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Match Prediction

Almeria vs Cordoba Prediction

Finished

Almeria

€46.40m

21 Feb12:30
2 : 1

Cordoba

€15.80m

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Almeria vs Cordoba Prediction Segunda División

Almeria vs Cordoba prediction: goals and nerves in Andalusia

The Almeria vs Cordoba prediction for Saturday, 2.226-02.221 (17:30 GMT) starts with one simple idea: this is an Andalusian derby with promotion pressure, and those games rarely stay quiet for long. They meet at the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Power Horse Stadium) with both sides sitting in the promotion picture, and both arriving with enough attacking form to make the usual “derby = under” rule feel risky.

Context, form, and why this game matters

Round 27 comes with a lot on the line. Almería are tracking around the top four after a winter that was not always smooth, but the recent trend is upward: a lively 3–2 win over Andorra and a valuable 2.22 away victory at Cádiz have put momentum back in Rubi’s camp. Córdoba are close behind in the playoff pack and have built a reputation as one of the more reliable away teams, backed by recent wins such as 2.22 against Leganés and 3–1 versus Valladolid.

This fixture also carries a rivalry balance that keeps “certainty” out of the betting slip. Over a long run of meetings, the record is close, and even when one side has the better squad on paper, the game tends to find its own logic.

Tactical notes: Rubi’s transitions vs Ania’s structure

Rubi usually sets Almería up in a 4-2-3-1, leaning on fast transitions and the individual quality in the attacking line. When Almería are good, they look direct without being rushed; when they struggle, it is often about small technical errors and a bit of tension when the match turns emotional. Rubi himself has spoken about keeping belief even on days when the performance is not clean.

Iván Ania’s Córdoba often resemble a 4-3-3 built around controlled possession and a measured build-up. He has publicly complimented Almería’s squad strength, which hints at a pragmatic plan: keep the ball when possible, but be ready to attack the space Almería can leave when they commit numbers forward.

Player notes that can swing the game

  • Sergio Arribas has been Almería’s headline man, producing goals at a top-forward rate from advanced midfield areas.
  • Almería also have threats in Luis Suárez and Leo Baptistão, giving them multiple routes to goal.
  • Córdoba’s forward line is led by Sergi Guardiola, noted for regular shots on target, while Carracedo is key for chance creation.
  • Fitness watch: Almería have midfield injury doubts (late calls), while Córdoba are expected to miss a few squad options but welcome back some training returns.
  • Scheduling angle: Córdoba have a rescheduled midweek trip soon after this match, which can influence late-game energy or substitution timing.

Head to head and recent “surprise” signals

The head to head can be interpreted in two directions. On one hand, Almería’s last recorded meeting on 2.224-11-26 was emphatic: 4–0, a reminder of how their ceiling can look when everything clicks. On the other hand, both clubs have recent history of punching above the market: Almería’s unexpected 2.22 away draw at Mallorca (priced as huge outsiders) and Córdoba’s 3–2 away win at Oviedo (also a big price) both point to volatility—great for neutrals, dangerous for anyone betting on a calm script.

Almeria vs Cordoba prediction: odds, tips, and best angles

Let’s bring the betting odds into focus: Home win 2.22, Draw 3.4, Away win 3.4. The market gives Almería a narrow edge, which matches the squad-value gap (€46.40m vs €15.80m), but it does not scream “home banker.” That fits the derby feel and Córdoba’s away competence.

Our AI picks and how they connect to the match stats

  • Best tip: Over 2.5 total goals at 1.64 (confidence 6.7/10).
  • 1X2 prediction: Draw (X) at 3.4 (confidence 2.0/10).
  • Projected full-time score: 2.22; half-time: 1–1.

The projected match stats support the goals angle more than the 1X2: possession is near-even (52% vs 48%), shots are high for both (14 vs 13), and on-target efforts are steady (5 vs 4). That is the profile of a game where both teams spend meaningful time in dangerous zones, even if neither fully controls the narrative. Corners are also tilted slightly toward Córdoba (3 vs 5), another hint they should have their own attacking sequences, not just survival phases.

