Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Preview
The Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction starts with one big detail: this is the Champions League knockout play-off second leg, kicking off at 20:00 GMT on 2026-02-24 at the BayArena, and Leverkusen arrive holding a 2–0 cushion from the first leg in Greece. Patrik Schick’s double (60’, 63’) didn’t just win the night in Piraeus — it changed the whole mood of the tie.
There’s a neat “revenge” thread running through the head to head. Olympiakos beat Leverkusen 2–0 in the league phase in January, then Leverkusen returned the same scoreline in the first leg when it mattered most. That makes the second leg less about chaos and more about discipline: Leverkusen can even lose by one goal and still go through on aggregate.
Under Kasper Hjulmand, Leverkusen have looked built for two-leg football. They’re on a seven-match unbeaten run (six wins and a draw), and the defensive base has been the headline: only two conceded across that spell. The shape is usually a 3-4.15-1, with Alex Grimaldo giving width and quality from wing-back areas, while Schick stays the reference point up front. The expected return of Edmond Tapsoba and Robert Andrich adds muscle in duels — useful when you’re protecting an advantage and the opponent is forced to take risks.
Leverkusen’s main concern is still in goal. Mark Flekken remains out with a knee injury, so Janis Blaswich is set to continue. Further forward, Nathan Tella (foot) and Eliesse Ben Seghir (ankle) are also unavailable, which slightly narrows the rotation options for late-game speed.
Olympiakos, led by José Luis Mendilibar, are expected to be far more front-foot than in the first leg. His 4.15-3-1 is direct and vertical by design, and the mission is obvious: score first, then make the stadium nervous. Mehdi Taremi is the focal point, with Gelson Martins supplying pace. Rodinei may be asked to push high from full-back to stretch Leverkusen’s back three. One key watch is Lorenzo Pirola, whose status is uncertain after a heavy collision in the first leg; Theofanis Bakoulas is out, and Santiago Hezze is available but one booking away from suspension in the next round.
The betting odds reflect the leverage Leverkusen hold: Home win 1.8, Draw 4.15, Away win 4.5. On paper, it’s also a gap in squad value (€4.15.75m vs €136.75m), but both clubs have already shown they can ruin a script. Leverkusen’s 0–2 win away to Manchester City in November (priced at 9.5) is a reminder they travel like a top side, while Olympiakos’ 0–1 win at Porto (odds 5.59) shows they can survive pressure and nick a result.
For this Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction, our numbers point to a controlled match rather than a goal storm. The best tip is Under 3.5 total goals at 1.52 odds, confidence 3.3/10. That fits the tactical story: Leverkusen don’t need to chase, and Olympiakos may spend spells wrestling for territory rather than creating clean chances.
Leverkusen are projected to own 67% possession, with 12 shots to Olympiakos’ 8, and 4 shots on target to 2. Corners are estimated at 4.15 (6 total), and cards slightly favor the visitors (Leverkusen 1, Olympiakos 2), which matches a scenario where Olympiakos have to foul to stop counters. Put together, it suggests Leverkusen will control the ball, Olympiakos will have moments, and the game may stay within that Under 3.5 line even if it gets tense late.
Read More
Bayer Leverkusen didn't play better in the last H2H match!
U3.5 -192
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1921 -125
Leverkusen is expected to win with odds of -125Under 3.5 -192
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -141
Both teams are expected to score1X&U5.5 -286
Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
0:1
2:1
|
|
1
-
0
-
1
|
|
 Olympiakos |
18-Feb-26
0:2
| Leverkusen  |
| Olympiakos |
20-Jan-26
2:0
| Leverkusen |
Recent Matches of Leverkusen| 21 Feb | L |
Union Berlin
| 1 |
Leverkusen
| 0 |
| 18 Feb | W |
Olympiakos
| 0 |
Leverkusen
| 2 |
| 14 Feb | W |
Leverkusen
| 4 |
St. Pauli
| 0 |
| 07 Feb | D |
Borussia M
| 1 |
Leverkusen
| 1 |
| 03 Feb | W |
Leverkusen
| 3 |
St. Pauli
| 0 |
| 31 Jan | W |
Frankfurt
| 1 |
Leverkusen
| 3 |
| 28 Jan | W |
Leverkusen
| 3 |
Villarreal
| 0 |
| 24 Jan | W |
Leverkusen
| 1 |
Werder Bremen
| 0 |
| 20 Jan | L |
Olympiakos
| 2 |
Leverkusen
| 0 |
| 17 Jan | L |
Hoffenheim
| 1 |
Leverkusen
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Olympiakos
| 21 Feb | W | Olympiakos |
2 |  Panetolikos |
0 |
| 18 Feb | L | Olympiakos |
0 | Leverkusen |
2 |
| 14 Feb | D |  Levadiakos |
0 | Olympiakos |
0 |
| 08 Feb | L | Olympiakos |
0 |  Panathinaikos |
1 |
| 04 Feb | W |  Asteras T |
0 | Olympiakos |
3 |
| 01 Feb | D |  AEK Athens FC |
1 | Olympiakos |
1 |
| 28 Jan | W |  Ajax |
1 | Olympiakos |
2 |
| 24 Jan | W | Olympiakos |
1 |  Volos |
0 |
| 20 Jan | W | Olympiakos |
2 | Leverkusen |
0 |
| 14 Jan | L | Olympiakos |
0 |  PAOK |
2 |
World - UEFA Champions League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal | 8 | 23-4 | 24 |
| 2 |
Bayern | 8 | 22-8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Liverpool | 8 | 20-8 | 18 |
| 4 |
Tottenham | 8 | 17-7 | 17 |
| 5 |
Barcelona | 8 | 22-14 | 16 |
| 6 |
Chelsea | 8 | 17-10 | 16 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP | 8 | 17-11 | 16 |
| 8 |
Manchester | 8 | 15-9 | 16 |
| 9 |
Real Madrid | 8 | 21-12 | 15 |
| 10 |
Inter | 8 | 15-7 | 15 |
| 11 |
Paris Saint | 8 | 21-11 | 14 |
| 12 |
Newcastle | 8 | 17-7 | 14 |
| 13 |
Juventus | 8 | 14-10 | 13 |
| 14 |
Atletico | 8 | 17-15 | 13 |
| 15 |
Atalanta | 8 | 10-10 | 13 |
| 16 |
Bayer | 8 | 13-14 | 12 |
| 17 |
Borussia | 8 | 19-17 | 11 |
| 18 |
Olympiakos | 8 | 10-14 | 11 |
| 19 |
Club Brugge KV | 8 | 15-17 | 10 |
| 20 |
Galatasaray | 8 | 9-11 | 10 |
| 21 |
Monaco | 8 | 8-14 | 10 |
| 22 |
Qarabag | 8 | 13-21 | 10 |
| 23 |
Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 14-15 | 9 |
| 24 |
Benfica | 8 | 10-12 | 9 |
| 25 |
Marseille | 8 | 11-14 | 9 |
| 26 |
Pafos | 8 | 8-11 | 9 |
| 27 |
Union St. | 8 | 8-17 | 9 |
| 28 |
PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 16-16 | 8 |
| 29 |
Athletic Club | 8 | 9-14 | 8 |
| 30 |
Napoli | 8 | 9-15 | 8 |
| 31 |
FC Copenhagen | 8 | 12-21 | 8 |
| 32 |
Ajax | 8 | 8-21 | 6 |
| 33 |
Eintracht | 8 | 10-21 | 4 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha | 8 | 5-19 | 3 |
| 35 |
Villarreal | 8 | 5-18 | 1 |
| 36 |
Kairat Almaty | 8 | 7-22 | 1 |
