Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Preview
Welcome to our Blackpool vs Northampton prediction, where we dig into the numbers, the narrative, and the nuances ahead of their League One meeting at Bloomfield Road on January 24, 2026. With both sides locked on 29 points and hovering just above the relegation trapdoor, this one feels as much about nerve as it does about numbers. Let’s break down the latest team news, tactical tweaks, and betting tips to help you make sense of what’s at stake.
It’s been a tense winter for both Blackpool and Northampton Town. The Seasiders, currently in 20th spot, have endured a rollercoaster of results. December brought a glimmer of hope with a 4-0 trouncing of Rotherham and a narrow win over Doncaster, but January has been less kind, with a bruising 5-1 loss at Port Vale and a recent 0-0 stalemate against Barnsley. Their last head to head with Northampton ended goalless, and both teams are desperate to find the net again.
Northampton, meanwhile, sit just one place below Blackpool, also on 29 points, but their away form is a real worry—seven defeats in twelve outings on the road. Kevin Nolan’s men have struggled for goals, finding the net just 22 times in the league, only better than Port Vale. Their last two games finished 0-0, underlining their lack of attacking bite but also their resilience at the back.
Tactically, Blackpool’s Ian Evatt has shifted to a three-man midfield, which has given them more control in possession—something reflected in our data, which predicts a 61% share of the ball for the hosts. Northampton tend to keep things compact, but their lack of firepower has cost them dearly.
When it comes to head to head meetings, Blackpool have the edge, winning 60% of their League One matches against Northampton. They’ve also taken six of the last twelve encounters in all competitions. The last meeting, however, was a drab 0-0, so recent history suggests this could be a tight affair.
From a financial perspective, Blackpool’s squad is valued at €10.75m—more than double Northampton’s €5.18m. This gulf in resources has often translated into results, especially at Bloomfield Road.
Let’s turn to the numbers that matter for punters. Bookmakers have Blackpool as favourites at 2.1 for the win, with a draw at 3.5 and Northampton at 3.65. Our NerdyTips AI has crunched the stats and recommends a 1X (home win or draw) with a high confidence rating of 8.9/10 and odds of 1.31—suggesting the hosts are unlikely to lose.
The final verdict? Our AI forecasts a 2.1 win for Blackpool, with the home team leading 1:0 at half-time. Expect both sides to win four corners and pick up a yellow card apiece.
In summary, our Blackpool vs Northampton prediction points to a narrow home win. The Tangerines’ greater squad depth, historical advantage, and home support should be enough to edge out a Northampton side struggling for goals on the road. For those seeking betting tips, the 1X market looks the safest play, but a punt on over 1.5 goals could also deliver value.
With both teams desperate for points, expect a tense, hard-fought encounter—but the numbers, history, and our AI all lean towards Blackpool keeping their heads above water, at least for another week.
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1X -323
Blackpool to win or draw with odds of -3231 110
Blackpool is expected to win with odds of 110Over 1.5 -278
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -111
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -137
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:0
2:1
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|
5
-
1
-
4
|
|
 Northampton |
13-Sep-25
1:0
| Blackpool  |
| Northampton |
22-Mar-25
0:2
| Blackpool |
| Blackpool |
16-Nov-24
0:0
| Northampton |
| Northampton |
12-Mar-24
0:1
| Blackpool |
| Blackpool |
28-Nov-23
1:2
| Northampton |
| Northampton |
01-May-21
0:3
| Blackpool |
| Blackpool |
02-Feb-21
2:0
| Northampton |
| Blackpool |
10-Apr-18
3:0
| Northampton |
| Northampton |
28-Oct-17
1:0
| Blackpool |
| Northampton |
11-Aug-15
3:0
| Blackpool |
Recent Matches of Blackpool| 31 Jan |
Luton.
|
-
| Blackpool.
| |
| 24 Jan | W |
Blackpool.
|
2:0
| Northampton.
|
| 17 Jan | L |
Barnsley.
|
2:1
| Blackpool.
|
| 10 Jan | L |
Ipswich.
|
2:1
| Blackpool.
|
| 04 Jan | L |
Blackpool.
|
1:2
| Bradford Cit.
|
| 01 Jan | L |
Port Vale.
|
5:1
| Blackpool.
|
| 29 Dec | W |
Blackpool.
|
4:0
| Rotherham.
|
| 26 Dec | W |
Blackpool.
|
1:0
| Doncaster.
|
| 20 Dec | W |
Wigan.
|
0:2
| Blackpool.
|
| 13 Dec | D |
Blackpool.
|
2:2
| Lincoln.
|
Recent Matches of Northampton
| 31 Jan | Northampton. |
- |
Reading. | |
| 24 Jan | L | Blackpool. |
2:0 |
Northampton. |
| 17 Jan | L | Northampton. |
1:2 |
Wycombe. |
| 14 Jan | W | Northampton. |
4:2 |
Walsall. |
| 04 Jan | D |  Bolton. |
0:0 |
Northampton. |
| 01 Jan | D | Northampton. |
0:0 |
Stockport. |
| 29 Dec | L |  Huddersfield. |
2:0 |
Northampton. |
| 26 Dec | L |  Burton. |
5:1 |
Northampton. |
| 19 Dec | W | Northampton. |
3:1 |
AFC Wimbledo. |
| 13 Dec | L |  Peterborough. |
2:1 |
Northampton. |
England - League One| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cardiff | 27 | 46-27 | 56 |
| 2 |
Lincoln | 27 | 44-29 | 52 |
| 3 |
Bolton | 28 | 35-26 | 46 |
| 4 |
Bradford | 26 | 35-28 | 46 |
| 5 |
Stockport | 27 | 38-33 | 46 |
| 6 |
Huddersfield | 28 | 47-38 | 42 |
| 7 |
Luton | 27 | 37-33 | 39 |
| 8 |
Stevenage | 26 | 28-24 | 39 |
| 9 |
Peterborough | 27 | 35-35 | 38 |
| 10 |
Exeter City | 26 | 31-24 | 36 |
| 11 |
Mansfield Town | 25 | 35-29 | 36 |
| 12 |
Wycombe | 27 | 34-31 | 36 |
| 13 |
Reading | 26 | 35-33 | 36 |
| 14 |
Plymouth | 27 | 34-39 | 36 |
| 15 |
Barnsley | 23 | 37-36 | 33 |
| 16 |
Leyton Orient | 27 | 40-45 | 32 |
| 17 |
Blackpool | 27 | 34-39 | 32 |
| 18 |
AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 28-35 | 32 |
| 19 |
Wigan | 26 | 29-31 | 31 |
| 20 |
Burton Albion | 26 | 27-37 | 30 |
| 21 |
Northampton | 26 | 23-32 | 29 |
| 22 |
Doncaster | 26 | 28-44 | 27 |
| 23 |
Rotherham | 26 | 25-39 | 25 |
| 24 |
Port Vale | 25 | 19-37 | 18 |
