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Match Prediction

Banfield vs Newells Old Boys Prediction

Finished

Banfield

€14.18m

21 Feb17:15
3 : 0

Newells

€23.88m

Preview

Banfield vs Newells Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Banfield vs Newells Old Boys prediction for Feb 21, 2026

The Banfield vs Newells Old Boys prediction for Saturday, February 21, 2026, feels like one of those Liga Profesional Argentina nights where patience matters as much as talent. They meet at Estadio Florencio Sola in Buenos Aires, with kickoff set for 20:00 GMT (12:00 local time). Banfield come in needing a lift, Newell’s are searching for oxygen, and for bettors the betting odds suggest a tight one: 2.5 for the home win, 3.0 for the draw, and 3.45 for the away win.

What to expect on the pitch: tactics, form, and key names

Pedro Troglio’s Banfield have been trying to look sturdier after conceding too early in recent matches, and that usually means a pragmatic base before the risks come out. Expect either a 4-4-2 or 4-2-3.0, with a lot of their best moments coming from the flanks and service into Mauro Méndez, their main goal threat this season. The creative engine is Luis Ignacio Abraham, who has been piling up dangerous passes and leads the league in big chances created (5). Even with defensive issues lately, Facundo Sanguinetti remains the young constant in goal.

The recent results explain why Banfield’s home crowd will be edgy. A 0–2 defeat to Racing Club on February 14 and a 0–1 loss to Belgrano are hard to dress up, even if the 2–1 win over Estudiantes de Río Cuarto showed they can scrap when needed. They’re hovering around mid-table, and the message is simple: use home advantage, or the season becomes a long walk.

Newell’s, now under Favio Orsi and Sergio Gómez for 2026, have had even less calm. They drew 1–1 with Deportivo Riestra on February 17 thanks to Juan Ignacio “Colo” Ramírez converting an 88th-minute penalty, after losses to Defensa y Justicia (2–3) and Boca (0–2). The coaches have leaned toward a 4-2-3.0, but the big headache is balance: they can shoot a lot in one week, then look wide open the next, and clean sheets have been missing for more than five matches.

Team news and availability

  • Banfield absences: Brandon Oviedo (ACL), Joaquín Pombo (ACL), Lisandro Piñero (muscle).
  • Newell’s concerns: Alejo Montero (ACL, late-2026 target), Ian Glavinovich (muscle), Oscar Salomón (strain doubt).

Betting angles and Banfield vs Newells Old Boys prediction

Let’s talk numbers, because this is where the Banfield vs Newells Old Boys prediction becomes clearer for sports betting. The model expects Banfield to have about 53% possession to Newell’s 47%, with shots leaning 13.00. Interestingly, on-target shots are predicted at 3–3, which is usually a polite way of saying: “don’t expect a festival.” Corners are projected at 4–4 (8 total), and discipline looks even too, with 2 yellows each.

Even the squad values add a small twist: Banfield are priced around €14.18m while Newell’s sit higher at €23.88m. Yet football loves ignoring spreadsheets, and the head to head angle points to Banfield confidence. The last meeting on 2025-01-27 ended Banfield 3–0 Newell’s, and Banfield have won the last three meetings, which matters when nerves enter the game.

From a pure betting odds perspective, the AI’s top play is under 2.5 goals at 1.48, with a 6.5/10 trust level. That matches the expected flow: modest shot quality, two teams carrying scars, and coaches who would happily take control before taking chances. The projected final score is 1–0, with a 0–0 first half—classic “mate stays hot longer than the first half highlights” territory.

