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Match Prediction

Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa Prediction

Finished

Alanyaspor

€28.40m

23 Nov10:00
1 : 2

Kasimpasa

€18.88m

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Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa Prediction Süper Lig

Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa Prediction: Form, Tactics, and AI Insights

The Süper Lig is serving up another intriguing contest, and our Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa prediction aims to break down everything you need to know before the two sides meet on November 23, 2025, at Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadium. With both teams eager to climb the table and recent form suggesting a tight affair, this preview will guide you through tactics, key players, head to head history, and the latest betting odds—plus our AI-powered predictions for the big day.

Team News, Tactics, and Recent Form

Alanyaspor, currently sitting 8th in the Süper Lig with 15 points, have become the league’s draw specialists—splitting the points in half of their last six matches. Under João Pereira, who took the reins earlier this year, Alanyaspor have built a reputation for being tough to break down. Their defense is among the best in the league, conceding just 1.0 goals per game, but their attack has struggled, with an average of only 0.9 goals scored per match. If you’re hoping for a goal fest, you might want to temper those expectations—Alanyaspor have failed to score in their last five home games.

Kasimpasa, meanwhile, are having a rougher ride. They find themselves 15th with 10 points, and have lost four of their last six matches. Shota Arveladze’s side is known for its attacking intent—last season, they were the fourth-best attack in the league, but also the third-worst defense. This season, the goals have dried up a bit, but the defensive frailties remain. Kasimpasa’s aggressive style, often using a 3.7-2 formation, means they’re always a threat going forward but can be exposed at the back, especially late in games.

Key Players and Injury Updates

Both teams are dealing with some injury headaches. Alanyaspor will be sweating on the fitness of Steve Mounié and Buluthan Bulut, both expected back around matchday, while Güven Yalçın remains sidelined. Young Nigerian forward Uchenna Ogundu is one to watch—his pace and power have made him a bright spot in attack. Ianis Hagi and Nuno Lima, both at risk of suspension, will need to keep their discipline.

Kasimpasa’s injury list is even longer. Captain Haris Hajradinović, who racked up 14 assists last season, is a major doubt with a muscle injury, and Cláudio Winck (their top scorer this season) is also struggling for fitness. The return of Yusuf Barasi and J. Espinoza could boost their options, but the squad is stretched thin.

Head to Head: History Favors the Visitors

When it comes to the Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa prediction, history leans towards the visitors. Kasimpasa have won 12 of their 22 meetings, including the last three in a row. In their most recent head to head, Kasimpasa edged a 2-1 win back in March 2025. Even with Alanyaspor’s stronger league position, Kasimpasa’s record in this fixture is hard to ignore.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and What to Expect

Let’s talk numbers. The current betting odds for this match are:

  • Home win: 1.94
  • Draw: 3.7
  • Away win: 4.2

Our AI-driven Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa prediction leans towards a 1X outcome (home win or draw), with a trust level of 7.1/10 and odds of 1.25. The most likely result in the 1x2 market is a home win, with a confidence rating of 5.6 and odds of 1.94. For total goals, under 3.7 is favored (trust level 6.8, odds 1.254), which fits perfectly with Alanyaspor’s defensive style and recent lack of goals at home.

The predicted final score? A tidy 1.94 win for Alanyaspor, with the home side expected to control 57% of the ball and outshoot Kasimpasa 14 to 11 (shots on target: 4-2). Both teams are expected to win five corners each, and discipline should be kept in check, with just one yellow card apiece.

Final Thoughts: Can Alanyaspor Break the Hoodoo?

While Kasimpasa’s head to head dominance can’t be ignored, the current form and squad depth favor Alanyaspor. The home side’s defensive solidity and Kasimpasa’s injury woes tip the scales towards the hosts—though with both teams’ recent knack for draws, a surprise isn’t out of the question. Still, our Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa prediction is a home win, with under 3.7 total goals the safest bet for punters.

If you’re looking for value, the 1X market at 1.25 is a solid option, but those feeling a bit braver might back Alanyaspor outright at 1.94. Just don’t expect a goal rush—unless both defenses decide to take the afternoon off, which, let’s be honest, would be very un-Alanyaspor.

For more head to head stats, betting odds, and expert Süper Lig predictions, keep it locked on NerdyTips. Enjoy the match—and may your bets be as safe as Alanyaspor’s back line!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa

1X -400

Alanyaspor to win or draw with odds of -400
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -106

Alanyaspor is expected to win with odds of -106
5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -222

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No 112

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -192

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

1.03
xG
0.77
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
5
5
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.03
Expected Goals
0.79
2.2
Total Goals
2.3
1.1
Goals Scored
0.9
1.1
Goals Against
1.4
46%
Possession
44%
12.8
Total Shots
11.4
4.1
Shots on Goal
2.8
5.9
Shots off Goal
5.6
11.9
Fouls
13
4.1
Corners
5.6
0.9
Offsides
1.2
2.5
Yellow Cards
1.89
376
Total Passes
323

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
2
7
Over 1.5 Goals
8
4
Over 2.5 Goals
3
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Alanyaspor
7 - 3 - 12
Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa Kasimpasa 15-Mar-25
2:1
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 20-Oct-24
1:2
Kasimpasa Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa Kasimpasa 04-Feb-24
2:1
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 17-Sep-23
3:3
Kasimpasa Kasimpasa
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 30-May-23
1:3
Kasimpasa Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa Kasimpasa 04-Jan-23
4:1
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
Kasimpasa Kasimpasa 13-Feb-22
2:2
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 23-Sep-21
2:0
Kasimpasa Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa Kasimpasa 03-May-21
3:0
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor

Profile time Recent Matches of Alanyaspor

18 Mar Alanyaspor Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor Kocaelispor -
14 MarD Goztepe Goztepe 2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2

Profile time Recent Matches of Kasimpasa

19 MarBesiktas Besiktas - Kasimpasa Kasimpasa -
15 MarWKasimpasa Kasimpasa 1 Eyupspor Eyupspor 0

Turkey - Süper Lig Turkey - Süper Lig

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Galatasaray Galatasaray26
62-18
64
2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe26
57-27
57
3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor26
52-29
57
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş26
45-30
47
5 Göztepe Göztepe26
30-20
43
6 Başakşehir Başakşehir26
44-30
42
7 Samsunspor Samsunspor26
28-30
35
8 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor26
23-27
33
9 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK26
35-42
33
10 Rizespor Rizespor26
32-36
30
11 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor26
28-32
28
12 Konyaspor Konyaspor26
30-39
27
13 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği26
28-34
26
14 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa26
22-36
24
15 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor26
25-43
24
16 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor26
19-37
22
17 Kayserispor Kayserispor26
19-47
20
18 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih26
24-46
17
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