Atalanta and Inter lock horns at Gewiss Stadium on March 16, 2025, in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A showdown. With both sides in fine form and separated by the slimmest of margins in the odds—Atalanta at 2.6 for a home win and Inter at 2.62 for an away victory—this match could go either way.
Atalanta and Inter lock horns at Gewiss Stadium on March 16, 2025, in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A showdown. With both sides in fine form and separated by the slimmest of margins in the odds—Atalanta at 2.6 for a home win and Inter at 2.62 for an away victory—this match could go either way.

One thing that stands out? A low-scoring affair. Our AI-backed best tip suggests under 3.5 goals at 1.36 odds, with a confidence rating of 4.3/10. Given that only 28.7% of Serie A matches exceed 3.5 goals, this prediction aligns well with historical trends.

Atalanta, boasting a squad valued at €475.60m, will rely on their home advantage, where Serie A teams have historically won 41.1% of matches. Meanwhile, Inter, with a stronger squad worth €681.80m, will look to control possession (51% expected) and capitalize on their efficiency in front of goal. However, our AI predicts a 1-0 home win, suggesting that Atalanta’s defense could neutralize Inter’s attacking threats.

Expect a cagey first half, with a predicted 0-0 scoreline at halftime. Shots-wise, Atalanta are expected to take 14 attempts (5 on target), while Inter might manage 10 shots (3 on target). Corners? A balanced 4 each, reinforcing the idea of a tight contest.

Their last head-to-head encounter in November 2023 saw Inter edge Atalanta 2-1, but the hosts have shown they can upset the odds—just ask Liverpool, who fell 0-3 to Atalanta in April 2024 despite being heavy favorites.

With both sides capable of grinding out results, betting on under 3.5 goals seems like the smartest move. Expect defensive discipline, limited chances, and a match that could be decided by a single moment of brilliance.