Preview
The Almeria vs Cordoba prediction for Saturday, 2.226-02.221 (17:30 GMT) starts with one simple idea: this is an Andalusian derby with promotion pressure, and those games rarely stay quiet for long. They meet at the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Power Horse Stadium) with both sides sitting in the promotion picture, and both arriving with enough attacking form to make the usual “derby = under” rule feel risky.
Round 27 comes with a lot on the line. Almería are tracking around the top four after a winter that was not always smooth, but the recent trend is upward: a lively 3–2 win over Andorra and a valuable 2.22 away victory at Cádiz have put momentum back in Rubi’s camp. Córdoba are close behind in the playoff pack and have built a reputation as one of the more reliable away teams, backed by recent wins such as 2.22 against Leganés and 3–1 versus Valladolid.
This fixture also carries a rivalry balance that keeps “certainty” out of the betting slip. Over a long run of meetings, the record is close, and even when one side has the better squad on paper, the game tends to find its own logic.
Rubi usually sets Almería up in a 4-2-3-1, leaning on fast transitions and the individual quality in the attacking line. When Almería are good, they look direct without being rushed; when they struggle, it is often about small technical errors and a bit of tension when the match turns emotional. Rubi himself has spoken about keeping belief even on days when the performance is not clean.
Iván Ania’s Córdoba often resemble a 4-3-3 built around controlled possession and a measured build-up. He has publicly complimented Almería’s squad strength, which hints at a pragmatic plan: keep the ball when possible, but be ready to attack the space Almería can leave when they commit numbers forward.
The head to head can be interpreted in two directions. On one hand, Almería’s last recorded meeting on 2.224-11-26 was emphatic: 4–0, a reminder of how their ceiling can look when everything clicks. On the other hand, both clubs have recent history of punching above the market: Almería’s unexpected 2.22 away draw at Mallorca (priced as huge outsiders) and Córdoba’s 3–2 away win at Oviedo (also a big price) both point to volatility—great for neutrals, dangerous for anyone betting on a calm script.
Let’s bring the betting odds into focus: Home win 2.22, Draw 3.4, Away win 3.4. The market gives Almería a narrow edge, which matches the squad-value gap (€46.40m vs €15.80m), but it does not scream “home banker.” That fits the derby feel and Córdoba’s away competence.
The projected match stats support the goals angle more than the 1X2: possession is near-even (52% vs 48%), shots are high for both (14 vs 13), and on-target efforts are steady (5 vs 4). That is the profile of a game where both teams spend meaningful time in dangerous zones, even if neither fully controls the narrative. Corners are also tilted slightly toward Córdoba (3 vs 5), another hint they should have their own attacking sequences, not just survival phases.
So, the most practical Almeria vs Cordoba prediction for bettors is to focus on total goals rather than picking a winner. A derby with promotion pressure can tighten up, but the underlying numbers here point to chances at both ends—and the 2.22 model score is basically an invitation to treat “Over 2.5” as the cleaner, less emotional bet.
The Almeria vs Cordoba prediction for Saturday, 2.226-02.221 (17:30 GMT) starts with one simple idea: this is an Andalusian derby with promotion pressure, and those games rarely stay quiet for long. They meet at the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Power Horse Stadium) with both sides sitting in the promotion picture, and both arriving with enough attacking form to make the usual “derby = under” rule feel risky.
Round 27 comes with a lot on the line. Almería are tracking around the top four after a winter that was not always smooth, but the recent trend is upward: a lively 3–2 win over Andorra and a valuable 2.22 away victory at Cádiz have put momentum back in Rubi’s camp. Córdoba are close behind in the playoff pack and have built a reputation as one of the more reliable away teams, backed by recent wins such as 2.22 against Leganés and 3–1 versus Valladolid.
This fixture also carries a rivalry balance that keeps “certainty” out of the betting slip. Over a long run of meetings, the record is close, and even when one side has the better squad on paper, the game tends to find its own logic.
Rubi usually sets Almería up in a 4-2-3-1, leaning on fast transitions and the individual quality in the attacking line. When Almería are good, they look direct without being rushed; when they struggle, it is often about small technical errors and a bit of tension when the match turns emotional. Rubi himself has spoken about keeping belief even on days when the performance is not clean.
Iván Ania’s Córdoba often resemble a 4-3-3 built around controlled possession and a measured build-up. He has publicly complimented Almería’s squad strength, which hints at a pragmatic plan: keep the ball when possible, but be ready to attack the space Almería can leave when they commit numbers forward.
The head to head can be interpreted in two directions. On one hand, Almería’s last recorded meeting on 2.224-11-26 was emphatic: 4–0, a reminder of how their ceiling can look when everything clicks. On the other hand, both clubs have recent history of punching above the market: Almería’s unexpected 2.22 away draw at Mallorca (priced as huge outsiders) and Córdoba’s 3–2 away win at Oviedo (also a big price) both point to volatility—great for neutrals, dangerous for anyone betting on a calm script.
