Tips for the Normandy Derby: Quevilly vs Rouen

Normandy Heats Up as Quevilly Host Rouen

The Normandy Derby returns with all eyes on Quevilly vs Rouen in France’s National 1 league. Scheduled for April 18, 2025, at 18:30 UTC, this regional rivalry isn’t just about bragging rights—it’s a tactical battle with serious betting potential. Both teams are mid-table contenders, and with tightly balanced odds, this fixture promises tension, not fireworks.

Betting Odds and Market Overview

Bookmakers are calling it close: a home win for Quevilly sits at 2.63, a draw at 2.64, and a win for Rouen slightly longer at 2.88. These odds reflect the unpredictable nature of this derby and underline the value in alternative betting markets.

According to NerdyTips AI NT 4.0, the top betting recommendation is the Under 2.5 goals market, priced at 1.56 with a confidence rating of 4.9/10. While not a high-confidence call, the data points in that direction—and the stats back it up.

Why Under 2.5 Goals is the Best Tip

Across their last 10 matches, Quevilly have averaged just 0.6 goals per game, scoring more than once only twice. Their games have gone over 2.5 goals just 3 times. Rouen, while slightly more productive at 1.3 goals per game, have also remained relatively conservative, with 5 of their last 10 matches surpassing the 2.5-goal threshold.

The predicted final score is 0:1 in favor of Rouen, with a first-half scoreline expected to be 0:0. This aligns well with the Under 2.5 goal tip and suggests a slow-burning match, where chances are few and margins are fine.

Head-to-Head and Form Guide

Quevilly’s recent form has been patchy. With just 2 wins in their last 10 fixtures, they’ve struggled to find rhythm, although their 1-1 draw away at Paris FC in November 2024 was a notable surprise. That result, achieved with pre-match odds of 7.5 for a Quevilly win, showed their resilience against stronger sides.

Rouen have been more consistent, claiming 4 wins in their last 10. Their 1-1 draw against Ligue 1 side Monaco in February 2024—despite Monaco being heavily favored at 1.25 odds—was a statement of intent. They’ve proven they can compete, and in this derby, they may just have the edge.

1X2 Prediction: Rouen to Win

NerdyTips AI gives Rouen the nod in the 1X2 market, albeit with a low confidence rating of 2.7/10. At odds of 2.88, it’s a risky but potentially rewarding pick. Given Rouen’s recent form and Quevilly’s lack of firepower, a narrow away win feels plausible. The AI’s call for a 0:1 result reinforces this scenario.

Final Betting Insight

While the 1X2 market offers value, the smartest play is sticking with the Under 2.5 goals at 1.56. The data, form, and AI projection all point toward a tight, low-scoring affair—typical of high-stakes regional derbies like this one. Expect a tense 90 minutes in Normandy.