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Match Prediction

Banfield vs Lanus (Arg) Prediction

Finished

Banfield

€17.30m

3 Nov19:15
2 : 1

Lanus (Arg)

€32.92m

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Banfield vs Lanus (Arg) Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Banfield vs Lanus (Arg) Prediction: Stats, Odds, and AI Insights

The Banfield vs Lanus (Arg) prediction is on everyone's mind as these two Buenos Aires neighbors prepare to meet at Estadio Florencio Solá on November 4, 2025. With both teams bringing distinct tactical identities, recent form, and a rich head to head history into this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture, sports betting fans are in for a treat. Let's break down what to expect, from formations and injuries to the latest betting odds and AI-powered predictions.

Tactics, Team News, and Recent Form

This isn't just another league match—it's the Clásico del Sur, a fixture that rarely disappoints in drama, if not always in goals. Lanus, currently riding high in 3rd place, arrive with a nine-match unbeaten streak and a reputation for defensive discipline. Under Mauricio Pellegrino, they've favored a balanced 4-2-3-1 setup, blending patient buildup with quick transitions. With key players like R. Castillo and Eduardo Salvio, plus the creative spark of Marcelino Moreno (if fit), Lanus have become tough to break down—conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their last six.

Banfield, meanwhile, have faced a trickier period. Sitting 11th in the Clausura standings, they've managed only two wins in their last six outings, scoring at a modest rate of 0.67 goals per game. Under new boss Pedro Troglio, Banfield are expected to stick with a classic 4-4-2, relying on F. Sanguinetti and G. Rios to provide attacking impetus. At home, their shot numbers are respectable—averaging 16.67 total attempts and 5 on target per match in their last three—but converting chances remains the challenge.

  • Banfield injuries: Several key absentees, including Tomás Nasif (ankle), Joaquín Pombo (knee/shoulder), Brandon Oviedo (ACL), and Bruno Sepúlveda (foot). Ramiro Di Luciano might return, but overall squad depth is stretched.
  • Lanus injuries: Marcelino Moreno, Ezequiel Muñoz, and Ramiro Carrera are all doubts, while Raúl Loaiza and Franco Ortellado face long-term layoffs. Felipe Peña Biafore and Ronaldo Dejesús López are nearing returns, but fitness could be a concern.
  • Staff news: Banfield are settling under Troglio, while Lanus have Pellegrino's tactical nous, ably supported by assistants Carlos Compagnucci and Xavi Tamarit.

When it comes to head to head meetings, the recent record at Banfield's home is almost perfectly balanced: three wins each and one draw in the last seven encounters. Across their last 17 matchups, both sides have won six times, with five draws—plenty of evidence that this fixture is notoriously hard to call.

Sports Betting Odds and Key Numbers

Looking at the betting odds, there's little to separate the sides:

  • Banfield win: 2.5
  • Draw: 2.8
  • Lanus win: 3.2

These odds reflect the tightness of the matchup and the unpredictable nature of their recent meetings. The last time these teams faced off (November 30, 2024), Lanus edged it 1-0 away, with odds then slightly favoring them. Banfield have shown they can spring surprises—like their recent 1-0 win at Independiente at odds of 5.65—while Lanus have held their own against top opposition, drawing 1-1 away at Fluminense despite being heavy underdogs.

AI Predictions: Expected Goals, Scoreline, and Best Bets

Now, let's get into the Banfield vs Lanus (Arg) prediction from our NerdyTips AI model. The data points to a low-scoring affair, with both teams expected to prioritize solidity over swashbuckling football.

  1. Final score prediction: 0:0. Both sides are tipped to cancel each other out, with defenses on top.
  2. Half-time prediction: 0:0. Don't expect fireworks from the off—patience will be key.
  3. Possession: Banfield 58%, Lanus 42%. The home side should see more of the ball, but breaking down Lanus won't be easy.
  4. Total shots: Banfield 15, Lanus 8. On-target efforts: 4 for Banfield, 2 for Lanus.
  5. Corners: 5 for Banfield, 2 for Lanus.
  6. Yellow cards: 1 for Banfield, 2 for Lanus. Expect a physical, but not overly dirty, contest.

