Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Derby
€51.53m
Wrexham
€55.78m
Preview
Circle January 4th, 2026, on your calendars—Derby vs Wrexham prediction headlines the football action at Pride Park Stadium, with a 15:00 GMT kick-off. As both sides prepare for their second head to head of the Championship season, the stakes are high and the storylines compelling. With Derby County sitting 14th and Wrexham just above them in 11th, this is more than just another league fixture—it's a pivotal moment for two teams with very different ambitions but similar recent fortunes.
Derby County, led by John Eustace, come into this match on the back of a much-needed 1-0 win over Middlesbrough. The return of Joe Ward from suspension added some steel to their midfield, while Bobby Clark’s recovery from a knee knock was a welcome boost. The Rams’ squad, valued at €51.53m, boasts experience and depth, but inconsistency has been their Achilles’ heel—just one win in their last seven outings. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal difference of zero, sums up a season teetering on mediocrity.
Defensive solidity has been a focus, with Dion Sanderson’s permanent signing from Birmingham City shoring up the back line. However, the loss of Owen Beck to injury and the underwhelming loan spell of Ben Brereton Díaz have left Derby searching for attacking inspiration. Off the pitch, transfer rumors swirl, but on it, the Rams must find consistency if they are to claw back the six-point gap to the playoff places.
Wrexham, meanwhile, are riding a wave of optimism. Phil Parkinson’s men have just achieved three straight Championship wins—a first for the club in the second tier. Their latest, a 2-0 triumph at Blackburn, showcased the quality of Ollie Rathbone (whose volley is still being talked about) and Sam Smith. The Red Dragons, with a squad valued at €55.78m, are three points off the playoff pace and, with Hollywood backing, are not shy about January transfer ambitions.
Despite key absences—chiefly Kieffer Moore and Josh Windass—Wrexham have found a winning formula. Their main weakness appears to be a lack of pace, especially with Issa Kabore sidelined, but their mix of experience and youthful energy (plus a bit of stardust from the boardroom) makes them a threat to anyone in the league.
With Derby expected to hold 51% possession and Wrexham 49%, this should be a tightly contested affair. Shots are forecast at 11 for Derby and 10 for Wrexham, with total goals likely to be at least two, judging by both sides’ recent attacking intent.
The betting odds suggest a narrow edge for Derby (2.3), but not by much. A draw is priced at 3.15, while a Wrexham win sits at 3.15. Our AI model at NerdyTips has crunched the numbers, and here’s what stands out:
Corners are expected to be close (5 for Derby, 4 for Wrexham), and both sides are predicted to pick up a yellow card each—a sign of what should be a competitive but fair contest.
In summary, the Derby vs Wrexham prediction leans towards an entertaining match, with over 1.5 total goals the safest bet for punters looking for value. Wrexham’s upward trajectory and Derby’s inconsistency make an away win a tempting outside shot at 3.15, especially for those who like a bit of risk with their football betting. Expect a tactical battle, a few moments of quality, and a result that could shape the playoff race for both teams.
Whatever your angle—be it betting odds, team news, or just the thrill of a new year’s football fixture—the Derby vs Wrexham prediction delivers plenty to talk about. May the best team win, and may your bets be as sharp as the action on the pitch!
Read More
Wrexham can be tired due to frequent matches
O1.5 -200
At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2002 255
Wrexham is expected to win with odds of 255Over 1.5 -200
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes 107
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 139
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
0:1
1:2
|
|
0
-
1
-
0
|
|
 Wrexham |
27-Sep-25
1:1
| Derby  |
Recent Matches of Derby| 17 Jan |
Preston.
|
-
| Derby.
| |
| 11 Jan | L |
Derby.
|
1:3
| Leeds.
|
| 04 Jan | L |
Derby.
|
1:2
| Wrexham.
|
| 01 Jan | W |
Derby.
|
1:0
| Middlesbroug.
|
| 29 Dec | L |
Leicester.
|
2:1
| Derby.
|
| 26 Dec | D |
Birmingham.
|
1:1
| Derby.
|
| 20 Dec | D |
Derby.
|
1:1
| Portsmouth.
|
| 15 Dec | W |
Sheffield We.
|
0:3
| Derby.
|
| 10 Dec | D |
Derby.
|
1:1
| Millwall.
|
| 06 Dec | L |
Derby.
|
1:3
| Leicester.
|
Recent Matches Of Wrexham| 17 Jan | Wrexham. |
- |
Norwich. | |
| 09 Jan | D | Wrexham. |
3:3 |
Nottingham. |
| 04 Jan | W | Derby. |
1:2 |
Wrexham. |
| 01 Jan | W |  Blackburn. |
0:2 |
Wrexham. |
| 29 Dec | W | Wrexham. |
2:1 |
Preston. |
| 26 Dec | W | Wrexham. |
5:3 |
Sheffield Ut. |
| 19 Dec | L |  Swansea. |
2:1 |
Wrexham. |
| 13 Dec | D | Wrexham. |
2:2 |
Watford. |
| 10 Dec | L |  Hull. |
2:0 |
Wrexham. |
| 06 Dec | D | Preston. |
1:1 |
Wrexham. |
England - Championship| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Coventry |
26 | 57-29 | 52 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough |
26 | 37-26 | 46 |
| 3 |
 Ipswich |
25 | 42-24 | 44 |
| 4 |
Preston |
26 | 36-25 | 43 |
| 5 |
Millwall |
26 | 29-33 | 43 |
| 6 |
 Watford |
25 | 37-29 | 41 |
| 7 |
 Hull City |
25 | 40-38 | 41 |
| 8 |
 Stoke City |
26 | 32-23 | 40 |
| 9 |
Wrexham |
26 | 38-32 | 40 |
| 10 |
 Bristol City |
26 | 38-29 | 39 |
| 11 |
 QPR |
26 | 38-39 | 38 |
| 12 |
Leicester |
26 | 37-38 | 37 |
| 13 |
Derby |
26 | 35-35 | 35 |
| 14 |
Birmingham |
26 | 35-36 | 34 |
| 15 |
 Southampton |
26 | 38-38 | 33 |
| 16 |
 Sheffield Utd |
25 | 36-38 | 32 |
| 17 |
 Swansea |
26 | 27-33 | 32 |
| 18 |
 West Brom |
26 | 29-35 | 31 |
| 19 |
 Charlton |
25 | 25-32 | 29 |
| 20 |
 Blackburn |
25 | 24-30 | 28 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth |
24 | 21-35 | 25 |
| 22 |
 Norwich |
26 | 28-39 | 24 |
| 23 |
 Oxford United |
25 | 25-35 | 22 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Wedn |
25 | 18-51 | -7 |
