Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Argentina
Preview
The Dep. Riestra vs Huracan prediction for Saturday, 21 February 2026 (22:15 GMT) starts with one simple idea: this game will likely be decided by small moments at Estadio Guillermo Laza. It’s a tiny, intense venue in Buenos Aires where space is rare, tackles are common, and pretty passing moves often get lost somewhere between the touchline and the first crunching challenge.
Riestra arrive still searching for their first win of the Apertura. Five matches in, the “Malevos” are winless (0W, 2D, 3L) and the 1-1 draw with Newell’s Old Boys on 16 February felt like a summary of their season: Nicolás Benegas scored early, the team fought hard, and then a late penalty took two points away. Gustavo Benítez praised the sacrifice, but also pointed at the real issue—staying locked in for the full 90.
Huracán, meanwhile, travel in a much better mood. Diego Martínez has them looking calm and disciplined, and back-to-back 1-0 wins over San Lorenzo and Sarmiento have pushed “El Globo” into the top-five mix in their zone (8 points from five games). Martínez has called it “natural growth,” and it’s hard to argue when the defense keeps doing its job.
Stylistically, it’s a classic: a low-block home side trying to turn the game into a wrestling match, against an away side that wants control without losing emotional balance in a hostile, cramped setting.
Riestra are still missing Eric Tovo (long-term cruciate ligament injury) and Rodrigo Gallo (ankle). Benegas is the main bright spot after scoring last time out, while Ignacio Arce in goal has had one of those “busy but respected” starts to the campaign.
Huracán have a few muscle issues to manage: Milton Ríos (peroneus tendon) and F. Vera (muscle strain) are out, while Leonel Pérez is a doubt with a hamstring problem and some transfer noise. In attack, Caicedo is the headline threat, with Ignacio Pussetto and Eric Iván Ramírez expected to provide the support.
The head to head has already produced surprises. Riestra beat Huracán 1-0 at home in 2024-09-13, and they’ve shown they can punch above their weight—just ask River Plate, who lost 2-1 to Riestra as a 7.8 outsider in 2025. Huracán have their own travelling credentials too, including a 2-1 win at Corinthians at 5.75 odds. So yes, this can get weird—but weird doesn’t always mean goals.
The 1X2 betting odds are tight: Home win 2.652, Draw 2.65, Away win 3.5. That pricing hints at a cagey match where the stadium factor narrows the gap, even though Huracán’s squad value (€16.98m) sits well above Riestra’s (€9.50m).
Here’s where the numbers line up neatly with the eye test. The main Dep. Riestra vs Huracan prediction from our model is about total goals, not fireworks.
The model expects 45% vs 55% possession (Riestra vs Huracán), with shots almost even (11 vs 10) and on-target efforts identical (3 vs 3). That profile screams “scrappy efficiency” rather than chance-fest. Corners are projected at just 3.5 (six total), and even the cards (3.5) suggest more disruption than flow. In simple words: lots of actions, not many clean chances.
If you want a single, sensible angle, the under is the cleanest read. If you want a bigger price, Huracán at 3.5 is the model’s side—but with low confidence, it’s more of a cautious sprinkle than a full commitment. Put them together and the story writes itself: defend-first visitors, stubborn hosts, and a match that probably stays locked until one moment decides it.
Read More
Derby match
U2.5 -370
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3702 250
Huracan is expected to win with odds of 250Under 2.5 -370
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -222
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -135
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:1
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1
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1
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1
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 Huracan |
12-May-25
3:2
| Dep. Riestra  |
| Dep. Riestra |
13-Sep-24
1:0
| Huracan |
| Dep. Riestra |
08-Apr-24
0:0
| Huracan |
Recent Matches of Dep. Riestra| 02 Mar |
Dep. Riestra
| - |
Platense
| - | |
| 25 Feb | D |
Velez S
| 0 |
Dep. Riestra
| 0 |
| 21 Feb | D |
Dep. Riestra
| 0 |
Huracan
| 0 |
| 16 Feb | D |
Dep. Riestra
| 1 |
Newells
| 1 |
| 09 Feb | L |
Estudiant
| 1 |
Dep. Riestra
| 0 |
| 05 Feb | W |
Dep. Riestra
| 1 |
Deportivo
| 0 |
| 01 Feb | D |
Barracas
| 1 |
Dep. Riestra
| 1 |
| 29 Jan | L |
Dep. Riestra
| 0 |
Defensa J
| 1 |
| 25 Jan | L |
Boca Juniors
| 1 |
Dep. Riestra
| 0 |
| 24 Nov | L |
Dep. Riestra
| 0 |
Barracas
| 1 |
Recent Matches of Huracan
| 26 Feb | L |  Estudiant |
2 | Huracan |
0 |
| 21 Feb | D | Dep. Riestra |
0 | Huracan |
0 |
| 14 Feb | W | Huracan |
1 |  Sarmiento |
0 |
| 08 Feb | W | Huracan |
1 |  San Lorenzo |
0 |
| 01 Feb | D |  Atl. Tucuman |
1 | Huracan |
1 |
| 27 Jan | L | Huracan |
1 |  Rivadavia |
2 |
| 22 Jan | D |  Banfield |
1 | Huracan |
1 |
| 16 Jan | D |  Cucuta |
1 | Huracan |
1 |
| 17 Nov | D |  Barracas |
1 | Huracan |
1 |
| 08 Nov | L | Huracan |
0 |  Newells |
2 |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Belgrano | 7 | 9-4 | 15 |
| 2 |
Estudiantes | 7 | 7-2 | 15 |
| 3 |
Independ. | 6 | 10-6 | 15 |
| 4 |
Velez | 7 | 8-4 | 15 |
| 5 |
Tigre | 7 | 12-5 | 14 |
| 6 |
Platense | 7 | 5-3 | 12 |
| 7 |
Rosario | 7 | 8-6 | 11 |
| 8 |
San Lorenzo | 7 | 7-5 | 11 |
| 9 |
Defensa Y | 7 | 6-4 | 11 |
| 10 |
Independiente | 7 | 9-7 | 10 |
| 11 |
Talleres | 7 | 8-9 | 10 |
| 12 |
Gimnasia L.P. | 7 | 7-8 | 10 |
| 13 |
Huracan | 6 | 5-4 | 9 |
| 14 |
Union Santa Fe | 6 | 6-3 | 8 |
| 15 |
Boca Juniors | 6 | 5-4 | 8 |
| 16 |
Argentinos JRS | 5 | 3-2 | 8 |
| 17 |
Lanus | 5 | 8-8 | 8 |
| 18 |
Instituto | 7 | 8-8 | 8 |
| 19 |
Barracas | 7 | 5-6 | 8 |
| 20 |
Central Cordoba de | 7 | 3-4 | 8 |
| 21 |
Banfield | 6 | 6-6 | 7 |
| 22 |
Racing Club | 6 | 7-8 | 7 |
| 23 |
River Plate | 6 | 4-6 | 7 |
| 24 |
Gimnasia M. | 7 | 4-9 | 7 |
| 25 |
Sarmiento | 6 | 4-6 | 6 |
| 26 |
Atletico | 7 | 9-10 | 5 |
| 27 |
Deportivo | 7 | 2-5 | 4 |
| 28 |
Aldosivi | 6 | 2-6 | 3 |
| 29 |
Newells Old | 7 | 5-14 | 2 |
| 30 |
Estudiantes de Rio | 6 | 1-11 | 1 |
