Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Uruguay
Preview
The Albion vs CA Cerro prediction for Monday, 16 February 2.256 (22:00 GMT) feels like one of those Round 2 games that quietly shapes a whole Apertura. Both sides arrive needing points after opening-day defeats, and the setting at Parque Dr. Enrique Falco Lichtemberger adds that familiar Montevideo edge: tight spaces, loud opinions, and very little patience for slow starts.
Albion, Uruguay’s oldest club (founded in 1891), are back in the top flight as the 2.255 Segunda División champions, and they’ve treated promotion like a cue to rebuild. Federico Nieves, appointed on January 1, is trying to turn a newly assembled squad into something more possession-friendly than the pragmatic Segunda run. That takes time, and Liverpool’s 2–1 win on February 6 showed both the promise and the rough edges—Álvaro López at least put Albion’s first 2.256 league goal on the board.
Cerro arrive with a different kind of pressure. Gustavo Ferreyra’s teams are usually disciplined, but the 0–1 home loss to Danubio on February 9 continued a pattern: Cerro matches can become low-scoring, decision-heavy affairs where the first mistake matters most. Injuries also shape their week, with long-term absences including Yonatan Irrazábal and Facundo Butti (both ACL tears), plus Pablo Da Silveira sidelined.
On paper, Albion should try to use home advantage to push the tempo, but that also risks exposing defensive transitions—exactly where a cautious Cerro can look dangerous. Ferreyra can choose a compact 4-4-2 or 4-2-3.0, sit in, and make this about second balls and set plays rather than flowing attacks.
The 1X2 betting odds are tight: Albion win 2.25, draw 3.0, Cerro win 3.6. That’s basically the market saying “Albion are slightly better at home, but don’t expect comfort.” It also fits the relegation-table reality in Uruguay: early points matter, and teams often start cautiously when they’re already under pressure.
Here’s where the numbers lean into the story. NerdyTips’ most profitable pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.5, with a trust rating of 7.4/10. Our model also projects under 2.5 as the stronger under/over bet, confidence 6.3, and it even lands on a 0:0 full-time prediction—0:0 at the break too. That may sound brutal, but it matches Cerro’s recent trend of tight scorelines and Albion’s current reality: lots of new pieces, still learning each other’s timing in the final third.
And if you need a reminder that these teams can surprise without turning games into goal-fests: Albion once went to Atlético Torque as a 5.75 outsider and came out with a 2.25. Cerro, priced around 7.0, held Nacional to a shock 0–0 in late 2.255. The lesson isn’t “back chaos,” it’s that these sides can stick around in matches even when the script says otherwise.
For this Albion vs CA Cerro prediction, the safest logic follows the likely match rhythm: cautious, physical, and decided by details. If Albion control territory but Cerro control space, the best value may live in total goals rather than picking a winner. Under 2.5 is priced modestly, but it fits almost every clue we have—tactics, injuries, and the market’s narrow gap in the betting odds.
Read More
Derby match
U2.5 -200
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -200X 200
The match is expected to end in a drawUnder 2.5 -200
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -149
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 115
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:0
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|
0
-
0
-
2
|
|
 CA Cerro |
17-Sep-21
1:0
| Albion  |
| Albion |
01-Jun-21
1:2
| CA Cerro |
Recent Matches of Albion| 28 Feb |
Albion
| - |
Racing M
| - | |
| 21 Feb | D |
Boston River
| 0 |
Albion
| 0 |
| 16 Feb | W |
Albion
| 3 |
CA Cerro
| 0 |
| 06 Feb | L |
Albion
| 1 |
Liverpool M.
| 2 |
| 18 Jan | D |
Boston River
| 1 |
Albion
| 1 |
| 13 Jan | W |
Liverpool M.
| 0 |
Albion
| 2 |
| 26 Oct | D |
Albion
| 0 |
Central Esp.
| 0 |
| 19 Oct | L |
Tacuarembo
| 2 |
Albion
| 0 |
| 12 Oct | W |
Albion
| 4 |
Rentistas
| 1 |
| 04 Oct | L |
La Luz
| 1 |
Albion FC
| 0 |
Recent Matches of CA Cerro
| 27 Feb | CA Cerro |
- |  Boston River |
- | |
| 20 Feb | D | CA Cerro |
1 |  Liverpool M. |
1 |
| 16 Feb | L | Albion |
3 | CA Cerro |
0 |
| 09 Feb | L | CA Cerro |
0 |  Danubio |
1 |
| 15 Jan | L |  Racing M |
2 | CA Cerro |
1 |
| 09 Nov | D | CA Cerro |
0 | Boston River |
0 |
| 01 Nov | D | CA Cerro |
0 |  Nacional |
0 |
| 25 Oct | W | CA Cerro |
2 |  Penarol |
0 |
| 18 Oct | W |  Torque |
1 | CA Cerro |
2 |
| 12 Oct | W | Cerro |
1 |  Defensor |
0 |
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Central | 3 | 6-1 | 9 |
| 2 |
Club Nacional | 40 | 80-35 | 89 |
| 3 |
Penarol | 40 | 72-38 | 84 |
| 4 |
Deportivo | 3 | 7-4 | 6 |
| 5 |
Liverpool | 40 | 55-41 | 69 |
| 6 |
Defensor | 41 | 46-41 | 68 |
| 7 |
Juventud | 40 | 47-43 | 62 |
| 8 |
Racing | 40 | 46-43 | 57 |
| 9 |
Boston River | 40 | 51-43 | 56 |
| 10 |
Atletico | 41 | 62-56 | 56 |
| 11 |
Albion FC | 3 | 4-2 | 4 |
| 12 |
Cerro Largo | 40 | 43-44 | 52 |
| 13 |
Danubio | 40 | 44-45 | 49 |
| 14 |
Cerro | 40 | 34-47 | 48 |
| 15 |
Progreso | 40 | 38-66 | 39 |
| 16 |
Wanderers | 40 | 28-53 | 35 |