For the 1X2 market, NerdyTips’ AI leans to Banfield to win (pick “1”) at around 2.5, but with a low trust score of 2.2. In other words, it’s a lean, not a life plan. If you want the safer lane, under 2.5 goals fits both the tactical setup and the statistical expectations, and it’s the cleanest way to align this Banfield vs Newells Old Boys prediction with how the match is likely to feel.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Banfield vs Newells

U2.5 -208

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -208
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 150

Banfield is expected to win with odds of 150
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -208

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -152

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -217

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.22
xG
0.89
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.18
Expected Goals
0.89
2.2
Total Goals
2.4
0.9
Goals Scored
0.9
1.3
Goals Against
1.5
44%
Possession
42%
13.1
Total Shots
11.3
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.8
5.4
Shots off Goal
4.8
9.7
Fouls
13.1
4.2
Corners
4.2
2.2
Offsides
2.2
2.7
Yellow Cards
2.9
277
Total Passes
262

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
1
7
Over 1.5 Goals
8
4
Over 2.5 Goals
3
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Banfield
5 - 4 - 3
Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys Newells 20-Jul-25
1:2
Banfield Banfield
Banfield Banfield 27-Jan-25
3:0
Newells Newells Old Boys
Banfield Banfield 05-Jun-24
2:0
Newells Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys Newells 19-Feb-23
2:0
Banfield Banfield
Banfield Banfield 04-Jun-22
1:2
Newells Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys Newells 20-Apr-22
1:0
Banfield Banfield
Newells Old Boys Newells 07-Dec-21
0:0
Banfield Banfield
Newells Old Boys Newells 04-Oct-19
0:0
Banfield Banfield

Profile time Recent Matches of Banfield

03 Mar Banfield Banfield - Aldosivi Aldosivi -
26 FebL River Plate River Plate 3 Banfield Banfield 1
21 FebW Banfield Banfield 3 Newells Newells 0
14 FebL Banfield Banfield 0 Racing Club Racing Club 2
08 FebL Belgrano Belgrano 1 Banfield Banfield 0
03 FebW Banfield Banfield 2 Estudiant Estudiant 1
30 JanL Sarmiento Sarmiento 1 Banfield Banfield 0
22 JanD Banfield Banfield 1 Huracan Huracan 1
16 NovD Central C Central C 1 Banfield Banfield 1
09 NovL Banfield Banfield 0 Aldosivi Aldosivi 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Newells

01 MarLNewells Newells 0 Rosario C Rosario C 2
25 FebLNewells Newells 0 Estudiant Estudiant 2
21 FebLBanfield Banfield 3 Newells Newells 0
16 FebDDep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 1 Newells Newells 1
08 FebLNewells Newells 2 Defensa J Defensa J 3
01 FebLBoca Juniors Boca Juniors 2 Newells Newells 0
28 JanDNewells Newells 1 Independiente Independiente 1
24 JanLTalleres Talleres 2 Newells Newells 1
16 NovLNewells Newells 0 Racing Club Racing Club 1
08 NovWHuracan Huracan 0 Newells Newells 2

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ.7
11-7
16
2 Tigre Tigre8
13-6
15
3 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano7
9-4
15
4 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes7
7-2
15
5 Velez Sarsfield Velez7
8-4
15
6 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe8
11-5
14
7 Rosario Central Rosario8
10-6
14
8 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y8
7-4
14
9 Independiente Independiente8
11-7
13
10 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo8
7-5
12
11 Platense Platense7
5-3
12
12 Talleres Cordoba Talleres8
8-9
11
13 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.8
8-9
11
14 River Plate River Plate7
7-7
10
15 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors7
6-5
9
16 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS6
4-3
9
17 Barracas Central Barracas8
6-7
9
18 Huracan Huracan7
5-6
9
19 Instituto Cordoba Instituto8
9-10
8
20 Lanus Lanus6
8-9
8
21 Racing Club Racing Club7
8-9
8
22 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de8
3-6
8
23 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.8
5-10
8
24 Banfield Banfield7
7-9
7
25 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento7
5-9
6
26 Atletico Tucuman Atletico7
9-10
5
27 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo7
2-5
4
28 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio7
3-11
4
29 Aldosivi Aldosivi6
2-6
3
30 Newells Old Boys Newells Old8
5-16
2
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