So, the most practical Almeria vs Cordoba prediction for bettors is to focus on total goals rather than picking a winner. A derby with promotion pressure can tighten up, but the underlying numbers here point to chances at both ends—and the 2.22 model score is basically an invitation to treat “Over 2.5” as the cleaner, less emotional bet.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Almeria vs Cordoba

O2.5 -156

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -156
6/10

1x2 Tip

X 260

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -156

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -175

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -169

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:2

Stats Predictions

1.79
xG
1.76
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.7
Expected Goals
1.62
3.6
Total Goals
2.2
1.9
Goals Scored
1.4
1.7
Goals Against
0.8
51%
Possession
60%
14.3
Total Shots
16.4
5.9
Shots on Goal
5.6
5.6
Shots off Goal
6.6
14.2
Fouls
14.3
3.9
Corners
6.1
2.1
Offsides
2.3
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.2
399
Total Passes
442

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
6
9
Over 1.5 Goals
7
9
Over 2.5 Goals
6
4
Over 3.5 Goals
1
9
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Almeria
6 - 2 - 4
Cordoba
Cordoba Cordoba 19-Oct-25
1:1
Almeria Almeria
Cordoba Cordoba 12-Jan-25
0:3
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 26-Nov-24
4:0
Cordoba Cordoba
Almeria Almeria 23-Jul-22
1:2
Cordoba Cordoba
Almeria Almeria 24-Feb-19
3:1
Cordoba Cordoba
Cordoba Cordoba 06-Oct-18
1:0
Almeria Almeria
Cordoba Cordoba 20-May-18
2:0
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 16-Dec-17
1:0
Cordoba Cordoba
Cordoba Cordoba 16-Apr-17
1:0
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 06-Nov-16
3:1
Cordoba Cordoba

Profile time Recent Matches of Almeria

27 Feb Albacete Albacete - Almeria Almeria -
21 FebW Almeria Almeria 2 Cordoba Cordoba 1
13 FebW Almeria Almeria 3 Andorra Andorra 2
08 FebW Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 1 Almeria Almeria 2
01 FebW Almeria Almeria 4 Ceuta Ceuta 2
25 JanL Eibar Eibar 1 Almeria Almeria 0
17 JanL Almeria Almeria 1 Deportivo Deportivo 2
10 JanD Mirandes Mirandes 2 Almeria Almeria 2
03 JanW Almeria Almeria 3 Granada CF Granada CF 2
21 DecL Malaga Malaga 2 Almeria Almeria 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Cordoba

02 MarCordoba Cordoba - Andorra Andorra -
25 FebLCeuta Ceuta 3 Cordoba Cordoba 2
21 FebLAlmeria Almeria 2 Cordoba Cordoba 1
14 FebWCordoba Cordoba 2 Leganes Leganes 1
31 JanWCordoba Cordoba 3 Valladolid Valladolid 1
24 JanWLas Palmas Las Palmas 1 Cordoba Cordoba 2
18 JanLCordoba Cordoba 0 Malaga Malaga 1
12 JanWHuesca Huesca 1 Cordoba Cordoba 2
03 JanWCordoba Cordoba 2 Burgos CF Burgos CF 0
21 DecWMirandes Mirandes 1 Cordoba Cordoba 2

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing27
53-35
50
2 Castellón Castellón27
45-26
49
3 Almeria Almeria27
52-39
48
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La27
41-29
46
5 Malaga Malaga27
40-31
44
6 Las Palmas Las Palmas27
31-22
42
7 Cordoba Cordoba27
37-33
41
8 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon27
38-36
41
9 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC27
35-39
41
10 Burgos Burgos27
29-26
40
11 Eibar Eibar27
28-29
35
12 Cadiz Cadiz27
28-32
35
13 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad27
36-36
34
14 Albacete Albacete27
32-38
34
15 Leganes Leganes27
29-28
33
16 Granada CF Granada CF27
32-32
32
17 FC Andorra FC Andorra27
31-39
32
18 Huesca Huesca27
26-36
30
19 Valladolid Valladolid27
28-38
29
20 Cultural Leonesa Cultural27
27-41
27
21 Mirandes Mirandes27
28-44
24
22 Zaragoza Zaragoza27
23-40
24
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