Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Preview
Welcome to our Bolton vs Burton prediction for the League One fixture on January 27, 2026. If you’re looking for a friendly, stats-packed preview with a dash of humor and plenty of useful betting info, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down the teams, the numbers, and what our AI thinks will happen when Bolton Wanderers host Burton Albion at the Toughsheet Community Stadium.
Bolton Wanderers, or simply Bolton for those who don’t have time for extra syllables, are enjoying a solid season so far. Sitting 5th in League One with 43 points from 27 games, they’ve turned their home ground into a bit of a fortress: 8 wins, 4 draws, and just a single defeat. Their goal tally stands at 33 scored and 25 conceded, showing a team that’s tough to break down but not always free-scoring.
Burton Albion, or Burton for short, are having a more turbulent campaign. They’re currently 19th with 30 points, having won 8, drawn 6, and lost 12. Their away form is less than inspiring—just 3 wins from 13 trips, with 6 losses. They’ve scored 27 and conceded 37, so their defense has been a bit leaky, and their attack sometimes struggles to find the net.
Looking at their head to head history, Bolton have the upper hand: 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, with Burton taking one and one draw between them. The most common scoreline? 2-1, which has popped up three times. But don’t forget, Burton did pull off a surprise 3-0 win in their last direct encounter—proof that football loves a good plot twist.
Bolton are known for their high-octane, attack-minded football. They like to keep the ball, push forward, and test opposition defenses. Their backline is well-organized, which explains their decent defensive record. Burton, on the other hand, are all about grit and compactness. They defend deep, stay physical, and look to frustrate their opponents—sometimes at the expense of their own attacking ambitions.
In terms of market value, Bolton’s squad is valued at €17.62m, nearly double Burton’s €8.30m. That financial muscle often shows on the pitch, but as we know, money doesn’t always buy goals—or points.
Now, let’s talk numbers and predictions. The betting odds paint a clear picture: Bolton are heavy favorites at 1.57 for the home win, while a draw sits at 4.15 and a Burton win is a long shot at 6.6. But here’s where it gets interesting: our AI model is leaning towards an upset, predicting a 2-1 win for Burton, with a confidence of 1.6 out of 10. That’s not exactly a ringing endorsement, but it’s enough to make you think twice before writing off the Brewers.
Statistically, Bolton are expected to dominate possession (69%) and rack up more shots (14 to Burton’s 7), but both sides are only projected to get a handful on target (3 for Bolton, 2 for Burton). Corners should be plentiful for the home side (8), while both teams are expected to keep their discipline with just one yellow card each.
If you’re looking for a safe bet, under 3.5 total goals looks like the way to go. Both teams have shown a tendency for tight games, and with Bolton’s solid defense and Burton’s conservative approach, a goal-fest seems unlikely. The odds of 1.57 aren’t huge, but the trust rating of 6.4/10 makes it a sensible pick.
For the more adventurous, backing Burton for the win at 6.6 could be tempting—especially given their recent surprise results and that memorable 3-0 head to head victory. But remember, the confidence in this prediction isn’t sky-high, so maybe don’t stake your life savings.
To sum up our Bolton vs Burton prediction: Bolton are favorites for a reason, but don’t count out a stubborn Burton side that’s capable of upsetting the odds. Expect a tactical battle, not a goal-fest, and keep an eye on the under 3.5 goals market. Whatever happens, it should be a fascinating watch for League One fans and punters alike!
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U3.5 -278
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2782 560
Burton is expected to win with odds of 560Under 3.5 -278
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -103
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&U5.5 181
Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
0:1
1:2
|
|
4
-
4
-
6
|
|
 Burton |
11-Oct-25
3:0
| Bolton  |
| Burton |
08-Mar-25
1:2
| Bolton |
| Bolton |
19-Oct-24
2:1
| Burton |
| Bolton |
01-Jan-24
1:0
| Burton |
| Burton |
26-Aug-23
1:1
| Bolton |
| Burton |
18-Apr-23
1:1
| Bolton |
| Bolton |
25-Oct-22
2:1
| Burton |
| Burton |
15-Feb-22
3:1
| Bolton |
| Bolton |
06-Sep-21
0:0
| Burton |
| Burton |
10-Mar-20
2:2
| Bolton |
Recent Matches of Bolton| 31 Jan |
AFC Wimbledo.
|
-
| Bolton.
| |
| 27 Jan | W |
Bolton.
|
2:1
| Burton.
|
| 24 Jan | W |
Bolton.
|
2:1
| Leyton Orien.
|
| 20 Jan | D |
Stevenage.
|
0:0
| Bolton.
|
| 17 Jan | W |
Wigan.
|
0:1
| Bolton.
|
| 13 Jan | L |
Bolton.
|
0:1
| Port Vale.
|
| 10 Jan | L |
Peterborough.
|
3:1
| Bolton.
|
| 04 Jan | D |
Bolton.
|
0:0
| Northampton.
|
| 01 Jan | D |
Doncaster.
|
1:1
| Bolton.
|
| 29 Dec | L |
Bolton.
|
0:1
| Mansfield.
|
Recent Matches of Burton
| 27 Jan | L | Bolton. |
2:1 |
Burton. |
| 22 Jan | L |  Lincoln. |
2:1 |
Burton. |
| 17 Jan | W | Burton. |
3:1 |
Huddersfield. |
| 10 Jan | W |  Boreham Wood. |
0:5 |
Burton. |
| 04 Jan | L |  Plymouth. |
3:0 |
Burton. |
| 01 Jan | L |  Reading. |
2:0 |
Burton. |
| 29 Dec | L | Burton. |
0:2 |
Wigan. |
| 26 Dec | W | Burton. |
5:1 |
Northampton. |
| 20 Dec | D |  Stevenage. |
2:2 |
Burton. |
| 13 Dec | D | Burton. |
0:0 |
Wycombe. |
England - League One| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cardiff | 27 | 46-27 | 56 |
| 2 |
Lincoln | 27 | 44-29 | 52 |
| 3 |
Bolton | 28 | 35-26 | 46 |
| 4 |
Bradford | 26 | 35-28 | 46 |
| 5 |
Stockport | 27 | 38-33 | 46 |
| 6 |
Huddersfield | 28 | 47-38 | 42 |
| 7 |
Luton | 27 | 37-33 | 39 |
| 8 |
Stevenage | 26 | 28-24 | 39 |
| 9 |
Peterborough | 27 | 35-35 | 38 |
| 10 |
Exeter City | 26 | 31-24 | 36 |
| 11 |
Mansfield Town | 25 | 35-29 | 36 |
| 12 |
Wycombe | 27 | 34-31 | 36 |
| 13 |
Reading | 26 | 35-33 | 36 |
| 14 |
Plymouth | 27 | 34-39 | 36 |
| 15 |
Barnsley | 23 | 37-36 | 33 |
| 16 |
Leyton Orient | 27 | 40-45 | 32 |
| 17 |
Blackpool | 27 | 34-39 | 32 |
| 18 |
AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 28-35 | 32 |
| 19 |
Wigan | 26 | 29-31 | 31 |
| 20 |
Burton Albion | 26 | 27-37 | 30 |
| 21 |
Northampton | 26 | 23-32 | 29 |
| 22 |
Doncaster | 26 | 28-44 | 27 |
| 23 |
Rotherham | 26 | 25-39 | 25 |
| 24 |
Port Vale | 25 | 19-37 | 18 |
