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Match Prediction

Eibar vs Cadiz CF Prediction

Finished

Eibar

€16.05m

1 Mar15:00
3 : 1

Cadiz CF

€24.80m

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Eibar vs Cadiz CF Prediction Segunda División

Eibar vs Cadiz CF prediction: tight margins at Ipurúa

The Eibar vs Cadiz CF prediction for Sunday, March 1, 2026 (20:00 GMT) feels like a classic Segunda División night: small details, strong emotions, and goals that are treated like rare collectibles. With both sides on 35 points and parked next to each other in mid-table (Eibar 12th, Cádiz 11th), this is less about glamour and more about who keeps their nerve.

Context, form, and the human story behind the tactics

Eibar arrive with a mixed but mostly upbeat recent run (L-W-D-W-W), even if the last step was a 1-0 loss away at Deportivo La Coruña on February 21. At Ipurúa, though, they’ve been a different animal: five wins in their last six home matches, feeding off the tight pitch and the crowd that expects you to work for every square meter.

Cádiz, on the other hand, are searching for rhythm. They’re winless in five (L-D-L-L-L) and come from a 0-2 home defeat to Real Sociedad B on February 23. Their away record has also wobbled, with three losses in the last six road trips—yet they did show teeth on January 4, when they surprised many by drawing 2-2 at La Coruña as 5.45 outsiders. So yes, the suitcase is heavy, but it’s not empty.

What to watch tactically

Eibar’s coach Beñat San José has leaned into a high-energy identity: press high, keep the ball, and make opponents uncomfortable in Ipurúa’s narrow corridors. Cádiz boss Gaizka Garitano adds a great subplot—he’s deeply linked to Eibar from his playing and coaching years, and he knows exactly what kind of evening this can become if you let Eibar dictate the tempo.

  • Eibar’s plan: controlled possession, quick recoveries, and pressure that starts before the opponent looks up.
  • Cádiz’s adjustment: Garitano has flirted with a back five recently, trying to protect a defense that has struggled to keep clean sheets.
  • Key availability: Eibar look relatively healthy, with Aleix Garrido creating chances and Ander Madariaga carrying the main scoring weight; veteran Juan Bernat offers experience and calm. Cádiz reportedly miss Bojan Kovacevic and Iuri Tabatadze, putting more responsibility on Dawda Camara, plus the creativity of Suso and Brian Ocampo.

Head to head trends: history points to a low score

This head to head has a reputation for restraint: eight of the last nine league meetings reportedly ended with one or fewer goals. Eibar even tend to struggle to score in both halves against Cádiz. The most recent meeting on 2024-10-23 finished 1-0 to Eibar, and it matched the pattern: competitive, tense, and decided by one moment rather than a flood of chances.

AI betting tips, odds, and predicted match flow

Now to the NerdyTips numbers. The market leans home: Home win 1.75, Draw 3.75, Away win 5.45. That’s a strong vote for Eibar’s Ipurúa form, especially given Cádiz’s recent run. But our model is not following the crowd on the 1X2.

Best tip: under 2.5 goals looks strongest

  • Main betting tip: Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 (trust: 6.5.450; confidence: 6.6).
  • 1X2 prediction: Away win (2) at 5.45 (trust: 1.75).
  • Correct score: 0-1, with half-time expected to be 0-0.

The under makes sense when you connect the dots. The model projects Eibar to have 60% possession and more overall shots (11 vs 9), yet only 3 shots on target for the hosts and 2 for Cádiz. That’s not a blueprint for a goal party; it’s a blueprint for keepers staying warm and fans arguing about refereeing angles.

Stats that support a “grindy” game script

  • Shot quality looks limited: 5 total on target combined.
  • Corners are modest (8 total), suggesting pressure without endless clear chances.
  • Discipline is balanced: 2 yellows each, typical of a match with duels but not chaos.
  • Squad value gap (Eibar €16.05m vs Cádiz €24.80m) hints Cádiz have tools, even if form hasn’t shown it lately.

