solidity.

1X2 Market: Lean Toward Shelbourne or Draw (1.57 odds)

With a 2.0/10 confidence, the AI suggests Shelbourne avoiding defeat is a safer play. St Patrick’s have won 47.4% of their last 133 matches, but Shelbourne’s home record (38% wins, 36.4% draws) hints at resilience. The 1X double chance covers both a home win and a stalemate—a prudent choice given the derby’s unpredictability.

Expected Scoreline: 1-0 Shelbourne

The AI projects a narrow home victory, with a 0-0 halftime scoreline likely. Shelbourne’s slight edge in possession (52%) and shots (13 vs. 10) could prove decisive in a match where chances may be scarce.

Historical Context & Recent Form

– Head-to-Head: Their last meeting ended 3-2 to St Patrick’s, but derbies often defy form.
– Shelbourne’s Last 10: 2 wins, 4 matches over 2.5 goals.
– St Patrick’s Last 10: 4 wins, but only 4 matches over 2.5 goals.

While St Patrick’s are more clinical, Shelbourne’s defensive organization (just 1.2 goals conceded per game) could frustrate the visitors.

Final Betting Verdict

For value, the under 2.5 goals bet stands out. Derbies are often tense, and with both teams averaging low goal totals, a tight game is probable. The 1X double chance offers insurance, while a correct score punt on 1-0 could reward bold bettors.

Keep an eye on team news, but as it stands, the data points toward a tactical, low-scoring battle in Dublin.

Bet of the Day: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.64