What is the best bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?

Based on AI analysis, the best bet is '1' at odds of 1.35.

What are the latest odds for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?

The latest odds are: Home Win - 1.35, Draw - 5.8, Away Win - 9.

What is the predicted total goals (Under/Over) for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?

Our AI predicts the best bet for total goals in this match is 'over 2.5' goals. The available odds for this selection are 1.48.

What is the best 1X2 betting tip for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?

Our AI-powered prediction suggests that the best 1X2 bet for this match is '1'. The available odds for this selection are 1.35.

What is the predicted final score for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?

Our AI predicts a final score of 3:2.

What is the predicted halftime score for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?

Our AI predicts the halftime score will be 1:1.

What is the expected ball possession for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?

Our AI predicts AZ Alkmaar will have 67% possession, while Excelsior will have 33% possession.

How many shots are expected in AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?

The total number of shots is expected to be 27, with AZ Alkmaar taking 19 shots and Excelsior taking 8 shots.

How many corners are predicted in AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?

The match is expected to have a total of 10 corners, with AZ Alkmaar earning 7 corners and Excelsior earning 3 corners.

What is the predicted number of yellow cards for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?

According to our AI prediction, this match is expected to have a total of 2 yellow cards. AZ Alkmaar is projected to receive 1 yellow cards, while Excelsior is expected to receive 1 yellow cards.

What is the squad value of AZ Alkmaar before the match against Excelsior?

The current estimated market value of AZ Alkmaar is €145.93m. This reflects the financial strength of their squad before facing Excelsior.

What is the squad value of Excelsior before the match against AZ Alkmaar?

The current estimated market value of Excelsior is €16.25m. This represents their squad’s financial standing before playing against AZ Alkmaar.

How many goals are expected in the first half of AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?

Our AI predicts that the first half of AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior will have a total of 2 goals, based on the predicted halftime score of 1:1.

How many total goals are expected in AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?

According to our AI prediction, the match between AZ Alkmaar and Excelsior is expected to have a total of 5 goals, based on the predicted full-time score of 3:2.

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction

Finished

Netherlands

Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

€145.93m

21 Jan12:45

1 : 1

Excelsior

€16.25m

Preview

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction: Stats, Form & Smart Betting Tips

Welcome to NerdyTips’ expert take on the AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior prediction for their upcoming Eredivisie encounter on January 21, 2026. If you’re looking for a blend of sharp analysis, recent form, and the best betting tips, you’re in the right place. Let’s dive into the story behind the stats and see what makes this fixture more than just a numbers game.

Match Context: History, Form, and What’s at Stake

When AZ Alkmaar and Excelsior meet at the AFAS Stadion for this Round 16 Eredivisie fixture, the stage is set for a classic David vs Goliath scenario. The hosts, AZ Alkmaar, have been a consistent force in Dutch football, currently sitting 5th in the league and boasting a squad value of nearly €146 million—almost nine times that of Excelsior. The visitors, meanwhile, are fighting to keep their heads above water in 14th place, but as football fans know, surprises do happen.

AZ Alkmaar have dominated recent head to head meetings, remaining unbeaten in their last five against Excelsior (4 wins, 1 draw).
In their last encounter, AZ Alkmaar thrashed Excelsior 8-0, underlining the gulf in class.
AZ have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, while Excelsior have managed 6.
Historically, AZ Alkmaar have 14 wins to Excelsior’s 6 in 28 meetings, with 8 draws.

Despite their superior record, AZ Alkmaar aren’t without their headaches. Key players like Denso Kasius, Jordy Clasie, and Mexx Meerdink are sidelined, and doubts linger over Ruben van Bommel and Seiya Maikuma. Excelsior, for their part, will miss Chris-Kevin Nadje and Mathijs Tielemans, with Lennard Hartjes still recovering from a long-term injury.

Tactics, Trends, and Noteworthy Numbers

AZ Alkmaar, under Maarten Martens, are known for their possession-based approach and attacking intent—reflected in their projected 67% ball possession and 19 shots for this match. Their ability to win penalties (a league-high 8 this season) and create chances from wide areas could be decisive, especially against an Excelsior side that struggles to keep the ball.

Excelsior will likely rely on goalkeeper Stijn van Gassel, who is second in the league for saves per match (4.5), to keep them in the game.
Gyan de Regt has been Excelsior’s creative spark, leading the team in big chances created (6).
The AFAS Stadion, with its 19.000 capacity, is expected to be buzzing, especially after the fixture was postponed earlier to allow AZ to focus on continental duties.