So what’s the read for the Eibar vs Cadiz CF Prediction crowd? The safest angle is still the low-scoring path—history, tactics, and the AI all lean that way. The spicy angle is the away win at 5.45, but note the low trust: it’s more “could happen” than “should happen.” If the match reaches 70 minutes at 0-0, Garitano’s Cádiz may start believing, and Ipurúa may start holding its breath.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Eibar vs Cadiz CF

U2.5 -133

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -133
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 445

Cadiz CF is expected to win with odds of 445
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -133

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -137

At least one team is not expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 155

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

1.3
xG
1.06
60%
Ball Possession
40%
11
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.13
Expected Goals
1.4
1.6
Total Goals
2.6
1
Goals Scored
1.2
0.6
Goals Against
1.4
50%
Possession
45%
10.5
Total Shots
11.6
3.1
Shots on Goal
3.7
4.6
Shots off Goal
5.2
14.9
Fouls
12.9
4.7
Corners
5.1
1.9
Offsides
1.7
2.78
Yellow Cards
2.8
420
Total Passes
365

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
3
4
Over 1.5 Goals
8
3
Over 2.5 Goals
5
0
Over 3.5 Goals
2
3
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Eibar
1 - 1 - 3
Cadiz CF
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 13-Sep-25
1:0
Eibar Eibar
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 31-Mar-25
0:0
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 23-Oct-24
1:0
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 06-Mar-21
1:0
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 30-Oct-20
0:2
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF

Profile time Recent Matches of Eibar

21 FebL Deportivo Deportivo 1 Eibar Eibar 0
15 FebW Eibar Eibar 2 Racing S Racing S 1
07 FebD Zaragoza Zaragoza 1 Eibar Eibar 1
01 FebW Eibar Eibar 1 Gijon Gijon 0
25 JanW Eibar Eibar 1 Almeria Almeria 0
19 JanD Granada CF Granada CF 0 Eibar Eibar 0
10 JanL Burgos CF Burgos CF 1 Eibar Eibar 0
02 JanW Eibar Eibar 2 Mirandes Mirandes 1
19 DecW Eibar Eibar 3 Valladolid Valladolid 0
16 DecL Eibar Eibar 0 Elche Elche 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Cadiz CF

23 FebLCadiz CF Cadiz CF 0 Real II Real II 2
14 FebDBurgos CF Burgos CF 1 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 1
08 FebLCadiz CF Cadiz CF 1 Almeria Almeria 2
01 FebLHuesca Huesca 1 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 0
24 JanLCadiz CF Cadiz CF 1 Granada CF Granada CF 2
18 JanLAlbacete Albacete 1 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 0
09 JanWCadiz CF Cadiz CF 3 Gijon Gijon 2
04 JanDDeportivo Deportivo 2 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 2
21 DecWCadiz CF Cadiz CF 2 Castellon Castellon 0
13 DecWZaragoza Zaragoza 1 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 2

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing27
53-35
50
2 Castellón Castellón27
45-26
49
3 Almeria Almeria27
52-39
48
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La27
41-29
46
5 Malaga Malaga27
40-31
44
6 Las Palmas Las Palmas27
31-22
42
7 Cordoba Cordoba27
37-33
41
8 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon27
38-36
41
9 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC27
35-39
41
10 Burgos Burgos27
29-26
40
11 Eibar Eibar27
28-29
35
12 Cadiz Cadiz27
28-32
35
13 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad27
36-36
34
14 Albacete Albacete27
32-38
34
15 Leganes Leganes27
29-28
33
16 Granada CF Granada CF27
32-32
32
17 FC Andorra FC Andorra27
31-39
32
18 Huesca Huesca27
26-36
30
19 Valladolid Valladolid27
28-38
29
20 Cultural Leonesa Cultural27
27-41
27
21 Mirandes Mirandes27
28-44
24
22 Zaragoza Zaragoza27
23-40
24
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