For sports betting fans, our AI's top-rated tip is under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.36, with a moderate confidence level (5.3/10). This aligns with both teams' recent scoring and defensive records. For the 1x2 market, a draw (X) is the recommended play, albeit with low trust (2.0/10) at odds of 2.8—reflecting just how tight and unpredictable this head to head has been.

  • Best bet: Under 2.5 goals (odds: 1.36). Both teams have struggled for goals lately, and their tactical setups point to a cautious approach.
  • Value pick: Draw (odds: 2.8). With so many recent stalemates and both sides missing key attackers, a share of the spoils is a real possibility.

It's worth noting that while Lanus boast a higher squad value (€32.82m vs. Banfield's €17.30m), injuries and the grind of the season could level the playing field. With both teams missing important players, expect a match where margins are razor-thin and every mistake could prove costly.

Final Thoughts: Banfield vs Lanus (Arg) Prediction and Betting Tips

To sum up this Banfield vs Lanus (Arg) prediction: we're looking at a classic Argentine derby with plenty at stake, but perhaps not a feast of goals. The stats, recent form, and our AI model all point toward a tactical battle likely to end level, with under 2.5 goals as the standout betting tip. For those seeking value in the sports betting markets, the draw and unders both make sense based on the numbers and the head to head history.

  • Low-scoring, hard-fought, and likely decided by small details—just the way these derbies usually go.
  • For punters, the best approach is to trust the under 2.5 goals market and keep an eye on late team news, especially regarding key injuries.

Whatever the outcome, this Banfield vs Lanus (Arg) prediction promises another intriguing chapter in one of Argentina's most evenly matched rivalries. Good luck, and as always, bet responsibly!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Banfield didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Banfield vs Lanus (Arg)

U2.5 -278

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -278
5/10

1x2 Tip

X 180

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -278

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -185

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -123

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:0

Stats Predictions

58%
Ball Possession
42%
15
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.98
Expected Goals
1.18
2.3
Total Goals
1.9
0.9
Goals Scored
1.4
1.4
Goals Against
0.5
43%
Possession
42%
12.6
Total Shots
9.2
3.9
Shots on Goal
3.3
5.2
Shots off Goal
4.2
12.3
Fouls
14.2
4.5
Corners
2.6
1.2
Offsides
1.9
1.6
Yellow Cards
2.1
0.22
Red Cards
0.17
285
Total Passes
346

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
7
6
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
3
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
4
Both Teams Scored
4
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Banfield
6 - 6 - 4
Lanus (Arg)
Lanus (Arg) Lanus (Arg) 19-Apr-25
1:1
Banfield Banfield
Banfield Banfield 30-Nov-24
0:1
Lanus (Arg) Lanus (Arg)
Lanus (Arg) Lanus (Arg) 26-Feb-24
1:1
Banfield Banfield
Banfield Banfield 01-Oct-23
1:0
Lanus (Arg) Lanus (Arg)
Lanus (Arg) Lanus (Arg) 16-Jul-23
2:2
Banfield Banfield
Banfield Banfield 18-Sep-22
1:2
Lanus (Arg) Lanus (Arg)
Lanus (Arg) Lanus (Arg) 19-Mar-22
0:1
Banfield Banfield
Lanus (Arg) Lanus (Arg) 16-Oct-21
1:1
Banfield Banfield
Banfield Banfield 20-Mar-21
2:0
Lanus (Arg) Lanus (Arg)
Lanus (Arg) Lanus (Arg) 09-Nov-19
0:1
Banfield Banfield

Profile time Recent Matches of Banfield

30 Jan Sarmiento Sarmiento.
-
Banfield. Banfield

Profile time Recent Matches of Lanus (Arg)

29 JanLanus Lanus.
-
Union S.Union S
23 JanWSan Lorenzo San Lorenz.
2:3
Lanus.Lanus
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