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Match Prediction

Cherno More vs Lok. Sofia Prediction

Finished

Cherno More

€5.45m

22 Nov07:30
0 : 1

Lok. Sofia

€9.10m

Preview

Cherno More vs Lok. Sofia Prediction First League

Cherno More vs Lok. Sofia Prediction: Odds, Stats & Smart Betting Tips

Welcome to our Cherno More vs Lok. Sofia prediction for the First League fixture set for November 22, 2025, at 12:30 GMT. As the two teams prepare to meet at Ticha Stadium in Varna, we dive into the latest tactics, form, and betting odds to help you make informed decisions. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just browsing for insights, our preview delivers a clear, easy-to-follow guide on what to expect from this intriguing encounter.

Team Form, Standings & Tactical Insights

Cherno More, currently sitting 3rd in the league table with 27 points, have enjoyed a strong run at home this season. Their opponents, Lokomotiv Sofia, are positioned 11th with 16 points and have found consistency hard to come by. The home side’s recent record at Ticha Stadium is impressive, boasting three wins, with half of their last six home matches ending in draws. This blend of resilience and attacking flair makes them a formidable force on their own turf.

Lokomotiv Sofia, by contrast, are navigating a period of transition. Their form has been described as mixed, with three defeats in their last six league outings and a worrying trend of conceding in each of their previous nine games. Although they have managed two away wins this campaign, the away side remains unpredictable, both in terms of results and performance.

Head to Head and Recent Encounters

  • Head to head record: 35 meetings, Cherno More with 13 wins, Lokomotiv Sofia with 12, and 10 draws.
  • Recent form favors Cherno More, who have won 5 of the last 9 encounters, while Lok. Sofia has only managed one victory in that stretch.
  • Their most recent meeting in July 2025 ended in a 1-1 draw, but Cherno More dominated the last home fixture, winning 4-0.

Interestingly, despite Lok. Sofia’s slightly higher squad value (€9.10m versus Cherno More’s €5.45m), it’s the home team who have consistently had the upper hand in recent head to head matchups. This trend is reflected in the betting odds for this match: Cherno More are clear favorites at 1.78 for a home win, with the draw at 3.5 and an away win priced at a distant 5.1.

Player News & Tactical Adjustments

  • Cherno More will look to their in-form duo, Nikolay Zlatev and Georgi Lazarov, both with five goals this season, to provide the attacking spark.
  • Lok. Sofia have made headlines with the recent signing of former Liverpool winger Jordan Ibe, who is aiming to revive his career in Bulgaria. However, his match fitness remains a question mark, and it is unclear if he will feature from the start.
  • Lok. Sofia’s coaching staff are reportedly focusing on tactical tweaks to shore up a leaky defense and find some much-needed stability before the winter break.

The management at Lokomotiv Sofia have publicly welcomed Ibe, wishing him health and success, but the club’s immediate focus is clearly on tightening up defensively and picking up points before the season’s pause.

AI Betting Insights & Cherno More vs Lok. Sofia Prediction

Let’s turn to our AI-driven Cherno More vs Lok. Sofia prediction for the best betting angles. Our models strongly favor the home team to take all three points, assigning a trust level of 5.1/10 for the home win at odds of 1.78. NerdyTips also highlights this as the best tip, with a slightly lower trust level (5.9/10) but matching odds.

  • 1x2 Prediction: Cherno More win (1), trust level 5.1/10, odds 1.78
  • Best Tip: Home win (1), trust level 5.9/10, odds 1.78
  • Over/Under: Under 2.5 total goals, confidence 4.2, odds 1.78
  • Final Score Prediction: 2:0 to Cherno More
  • Half-time Score: 1:0 to Cherno More

Despite Lok. Sofia’s higher market value and recent high-profile signing, the stats and betting odds point firmly towards a home victory. Cherno More’s solid defense and consistent home form, combined with Lok. Sofia’s ongoing defensive struggles, suggest a low-scoring game is likely—making under 2.5 goals a solid pick for value seekers.

Key Takeaways for Bettors

  1. The Cherno More vs Lok. Sofia prediction leans strongly towards a home win, supported by both recent form and head to head data.
  2. Under 2.5 goals is a smart secondary bet, given both teams’ recent scoring trends and defensive priorities.
  3. Lok. Sofia’s new signing Jordan Ibe adds intrigue, but his immediate impact may be limited due to fitness concerns.

In summary, our expert view is that Cherno More should secure a professional, if unspectacular, win in front of their home fans. For punters, the best value lies in backing the home team and considering the under on total goals. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the action!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Cherno More vs Lok. Sofia

1 -128

Cherno More is expected to win with odds of -128
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -128

Cherno More is expected to win with odds of -128
5/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -145

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -139

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -278

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Average / Match

1.8
Total Goals
2.7
1.2
Goals Scored
1.2
0.6
Goals Against
1.5

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
2
5
Over 1.5 Goals
7
3
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
4
3
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Cherno More
5 - 3 - 1
Lok. Sofia
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia 18-Jul-25
1:1
Cherno More Cherno More
Cherno More Cherno More 03-Dec-24
4:0
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia 04-Aug-24
2:1
Cherno More Cherno More
Cherno More Cherno More 04-Apr-24
3:0
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia 01-Oct-23
0:0
Cherno More Cherno More
Cherno More Cherno More 29-Oct-22
2:1
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia 10-Jul-22
0:1
Cherno More Cherno More
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia 27-Feb-22
0:3
Cherno More Cherno More
Cherno More Cherno More 18-Sep-21
1:1
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia

Profile time Recent Matches of Cherno More

Profile time Recent Matches of Lok. Sofia

25 JanDLok. Sofia Lok. Sofia.
3:3
Zorya.Zorya
24 JanDZlin Zlin.
0:0
Lok. Sofia.Lok. Sofia

Bulgaria - First League Bulgaria - First League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia19
43-12
44
2 CSKA 1948 CSKA 194819
31-20
37
3 Ludogorets Ludogorets18
31-13
34
4 Cherno More Varna Cherno More19
25-14
33
5 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia19
27-16
31
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv19
20-22
29
7 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia19
23-21
28
8 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv19
21-18
26
9 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa19
15-16
25
10 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali19
20-19
24
11 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv19
25-29
21
12 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna19
18-30
17
13 Beroe Beroe18
16-28
16
14 Montana Montana19
14-33
15
15 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri19
19-41
15
16 Dobrudzha Dobrudzha19
13-29
12
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