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Match Prediction

Al Najma vs Al Riyadh Prediction

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Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Najma

€11.70m

28 Jan10:20
1 : 1

Al Riyadh

€184.80m

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Al Najma vs Al Riyadh Prediction Pro League

Al Najma vs Al Riyadh Prediction: Odds, Stats & Expert Insights

Welcome to our Al Najma vs Al Riyadh prediction, where we break down everything you need to know ahead of this crucial Saudi Pro League fixture. With both teams desperate for points and the odds offering some tasty options, football fans can expect an intriguing afternoon on January 28, 2026, at 15:20 GMT. Let’s dive into the details, stats, and betting tips you need before kick-off.

Setting the Stage: Stadium Switch and Current Standings

This match won’t be played at Al Najma’s usual home in Unaizah, as their stadium didn’t pass the league’s technical and safety checks. Instead, both teams will take to the pitch at King Abdullah Sport City Stadium in Buraidah—a neutral ground, but still “home” for Al Najma on paper.

Here’s the reality: both Al Najma and Al Riyadh are in the relegation zone, fighting for survival. Al Najma sits rock bottom in 18th place with just 4 points from 17 matches—still searching for their first win. Their recent form? Not great: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, 7 goals scored, and 11 conceded in the last five games. They did manage a gritty 0-0 draw away at Al Shabab, which gives a glimmer of hope defensively, but followed it up with a 1-3 defeat to Al-Qadsiah FC.

Al Riyadh is only slightly better off. With 9 points from 15 matches, they’re 16th in the table. Their last five games have produced 3 draws and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 10. The big talking point? Holding league leaders Al Hilal to a 1-1 draw—a result that surprised almost everyone given the betting odds. Before that, they drew 2-2 against Al Akhdoud, showing they can score but struggle to keep things tight at the back.

Head-to-Head, Team News, and Tactics

  • Head to head: In their last meeting (September 2025), Al Riyadh edged out Al Najma 2-1.
  • Al Najma key players: Romell Quioto, Deybi Flores, Ali Jasim, Samir, Jawad El Yamiq, Victor Braga, Lázaro, and Bilal Boutobba.
  • Injuries: Defender Mohammed Al-Kunaydiri (cruciate ligament, out until July 2026) and Nasser Al-Haleel (unknown injury) are both sidelined for Al Najma.
  • Al Riyadh key players: Milan Borjan (goalkeeper), Mamadou Sylla (6 goals), Teddy Okou, Ibrahim Bayesh, and Toze. No major injuries reported.
  • Coaches: Al Najma is led by Mário Silva, while Al Riyadh’s bench is marshaled by José Daniel Carreño (appointed November 2025).

Expect both sides to start cautiously—Al Najma will try to make the most of their “home” advantage, while Al Riyadh may look to pick them off on the counter. The midfield tussle should be lively, as both teams know this is a must-not-lose fixture.

Betting Odds, Predictions, and Stats to Know

  • 1X2 betting odds: Home win (3.0), Draw (3.5), Away win (2.43)
  • Most profitable bet (according to NerdyTips’ AI): Over 1.5 total goals at 1.32 (trust rating: 7.3/10)
  • 1X2 market prediction: 1X (home win or draw) at odds of 1.62 (confidence: 2.0)
  • Final score prediction: 2-0 to Al Najma
  • Half-time prediction: 0-0
  • Possession forecast: Al Najma 55%, Al Riyadh 45%
  • Total shots: 12 for Al Najma, 17 for Al Riyadh
  • Shots on target: 4 for Al Najma, 5 for Al Riyadh
  • Total corners: 4 for Al Najma, 5 for Al Riyadh (total: 9)
  • Yellow cards: 0 for Al Najma, 1 for Al Riyadh
  • Squad value: Al Najma €11.70m, Al Riyadh €184.80m

Our Al Najma vs Al Riyadh prediction leans towards a low-scoring first half, with both teams likely to keep things tight before risking more after the break. The AI gives the “over 1.5 total goals” market a strong nod, which makes sense given both teams’ recent defensive lapses and the pressure to get a result. The 1X prediction (home win or draw) is interesting—especially since Al Najma are still looking for their first win, but recent draws suggest they’re tightening up.