While Excelsior did pull off a shock win at Ajax earlier this season, the odds are stacked against them here. AZ Alkmaar’s recent away draw at PSV Eindhoven (2-2) showed their resilience, and with their attacking firepower, they’ll be looking to put on a show for the home crowd.

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction: Odds, AI Tips & Betting Value

Now, let’s get to the heart of our AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior prediction: the numbers, the tips, and what they mean for your bets.

Match Odds:
- Home win: 1.35
- Draw: 5.8
- Away win: 9.0
Best Tip: Our AI-generated best tip is a home win (1), with a sky-high confidence of 9.0/10 and odds of 1.35. The 1x2 market is crystal clear: trust AZ Alkmaar to get the job done.
Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals is a strong pick here, with a confidence of 8.0/10 and odds of 1.41. Both teams have shown they can find the net, but AZ’s firepower should tip the scales.
Predicted Score: 3:2 in favor of AZ Alkmaar, with a 1:1 scoreline expected at halftime. This suggests Excelsior could make things interesting before AZ pulls away.

Digging deeper, the stats support these betting tips:

AZ Alkmaar are expected to dominate possession (67%) and rack up 19 shots (7 on target).
Excelsior, despite their underdog status, are predicted to get 8 shots (2 on target) and could capitalize if AZ’s defense wobbles.
Expect a lively game with 10 corners (7 for AZ), but discipline should prevail—just one yellow card each is projected.

With AZ Alkmaar’s superior squad value, home advantage, and recent head to head dominance, it’s no surprise the home win is the standout pick. But Excelsior’s ability to spring a surprise—like their win at Ajax—means the over 2.5 goals market offers extra value for those looking for a bit more excitement.

Final Thoughts: Betting Tips Recap

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior prediction: Home win (1) at 1.35 odds. Trust level: 10/10.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.41 odds. Confidence: 8/10.
Predicted score: 3:2 for AZ Alkmaar, with a lively first half.

In summary, all signs point to AZ Alkmaar taking the points, but don’t be shocked if Excelsior make them work for it. For those seeking value, the over 2.5 goals bet looks particularly appealing given both teams’ recent scoring form. That’s our AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior prediction—may your bets be as sharp as your insights!

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction: Stats, Form & Smart Betting Tips

Match Context: History, Form, and What’s at Stake

AZ Alkmaar have dominated recent head to head meetings, remaining unbeaten in their last five against Excelsior (4 wins, 1 draw).
In their last encounter, AZ Alkmaar thrashed Excelsior 8-0, underlining the gulf in class.
AZ have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, while Excelsior have managed 6.
Historically, AZ Alkmaar have 14 wins to Excelsior’s 6 in 28 meetings, with 8 draws.

Tactics, Trends, and Noteworthy Numbers

Excelsior will likely rely on goalkeeper Stijn van Gassel, who is second in the league for saves per match (4.5), to keep them in the game.
Gyan de Regt has been Excelsior’s creative spark, leading the team in big chances created (6).
The AFAS Stadion, with its 19.000 capacity, is expected to be buzzing, especially after the fixture was postponed earlier to allow AZ to focus on continental duties.

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction: Odds, AI Tips & Betting Value

Now, let’s get to the heart of our AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior prediction: the numbers, the tips, and what they mean for your bets.

Match Odds:
- Home win: 1.35
- Draw: 5.8
- Away win: 9.0
Best Tip: Our AI-generated best tip is a home win (1), with a sky-high confidence of 9.0/10 and odds of 1.35. The 1x2 market is crystal clear: trust AZ Alkmaar to get the job done.
Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals is a strong pick here, with a confidence of 8.0/10 and odds of 1.41. Both teams have shown they can find the net, but AZ’s firepower should tip the scales.
Predicted Score: 3:2 in favor of AZ Alkmaar, with a 1:1 scoreline expected at halftime. This suggests Excelsior could make things interesting before AZ pulls away.

Digging deeper, the stats support these betting tips:

AZ Alkmaar are expected to dominate possession (67%) and rack up 19 shots (7 on target).
Excelsior, despite their underdog status, are predicted to get 8 shots (2 on target) and could capitalize if AZ’s defense wobbles.
Expect a lively game with 10 corners (7 for AZ), but discipline should prevail—just one yellow card each is projected.

Final Thoughts: Betting Tips Recap

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior prediction: Home win (1) at 1.35 odds. Trust level: 10/10.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.41 odds. Confidence: 8/10.
Predicted score: 3:2 for AZ Alkmaar, with a lively first half.

