icon back

Match Prediction

Dep. Riestra vs Independiente Prediction

Finished
10 Nov17:00
0 : 1

Independiente

€56.95m

Preview

Dep. Riestra vs Independiente Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Dep. Riestra vs Independiente Prediction: Odds, Tips & Analysis

Welcome to our Dep. Riestra vs Independiente prediction for the highly anticipated Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on November 10, 2025. If you’re looking for a smart, easy-to-read sports betting preview—packed with stats, betting odds, and a dash of football fan humor—you’re in the right place. Let’s break down everything you need to know before you place your bets.

Team Form, Tactics, and Head to Head Insights

The Estadio Guillermo Laza will be buzzing as Dep. Riestra, currently second in the Clausura standings, look to extend their remarkable home record. This team has turned their ground into a fortress, undefeated in their last 20 home matches—though, to be fair, they do love a draw, with 60% of those games ending all square. Their defense is tighter than a drum, boasting 10 clean sheets in their last 12 home outings and conceding less than a goal per game across their last six matches.

  • Dep. Riestra finished 5th in the first phase, with a rock-solid defense (just 7 goals conceded in 16 matches) but a modest attack (13 goals scored).
  • Recent form: 3 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 defeat in their last six games.
  • Jonathan Herrera is their main man up front, with 6 goals and 1 assist.

Independiente, meanwhile, are sitting 13th in the Clausura and have struggled to find consistency, especially on the road. They’ve failed to win in 80% of their last 20 away matches and have drawn half of their last six away games. Still, they finished 3rd in the first phase, scoring 23 goals and conceding 12—a much more open approach than their hosts.

  • Independiente have a market value of €56.95m compared to Riestra’s €7.99m, but money doesn’t always buy happiness—or away wins.
  • Felipe Loyola is a key threat, with 4 goals and 1 assist.
  • Coach Julio Vaccari has had to juggle injuries and suspensions, with Pablo Galdames and Luciano Cabral both missing time in recent matches.

The head to head record is as balanced as it gets: one win apiece and a draw in their last three meetings. The most recent encounter, back in April, ended 0-0—despite Independiente hogging 75% of the ball and firing 15 shots (none on target, mind you). Riestra, ever the pragmatists, soaked up the pressure and nearly snatched it.

Dep. Riestra vs Independiente Prediction: Odds, Tips, and AI Analysis

Now, let’s get into the numbers and our Dep. Riestra vs Independiente prediction. The betting odds for this match are intriguing:

  • Home win: 3.34
  • Draw: 2.55
  • Away win: 2.7

Our AI-powered sports betting model leans towards an away win for Independiente, with a predicted final score of 0:1. The calculated trust level is 1.7/10 for the 1x2 market, so it’s not exactly a slam dunk, but at odds of 2.7, there’s value if you believe Independiente can finally convert their possession into points.

  • Best tip: Under 2.5 goals (odds: 1.25, trust: 7.0/10)
  • Expected first half score: 0:0
  • Predicted possession: Dep. Riestra 35%, Independiente 65%
  • Shots: Dep. Riestra 8, Independiente 10 (on target: 3 each)
  • Total corners: 6 (2 for Riestra, 4 for Independiente)
  • Yellow cards: 2 each—so expect a few heated moments

Given Dep. Riestra’s defensive discipline and Independiente’s tendency to dominate possession without always finding the net, the under 2.5 goals market looks like the safest play. The last meeting finished goalless, and both teams have a habit of keeping things tight. If you’re feeling adventurous, a small punt on Independiente to win at 2.7 could pay off, but don’t be surprised if another draw sneaks in.

Final Thoughts and Betting Tips

To sum up our Dep. Riestra vs Independiente prediction:

  1. Under 2.5 goals is the top tip, with strong statistical backing and a trust level of 7.0/10.
  2. The AI leans towards a narrow Independiente win, but the draw is a real threat given Riestra’s home form.
  3. Expect a tactical battle, not a goal fest—so keep your expectations (and your bets) realistic.

Whether you’re a seasoned sports betting fan or just looking for a smart punt, this fixture promises a chess match rather than a shootout. Stay tuned to NerdyTips for more expert football predictions and betting odds analysis!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Dep. Riestra vs Independiente

U2.5 -400

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -400
7/10

1x2 Tip

2 170

Independiente is expected to win with odds of 170
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -400

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -227

At least one team is not expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -196

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

0.88
xG
0.98
35%
Ball Possession
65%
8
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
2
Shots Off Goal
3
2
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.88
Expected Goals
0.92
2
Total Goals
1.6
1.4
Goals Scored
0.9
0.6
Goals Against
0.7
31%
Possession
59%
8.4
Total Shots
10.5
3.4
Shots on Goal
3.7
2.6
Shots off Goal
3.6
13.7
Fouls
9.4
2.8
Corners
4.5
1.5
Offsides
2.3
3
Yellow Cards
2.22
0.13
Red Cards
0.25
203
Total Passes
360

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
2
6
Over 1.5 Goals
6
3
Over 2.5 Goals
2
1
Over 3.5 Goals
0
4
Both Teams Scored
3
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Dep. Riestra
1 - 1 - 1
Independiente
Independiente Independiente 28-Apr-25
0:0
Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra
Independiente Independiente 06-Oct-24
3:1
Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra
Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 15-Mar-24
1:0
Independiente Independiente

Profile time Recent Matches of Dep. Riestra

29 Jan Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra.
-
Defensa J. Defensa J
25 JanL Boca Juniors Boca Juniors.
1:0
Dep. Riestra. Dep. Riestra

Profile time Recent Matches of Independiente

28 JanNewells Newells.
-
Independient.Independiente
23 JanDIndependiente Independient.
1:1
Estudiant.Estudiant

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Rosario Central Rosario16
18-8
31
2 Lanus Lanus16
20-13
30
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo16
19-12
28
4 Velez Sarsfield Velez16
19-12
26
5 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo16
13-11
24
6 River Plate River Plate16
20-15
22
7 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.16
14-16
22
8 Talleres Cordoba Talleres16
9-12
21
9 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento16
13-17
20
10 San Martin S.J. San Martin16
13-16
19
11 Independiente Independiente16
14-13
18
12 Atletico Tucuman Atletico16
17-22
18
13 Instituto Cordoba Instituto16
9-17
16
14 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz16
11-19
12
15 Platense Platense16
12-25
12
Video preview
You might also like:
Brighton vs Everton Angers vs Metz Strasbourg vs PSG
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches