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Match Prediction

Bahia vs Fortaleza EC Prediction

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Copa do Nordeste

Bahia

€99.70m

9 Jul20:30
2 : 1

Fortaleza EC

€46.70m

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Bahia vs Fortaleza EC Prediction Copa do Nordeste

Bahia vs Fortaleza EC Prediction: Will Bahia’s Home Fortress Hold Strong?

Welcome to our exclusive Bahia vs Fortaleza EC prediction, where we break down every angle of this much-anticipated Serie A fixture set for July 10, 2025, at 01:30 GMT. The vibrant Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova will be buzzing as Bahia, riding high on confidence, prepares to defend their turf against a resilient Fortaleza EC. With bookmaker odds firmly in Bahia’s favor—home win at 1.7, draw at 3.5, and away win at 4.6—let’s unpack why the smart money (and our AI) is backing the hosts and what stats you need to know before placing your bets.

Setting the Stage: Odds, AI Picks, and What’s at Stake

Picture this: Bahia, with a squad valued at a hefty €99.70m, more than double Fortaleza EC’s €46.70m, takes the field in front of their passionate supporters. The bookmakers aren’t shy about their favorites, and neither is our AI. The top pick is a Bahia home win (1), boasting a confidence rating of 7.1 out of 10 and odds of 1.7. The 1x2 market echoes this, nudging the confidence up to 7.2 for the same outcome.

  • Bahia win (1): Odds 1.7, confidence 7.1/10
  • Draw: Odds 3.5
  • Fortaleza EC win (2): Odds 4.6

For those who like to play it safe, the under 3.5 total goals market is a popular choice, with odds at 1.33 and a trust level of 3.0. Our predicted final score? A solid 2:0 for Bahia, with the hosts already leading 1:0 by halftime. The referee is still a mystery, but with these odds, Bahia’s fans might not care who’s holding the whistle.

Head to Head: Recent Encounters and Form Guide

History backs up the Bahia vs Fortaleza EC prediction. Their last meeting on June 14, 2024, saw Bahia edge out Fortaleza EC 1-0, with odds then at 1.93 for Bahia and 3.87 for Fortaleza EC. That result not only reinforced Bahia’s home advantage but also showed how the odds often tell a compelling story. And let’s not forget Bahia’s stunning 1-0 away win over Palmeiras on April 27, 2025—at juicy odds of 5.0! Fortaleza EC, for their part, showed grit with a 2-2 away draw at Palmeiras in October 2024, defying odds of 6.7. Both teams know how to punch above their weight, but Bahia’s consistency at home is hard to ignore.

What to Expect: Gameplay, Stats, and Betting Angles

Our AI projects Bahia to take the initiative, controlling a commanding 66% of possession. That leaves Fortaleza EC chasing shadows with just 34%. Here’s how the numbers stack up:

  1. Bahia: 13 shots (5 on target), 5 corners, 1 yellow card
  2. Fortaleza EC: 10 shots (2 on target), 4 corners, 3 yellow cards

With a total of 9 corners forecast and only 4 yellow cards expected, the match should be competitive but not chaotic—unless someone tries to sneak an extra ball onto the pitch (not recommended for your accumulator bets!).

The difference in squad value—Bahia’s €99.70m versus Fortaleza EC’s €46.70m—could be the invisible twelfth man. More resources often mean greater depth and quality, which tends to show in tight matches, especially when the home crowd is roaring. The betting odds reflect this financial gap, as does our Bahia vs Fortaleza EC prediction for a 2:0 win.

Betting Tips: Where’s the Smart Money?

  • Bahia to win (1): At 1.7, it’s the AI’s top pick with strong confidence.
  • Under 3.5 total goals: Odds of 1.33 suggest a low-scoring affair, matching the predicted 2:0 result.
  • Halftime/Fulltime Bahia: With a projected halftime lead, this could offer extra value for adventurous punters.

In summary, all signs point to Bahia making the most of their home advantage, superior squad value, and recent head to head success. Fortaleza EC won’t go down without a fight, but the odds—and the stats—are stacked against them. For beginner bettors, this Bahia vs Fortaleza EC prediction offers a clear, confident path: back Bahia, expect a controlled game, and don’t hold your breath for a goal-fest. Unless, of course, you’re hoping for some footballing comedy—then you might just get a yellow card for simulation yourself!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Bahia has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Bahia vs Fortaleza EC

1 -143

Bahia is expected to win with odds of -143
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -143

Bahia is expected to win with odds of -143
7/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -345

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -118

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -303

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

66%
Ball Possession
34%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

2.5
Total Goals
2.7
1.5
Goals Scored
1.2
1
Goals Against
1.5
57%
Possession
49%
11.1
Total Shots
15.6
4.4
Shots on Goal
4.6
4.6
Shots off Goal
6.1
10.1
Fouls
13
4.5
Corners
8.3
1.5
Offsides
1.9
1.63
Yellow Cards
2.5
0.25
Red Cards
0.2
503
Total Passes
360

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
2
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
6
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
4
4
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Bahia
6 - 4 - 6
Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 19-Jul-25
1:1
Bahia Bahia
Bahia Bahia 10-Jul-25
2:1
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 22-Sep-24
4:1
Bahia Bahia
Bahia Bahia 14-Jun-24
1:0
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Bahia Bahia 21-Oct-23
2:0
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 03-Jun-23
0:0
Bahia Bahia
Bahia Bahia 15-Feb-23
0:3
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 19-Feb-22
3:1
Bahia Bahia
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 10-Dec-21
2:1
Bahia Bahia
Bahia Bahia 05-Sep-21
4:2
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC

Profile time Recent Matches of Bahia

14 JanW Bahia F Bahia F.
0:3
Bahia. Bahia
11 JanW Bahia Bahia.
4:2
Jequie. Jequie

Profile time Recent Matches of Fortaleza EC

15 JanFortaleza Fortaleza.
-
Quixada.Quixada
11 JanDFerroviario Ferroviario.
0:0
Fortaleza.Fortaleza
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