AI Predictions

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior

1 -286

AZ Alkmaar is expected to win with odds of -286

10/10

1x2 Tip

1 -286

AZ Alkmaar is expected to win with odds of -286

10/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -208

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match

8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -128

Both teams are expected to score

2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O2.5 -152

Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals

7/10

Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

3:2

Stats Predictions

2.28

0.81

67%

Ball Possession

33%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots Off Goal

Corners

Yellow Cards

Average / Match

1.91

Expected Goals

1.48

3.2

Total Goals

2.9

2.1

Goals Scored

1.1

Goals Against

1.8

61%

Possession

50%

17.5

Total Shots

12.8

7.1

Shots on Goal

4.1

Shots off Goal

5.8

10.6

Fouls

12.7

Corners

5.5

1.1

Offsides

2.14

Yellow Cards

1.75

477

Total Passes

437

Overview Last 10 Matches

Wins

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals

Both Teams Scored

Unexpected Wins

Unexpected Loses

Head to Head

9 - 7 - 4

AZ Alkmaar	^13-Jul-24 8:0	Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar	^10-Mar-24 4:0	Excelsior
Excelsior	^04-Nov-23 1:1	AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar	^10-Feb-23 5:0	Excelsior
Excelsior	^11-Jan-23 1:4	AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior	^23-Oct-22 2:1	AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior	^15-May-19 4:2	AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar	^15-Dec-18 2:1	Excelsior
Excelsior	^03-Mar-18 1:2	AZ Alkmaar

Recent Matches of AZ Alkmaar

31 Jan		AZ Alkmaar.	-	Nijmegen.
25 Jan	W	Telstar.	0:1	AZ Alkmaar.
21 Jan	D	AZ Alkmaar.	1:1	Excelsior.
17 Jan	L	Zwolle.	3:1	AZ Alkmaar.
14 Jan	W	AZ Alkmaar.	6:0	Ajax.
10 Jan	W	AZ Alkmaar.	1:0	FC Volendam.
21 Dec	L	Sittard.	4:3	AZ Alkmaar.
18 Dec	D	AZ Alkmaar.	0:0	Jagiellonia.
11 Dec	W	Drita.	0:3	AZ Alkmaar.
07 Dec	D	AZ Alkmaar.	2:2	G.A. Eagles.

Recent Matches of Excelsior

24 Jan	D	Twente.	0:0	Excelsior.
21 Jan	D	AZ Alkmaar.	1:1	Excelsior.
17 Jan	D	Excelsior.	2:2	Telstar.
10 Jan	L	PSV.	5:1	Excelsior.
20 Dec	W	Excelsior.	2:1	Zwolle.
05 Dec	L	Excelsior.	0:2	Groningen.
29 Nov	W	Excelsior.	1:0	NAC Breda.
22 Nov	W	Ajax.	1:2	Excelsior.
08 Nov	L	Excelsior.	1:2	Heracles.
01 Nov	D	Telstar.	2:2	Excelsior.

Netherlands - Eredivisie

	Team	Matches	Goals	Points
1	PSV Eindhoven	20	61-25	53
2	Feyenoord	20	51-29	39
3	Ajax	20	39-26	37
4	NEC Nijmegen	19	49-33	35
5	AZ Alkmaar	20	35-32	32
6	Sparta	20	25-34	32
7	Groningen	20	28-24	31
8	Twente	20	29-22	30
9	Fortuna	20	30-34	25
10	Heerenveen	19	31-30	24
11	Utrecht	19	29-26	23
12	PEC Zwolle	20	26-42	23
13	Excelsior	20	20-35	22
14	GO Ahead	19	30-33	21
15	FC Volendam	20	21-35	17
16	Telstar	20	24-33	16
17	NAC Breda	20	21-32	15
18	Heracles	20	28-52	14

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction: Stats, Form & Smart Betting Tips

Match Context: History, Form, and What’s at Stake

Tactics, Trends, and Noteworthy Numbers

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction: Odds, AI Tips & Betting Value

Final Thoughts: Betting Tips Recap

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction: Stats, Form & Smart Betting Tips

Match Context: History, Form, and What’s at Stake

Tactics, Trends, and Noteworthy Numbers

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction: Odds, AI Tips & Betting Value

Final Thoughts: Betting Tips Recap

Best Tip

1x2 Tip

Total Goals

Both Teams To Score

Bet Builder Tip

Half-Time Score

Correct Score

Stats Predictions

Average / Match

Overview Last 10 Matches

Head to Head

Latest Matches

Recent Matches of AZ Alkmaar

Recent Matches of Excelsior

Netherlands - Eredivisie

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