Let’s bring the betting odds into focus: Home win 2.22, Draw 3.4, Away win 3.4. The market gives Almería a narrow edge, which matches the squad-value gap (€46.40m vs €15.80m), but it does not scream “home banker.” That fits the derby feel and Córdoba’s away competence.
The projected match stats support the goals angle more than the 1X2: possession is near-even (52% vs 48%), shots are high for both (14 vs 13), and on-target efforts are steady (5 vs 4). That is the profile of a game where both teams spend meaningful time in dangerous zones, even if neither fully controls the narrative. Corners are also tilted slightly toward Córdoba (3 vs 5), another hint they should have their own attacking sequences, not just survival phases.
So, the most practical Almeria vs Cordoba prediction for bettors is to focus on total goals rather than picking a winner. A derby with promotion pressure can tighten up, but the underlying numbers here point to chances at both ends—and the 2.22 model score is basically an invitation to treat “Over 2.5” as the cleaner, less emotional bet.
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O2.5 -156
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -156X 260
The match is expected to end in a drawOver 2.5 -156
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -175
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -169
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:2
|
6
-
2
-
4
|
|
Cordoba |
19-Oct-25
1:1
| Almeria ![]() |
Cordoba |
12-Jan-25
0:3
| Almeria ![]() |
Almeria |
26-Nov-24
4:0
| Cordoba ![]() |
Almeria |
23-Jul-22
1:2
| Cordoba ![]() |
Almeria |
24-Feb-19
3:1
| Cordoba ![]() |
Cordoba |
06-Oct-18
1:0
| Almeria ![]() |
Cordoba |
20-May-18
2:0
| Almeria ![]() |
Almeria |
16-Dec-17
1:0
| Cordoba ![]() |
Cordoba |
16-Apr-17
1:0
| Almeria ![]() |
Almeria |
06-Nov-16
3:1
| Cordoba ![]() |
| 27 Feb |
Albacete
| - |
Almeria
| - | |
| 21 Feb | W |
Almeria
| 2 |
Cordoba
| 1 |
| 13 Feb | W |
Almeria
| 3 |
Andorra
| 2 |
| 08 Feb | W |
Cadiz CF
| 1 |
Almeria
| 2 |
| 01 Feb | W |
Almeria
| 4 |
Ceuta
| 2 |
| 25 Jan | L |
Eibar
| 1 |
Almeria
| 0 |
| 17 Jan | L |
Almeria
| 1 |
Deportivo
| 2 |
| 10 Jan | D |
Mirandes
| 2 |
Almeria
| 2 |
| 03 Jan | W |
Almeria
| 3 |
Granada CF
| 2 |
| 21 Dec | L |
Malaga
| 2 |
Almeria
| 1 |
| 02 Mar | Cordoba |
- | Andorra |
- | |
| 25 Feb | L | Ceuta |
3 | Cordoba |
2 |
| 21 Feb | L | Almeria |
2 | Cordoba |
1 |
| 14 Feb | W | Cordoba |
2 | Leganes |
1 |
| 31 Jan | W | Cordoba |
3 | Valladolid |
1 |
| 24 Jan | W | Las Palmas |
1 | Cordoba |
2 |
| 18 Jan | L | Cordoba |
0 | Malaga |
1 |
| 12 Jan | W | Huesca |
1 | Cordoba |
2 |
| 03 Jan | W | Cordoba |
2 | Burgos CF |
0 |
| 21 Dec | W | Mirandes |
1 | Cordoba |
2 |
Spain - Segunda División| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing | 27 | 53-35 | 50 |
| 2 |
Castellón | 27 | 45-26 | 49 |
| 3 |
Almeria | 27 | 52-39 | 48 |
| 4 |
Deportivo La | 27 | 41-29 | 46 |
| 5 |
Malaga | 27 | 40-31 | 44 |
| 6 |
Las Palmas | 27 | 31-22 | 42 |
| 7 |
Cordoba | 27 | 37-33 | 41 |
| 8 |
Sporting Gijon | 27 | 38-36 | 41 |
| 9 |
AD Ceuta FC | 27 | 35-39 | 41 |
| 10 |
Burgos | 27 | 29-26 | 40 |
| 11 |
Eibar | 27 | 28-29 | 35 |
| 12 |
Cadiz | 27 | 28-32 | 35 |
| 13 |
Real Sociedad | 27 | 36-36 | 34 |
| 14 |
Albacete | 27 | 32-38 | 34 |
| 15 |
Leganes | 27 | 29-28 | 33 |
| 16 |
Granada CF | 27 | 32-32 | 32 |
| 17 |
FC Andorra | 27 | 31-39 | 32 |
| 18 |
Huesca | 27 | 26-36 | 30 |
| 19 |
Valladolid | 27 | 28-38 | 29 |
| 20 |
Cultural | 27 | 27-41 | 27 |
| 21 |
Mirandes | 27 | 28-44 | 24 |
| 22 |
Zaragoza | 27 | 23-40 | 24 |