Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor Prediction

Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor prediction for Friday night in Antalya

Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor prediction time arrives on Friday, February 13, 2026, when the Süper Lig lights switch on at Antalya Stadium (Corendon Airlines Park). Kick-off is 17:00 GMT (20:00 local), and the mood feels like two different seasons meeting at the same corner flag: Antalyaspor trying to stay calm above the drop, Samsunspor chasing the kind of spring that smells like Europe.

Setting the scene: form, table pressure, and a quiet need for revenge

Samsunspor travel in 7th with 30 points, and they do it with purpose: they have been one of the more reliable away teams, taking about 1.6 points per road game. That away efficiency matters, because they are coming off a painful 0-3 home loss to Trabzonspor (Feb 7). Before that slip, the “Red Lightning” had shown bounce—beating Bodrum FK 2-0 in the Cup and edging Kasımpaşa 1-0 in the league.

Antalyaspor sit 14th with 20 points, four clear of the relegation line. The “Scorpions” have shown some steel in the league—drawing 1-1 with Trabzonspor and beating Gençlerbirliği 2-1—yet the Turkish Cup brought a nightmare: a 0-6 defeat to Iğdır FK (Feb 3). In Turkey, a result like that can trigger anything from a tactical rethink to a boardroom “tea meeting” that somehow lasts three hours.

• Standings context: Samsunspor aim to protect a European push; Antalyaspor aim to keep survival stress at arm’s length.
• Reverse fixture story: Antalyaspor won earlier this season (2-1), and Samsunspor have not forgotten.
• Head to head balance: last 8 meetings are close (4 Antalyaspor wins, 3 Samsunspor wins, 1 draw).

Tactical notes: compact vs tempo, and which plan breaks first

Antalyaspor are still learning manager Sami Uğurlu’s ideas (appointed Jan 2, 2026). The plan is a more compact 4-2-3-1, with tighter spacing and fewer wild transitions. It has helped in league moments, but the cup collapse shows the defensive change is not automatic—especially when confidence gets shaken.

Samsunspor under Thomas Reis usually play with more tempo, trying to win the ball higher and attack quickly with mobile forwards. Reis also has a decent personal edge against Uğurlu (one win, one draw in two meetings), and you can expect Samsunspor to test Antalyaspor’s build-up early—because nothing checks a new structure like an aggressive press.

Players, injuries, and winter window impact

Antalyaspor’s main creative source remains Sander van de Streek, their leader for big chances created. Up front, loan signing Tomáš Čvančara (from Gladbach) is expected to lead the line, a clear hint that Antalyaspor want more presence in the box. Injury-wise, Erdoğan Yeşilyurt is still out (knee), Abdülkadir Ömür is a major doubt (muscle) but might make the bench, and there are other absences including Doğukan Sinik, Hüseyin Türkmen, and Yakub İlçin.

Samsunspor also have fitness questions: Emre Kılınç (calf), Afonso Sousa (ankle), and Tanguy Coulibaly (knee) are racing mid-February timelines, while Bedirhan Çetin is out long-term (cruciate). Still, Carlo Holse has been their midfield standout, and January signing Jaurès Assoumou has already added energy. The winter window also brought Elayis Tavşan, Yunus Emre Kayan, plus goalkeeper İrfan Can Eğribayat on loan—depth that matters late in games.

Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor prediction: betting odds and tips

Now to the numbers that drive sports betting conversations. The 1x2 betting odds price Antalyaspor at 3.9, the draw at 3.35, and Samsunspor at 2.14. That away price matches the bigger squad value gap too: Antalyaspor at €23.10m versus Samsunspor at €56.78m. Value does not score goals, but it often buys more solutions when Plan A gets messy.

• Main tip (AI): X2 (Samsunspor win or draw) at 1.280, trust level 8.5/10.
• 1x2 pick: Away win (2) at 2.14, trust level 7.7/10.
• Goals market: Under 2.5 goals at 1.68, confidence 6.2/10.

These tips connect neatly with the match story. Antalyaspor’s priority is stability after that cup hangover, which often means lower risk in possession and fewer players ahead of the ball. Samsunspor, despite the Trabzonspor loss, are generally more consistent away from home, and their pressing can turn a cautious opponent into a nervous one.

For the goals angle, the recent “surprise draws” tell their own tale: Antalyaspor held Alanyaspor away at huge odds (5.3) in a 0-0, and Samsunspor frustrated Fenerbahçe in another 0-0 when Fener were heavily backed (1.63). Those results do not guarantee another tight match, but they support the logic behind Under 2.5 in this Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor prediction.

Head to head details and a predicted script

Last time these sides met (Apr 5, 2025), Antalyaspor won 2-1—proof that the head to head picture can swing on moments. But this time the travel trend, the squad value, and the tactical match-up point more towards Samsunspor avoiding defeat.

1. First half prediction: 0-1 — Samsunspor start sharper, pressing pays off.
2. Full-time prediction: 0-2 — Antalyaspor push, Samsunspor find space to finish it.

Final thought for bettors: the safest angle aligns with X2, while the more ambitious play is the away win at 2.14. Either way, check line-ups for Ömür and Samsunspor’s returning attackers before locking your sports betting picks—because in Süper Lig, one unexpected “he’s fit after all” can change the whole story.