Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Colombia
€394.45m
Bolivia
€31.55m
Preview
The Colombia vs Bolivia prediction for the upcoming World Cup Qualification South America match on September 5, 2025, is shaping up to be one of the most anticipated fixtures in the region. With direct qualification for the 2026 World Cup within reach for Colombia, and Bolivia desperate to keep their hopes alive, fans can expect a match brimming with intensity and tactical intrigue. Let’s break down the head to head record, team news, and betting tips to help you make the smartest picks.
When it comes to head to head stats, Colombia have long been the dominant force. In 17 meetings, Colombia have claimed victory 11 times, while Bolivia have managed just 2 wins, with 4 draws sprinkled in. Zooming in on their last 13 encounters since 2003, Colombia have won 8, Bolivia 2, and 3 ended even. The goal difference is telling: Colombia 23, Bolivia 10. However, the most recent competitive fixture went Bolivia’s way—a surprise 1-0 win in October 2024. Colombia did bounce back with a 3-0 win in a friendly shortly after, but that defeat still lingers in the minds of fans.
Colombia, under Néstor Lorenzo, have assembled a squad brimming with European-based talent and experienced campaigners. The likes of Luis Díaz (Liverpool/Bayern Munich) and James Rodríguez (Club León) offer attacking flair, while veterans like David Ospina and Yerry Mina provide stability at the back. Notably, 39-year-old Dayro Moreno has been recalled, adding a fairy-tale twist to the squad sheet. The return of Yerson Mosquera from a long-term injury boosts defensive options.
Colombia’s recent form in qualifiers, however, has been less than stellar. They’re winless in six, with draws against Argentina and Paraguay, and narrow losses to Brazil and Ecuador. Still, their performance in Barranquilla has historically been strong, and with a market value of €394.45m versus Bolivia’s €31.55m, the gulf in quality is evident.
Bolivia, meanwhile, sit eighth in the table, just outside the playoff spots. Their away win over Chile last September was a rare highlight, but off-field distractions—most notably doping allegations against Boris Céspedes and Ramiro Vaca—threaten to overshadow their campaign. Midfield anchor Moisés Villarroel remains optimistic, but the reality is that Bolivia haven’t reached a World Cup in over three decades. Their home advantage at high altitude is neutralized in Barranquilla, where Colombia are expected to dominate possession and dictate the tempo.
Our Colombia vs Bolivia prediction is rooted in both historical trends and the latest AI-powered data. Bookmakers have Colombia as overwhelming favorites, with home win odds at 1.16, a draw at 7.67, and a Bolivia win at a distant 17.0. Here’s how our tips stack up:
Other key stats to consider:
In summary, all signs point to a comfortable night for Colombia in Barranquilla. The Colombia vs Bolivia prediction is clear: a home win, with at least two goals scored by the hosts and a likely clean sheet. For punters, HS2+ and over 2.5 goals are the standout betting tips, while the head to head record and current form only reinforce this view. With direct World Cup qualification in sight, expect Colombia to seize the moment—and for Bolivia, another long night on the road.
For more expert betting tips and the latest stats, keep following NerdyTips for all your South American football predictions.
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HS2+ -400
Colombia is expected to score at least 2 goals with odds of -4001 -714
Colombia is expected to win with odds of -625Over 2.5 -213
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -182
At least one team is not expected to score
3:0
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4
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1
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1
|
|
 Bolivia |
10-Oct-24
1:0
| Colombia  |
| Colombia |
15-Jun-24
3:0
| Bolivia |
| Colombia |
24-Mar-22
3:0
| Bolivia |
| Bolivia |
02-Sep-21
1:1
| Colombia |
| Colombia |
23-Mar-17
1:0
| Bolivia |
| Bolivia |
24-Mar-16
2:3
| Colombia |
World - World Cup - Qualification South America| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Argentina | 17 | 31-9 | 38 |
| 2 |
Brazil | 17 | 24-16 | 28 |
| 3 |
Uruguay | 17 | 22-12 | 27 |
| 4 |
Ecuador | 17 | 13-5 | 26 |
| 5 |
Colombia | 17 | 22-15 | 25 |
| 6 |
Paraguay | 17 | 13-10 | 25 |
| 7 |
Venezuela | 17 | 15-22 | 18 |
| 8 |
Bolivia | 17 | 16-35 | 17 |
| 9 |
Peru | 17 | 6-20 | 12 |
| 10 |
Chile | 17 | 9-27 | 10 |
