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AS Roma

€454.50m

18 Apr14:45
1 : 1

Atalanta

€403.10m

Preview

AS Roma vs Atalanta Prediction Serie A

AS Roma vs Atalanta prediction for smart Serie A betting

The AS Roma vs Atalanta prediction starts with the calendar reminder: Saturday, 2026-04-18 at 19:45 GMT, Roma host Atalanta at the Stadio Olimpico. Latest updates point to a classic Roman evening game (20:45 local time), and the betting odds reflect how tight this one is: Home 2.5, Draw 3.4, Away 3.1. If you like drama with your sports betting, this fixture rarely disappoints.

How the game may look at the Olimpico

Roma usually try to make the Olimpico feel narrow and noisy, building attacks with patient possession and looking for moments rather than constant chaos. Atalanta, by contrast, are happier when the match becomes a series of fast waves: win the ball, attack quickly, and ask questions until somebody answers incorrectly. That contrast matters for any AS Roma vs Atalanta prediction because it often creates a “chess match” first half, then a more open finish.

On paper, Roma’s squad value is higher (€454.50m vs €403.10m), but Atalanta have built a reputation for playing above their price tag. Their recent “we’ll take a point, thanks” draw away to Inter on 2026-03-14 (1:1 with pre-match win odds of 6.4) showed they can stay composed in big stadiums. Roma also have that European DNA: the 2:2 away draw at Bayer Leverkusen on 2024-05-09, priced at 5.84, proved they can survive pressure and still land punches.

Head to head notes that shape expectations

The most recent head to head on 2024-12-02 went Atalanta’s way, 0:2. That result will be remembered in Rome, and it also nudges bettors toward markets that do not rely on a clear winner.

  • Possession forecast: Roma 52% vs Atalanta 48% suggests Roma have the ball, Atalanta have the bite.
  • Shots projection: Roma 10 vs Atalanta 14, with on-target 2 vs 4, hints Atalanta may create the cleaner chances.
  • Corners expected: 9 total (4-5) fits a game with steady pressure rather than one big siege.
  • Cards: just 1 yellow each points to control, not a derby-style brawl.

AI betting tips, odds, and best markets to play

NerdyTips leans into goals rather than guessing the winner. The top tip is over 1.5 goals at 1.29, confidence 7.7/10 (and the model’s under/over call repeats over 1.5 goals with 7.8 confidence at 1.29). With a predicted final score of 1:1 and half-time 0:0, the storyline is clear: patient opening, then goals after the break—like many Serie A nights when the tactics loosen after one mistake.

What to do with the 1X2 betting odds

The market gives Roma a slight edge (2.5), but the AI’s 1x2 call is X2 at 1.63, even if confidence is low (2.0). That matches the shot and on-target forecast: Roma may control phases, yet Atalanta look more likely to force big saves.

  1. Best bet: Over 1.5 goals (1.29) — aligns with the 1:1 projection and the chance volume.
  2. Safer side angle: X2 (1.63) — useful if you respect Atalanta’s away resilience and recent head to head.
  3. Correct score lean: 1:1 — sensible for stakes you can laugh about later, not your rent money.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for AS Roma vs Atalanta

O1.5 -345

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -345
7/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -167

Atalanta to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -345

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -145

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -103

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

1.26
xG
1.65
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.32
Expected Goals
1.73
3.9
Total Goals
3.5
2
Goals Scored
1.6
1.9
Goals Against
1.9
52%
Possession
52%
11.5
Total Shots
15.5
3.1
Shots on Goal
4.8
5.1
Shots off Goal
7.1
14.2
Fouls
10.7
4.7
Corners
5.6
2.3
Offsides
2.2
1.7
Yellow Cards
1.56
464
Total Passes
477

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
8
Over 2.5 Goals
7
4
Over 3.5 Goals
5
7
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

AS Roma
8 - 9 - 13
Atalanta
AS Roma AS Roma 18-Apr-26
1:1
Atalanta Atalanta
AS Roma AS Roma 02-Dec-24
0:2
Atalanta Atalanta
AS Roma AS Roma 07-Jan-24
1:1
Atalanta Atalanta
AS Roma AS Roma 18-Sep-22
0:1
Atalanta Atalanta
AS Roma AS Roma 05-Mar-22
1:0
Atalanta Atalanta
AS Roma AS Roma 22-Apr-21
1:1
Atalanta Atalanta
AS Roma AS Roma 25-Sep-19
0:2
Atalanta Atalanta
AS Roma AS Roma 01-Oct-11
3:1
Atalanta Atalanta
AS Roma AS Roma 07-Oct-12
2:0
Atalanta Atalanta
AS Roma AS Roma 12-Apr-14
3:1
Atalanta Atalanta

Profile time Recent Matches of AS Roma

24 MayW Hellas V Hellas V 0 AS Roma AS Roma 2
17 MayW AS Roma AS Roma 2 Lazio Lazio 0
10 MayW Parma Parma 2 AS Roma AS Roma 3
04 MayW AS Roma AS Roma 4 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0
25 AprW Bologna Bologna 0 AS Roma AS Roma 2
18 AprD AS Roma AS Roma 1 Atalanta Atalanta 1
10 AprW AS Roma AS Roma 3 Pisa Pisa 0
05 AprL Inter Inter 5 AS Roma AS Roma 2
22 MarW AS Roma AS Roma 1 Lecce Lecce 0
19 MarL AS Roma AS Roma 3 Bologna Bologna 4

Profile time Recent Matches Of Atalanta

22 MayDFiorentina Fiorentina 1 Atalanta Atalanta 1
17 MayLAtalanta Atalanta 0 Bologna Bologna 1
10 MayWAC Milan AC Milan 2 Atalanta Atalanta 3
02 MayDAtalanta Atalanta 0 Genoa Genoa 0
27 AprLCagliari Cagliari 3 Atalanta Atalanta 2
22 AprDAtalanta Atalanta 1 Lazio Lazio 1
18 AprDAS Roma AS Roma 1 Atalanta Atalanta 1
11 AprLAtalanta Atalanta 0 Juventus Juventus 1
06 AprWLecce Lecce 0 Atalanta Atalanta 3
22 MarWAtalanta Atalanta 1 Hellas V Hellas V 0

Italy - Serie A Italy - Serie A

Team M G P
1 InterInter3786-3286
2 NapoliNapoli3757-3673
3 AC MilanAC Milan3752-3370
4 AS RomaAS Roma3757-3170
5 ComoComo3761-2868
6 JuventusJuventus3759-3268
7 AtalantaAtalanta3750-3558
8 BolognaBologna3746-4355
9 LazioLazio3739-3951
10 UdineseUdinese3745-4750
11 SassuoloSassuolo3746-4949
12 TorinoTorino3742-6144
13 ParmaParma3727-4642
14 GenoaGenoa3741-5041
15 FiorentinaFiorentina3740-4941
16 CagliariCagliari3738-5240
17 LecceLecce3727-5035
18 CremoneseCremonese3731-5334
19 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3725-5921
20 PisaPisa3725-6918
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