Final Thoughts and Betting Tips

  1. Over 1.5 goals is the safest bet—both teams have leaky defenses and need to attack at some point.
  2. 1X (home win or draw) offers value, especially if you believe Al Najma can finally break their winless streak at their “borrowed” home ground.
  3. Expect a cagey start, but don’t be shocked if the second half opens up with more chances and goals.

In summary, our Al Najma vs Al Riyadh prediction is for a tense, tactical battle that eventually delivers goals—just maybe not right away. Keep an eye on the total goals market and enjoy what could be a season-defining match for both sides. Good luck, and may your bets be as accurate as our AI’s stats!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Najma vs Al Riyadh

O1.5 -313

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -313
7/10

1x2 Tip

1X -161

Al Najma to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -313

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No 115

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 108

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

1.05
xG
0.9
55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots Off Goal
7
4
Corners
5

Average / Match

0.75
Expected Goals
0.74
3.2
Total Goals
3
1.2
Goals Scored
0.9
2
Goals Against
2.1
40%
Possession
38%
9.7
Total Shots
13.3
3.2
Shots on Goal
4.2
3.5
Shots off Goal
5.8
9.7
Fouls
14.5
3.2
Corners
4.2
2.7
Offsides
1.5
361
Total Passes
338

Overview Last 10 Matches

0
Wins
0
7
Over 1.5 Goals
10
6
Over 2.5 Goals
6
5
Over 3.5 Goals
4
7
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al Najma
0 - 1 - 2
Al Riyadh
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 14-Sep-25
2:1
Al Najma Al Najma
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 07-Jan-17
2:2
Al Najma Al Najma
Al Najma Al Najma 04-Nov-16
1:2
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Najma

25 JanL Al Najma Al Najma.
1:3
Al Qadisiya. Al Qadisiya
20 JanD Al Shabab Al Shabab.
0:0
Al Najma. Al Najma
16 JanD Al Najma Al Najma.
1:1
Al Fateh. Al Fateh
12 JanL Al Hazem Al Hazem.
3:2
Al Najma. Al Najma
08 JanL Al Najma Al Najma.
3:4
Al Ettifaq. Al Ettifaq
02 JanD Al Najma Al Najma.
2:2
Al Khaleej. Al Khaleej
29 DecL Al Taawon Al Taawon.
1:0
Al Najma. Al Najma
25 DecL Neom SC Neom SC.
2:1
Al Najma. Al Najma
22 NovD Damac Damac.
0:0
Al Najma. Al Najma
07 NovL Al Najma Al Najma.
2:4
Al Hilal. Al Hilal

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Riyadh

25 JanDAl Riyadh Al Riyadh.
1:1
Al Hilal.Al Hilal
21 JanDAl Okhdood Al Okhdood.
2:2
Al Riyadh.Al Riyadh
18 JanLAl Riyadh Al Riyadh.
1:3
Al Taawon.Al Taawon
13 JanLAl Fateh Al Fateh.
3:1
Al Riyadh.Al Riyadh
10 JanDAl Riyadh Al Riyadh.
1:1
Al Fayha.Al Fayha
04 JanLAl Qadisiya Al Qadisiya.
4:0
Al Riyadh.Al Riyadh
29 DecLAl Riyadh Al Riyadh.
1:2
Al Hazem.Al Hazem
25 DecLAl Riyadh Al Riyadh.
0:2
Al Ettifaq.Al Ettifaq
21 NovLAl Ittihad Al Ittihad.
2:1
Al Riyadh.Al Riyadh
06 NovDAl Riyadh Al Riyadh.
1:1
Damac.Damac

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi17
45-16
45
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah17
29-12
40
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah17
41-16
39
4 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr16
44-18
37
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon16
35-19
35
6 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq17
27-26
29
7 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC16
29-20
27
8 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej17
37-27
25
9 NEOM NEOM17
21-28
21
10 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh17
22-31
21
11 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm16
17-29
17
12 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha17
16-31
17
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood17
25-32
15
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab17
14-25
13
15 Damac Damac16
13-28
11
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh17
17-37
11
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood16
13-31
9
18 Al Najma Al Najma17
17-36
4
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