Preview
The Eibar vs Cadiz CF prediction for Sunday, March 1, 2026 (20:00 GMT) feels like a classic Segunda División night: small details, strong emotions, and goals that are treated like rare collectibles. With both sides on 35 points and parked next to each other in mid-table (Eibar 12th, Cádiz 11th), this is less about glamour and more about who keeps their nerve.
Eibar arrive with a mixed but mostly upbeat recent run (L-W-D-W-W), even if the last step was a 1-0 loss away at Deportivo La Coruña on February 21. At Ipurúa, though, they’ve been a different animal: five wins in their last six home matches, feeding off the tight pitch and the crowd that expects you to work for every square meter.
Cádiz, on the other hand, are searching for rhythm. They’re winless in five (L-D-L-L-L) and come from a 0-2 home defeat to Real Sociedad B on February 23. Their away record has also wobbled, with three losses in the last six road trips—yet they did show teeth on January 4, when they surprised many by drawing 2-2 at La Coruña as 5.45 outsiders. So yes, the suitcase is heavy, but it’s not empty.
Eibar’s coach Beñat San José has leaned into a high-energy identity: press high, keep the ball, and make opponents uncomfortable in Ipurúa’s narrow corridors. Cádiz boss Gaizka Garitano adds a great subplot—he’s deeply linked to Eibar from his playing and coaching years, and he knows exactly what kind of evening this can become if you let Eibar dictate the tempo.
This head to head has a reputation for restraint: eight of the last nine league meetings reportedly ended with one or fewer goals. Eibar even tend to struggle to score in both halves against Cádiz. The most recent meeting on 2024-10-23 finished 1-0 to Eibar, and it matched the pattern: competitive, tense, and decided by one moment rather than a flood of chances.
Now to the NerdyTips numbers. The market leans home: Home win 1.75, Draw 3.75, Away win 5.45. That’s a strong vote for Eibar’s Ipurúa form, especially given Cádiz’s recent run. But our model is not following the crowd on the 1X2.
The under makes sense when you connect the dots. The model projects Eibar to have 60% possession and more overall shots (11 vs 9), yet only 3 shots on target for the hosts and 2 for Cádiz. That’s not a blueprint for a goal party; it’s a blueprint for keepers staying warm and fans arguing about refereeing angles.
So what’s the read for the Eibar vs Cadiz CF Prediction crowd? The safest angle is still the low-scoring path—history, tactics, and the AI all lean that way. The spicy angle is the away win at 5.45, but note the low trust: it’s more “could happen” than “should happen.” If the match reaches 70 minutes at 0-0, Garitano’s Cádiz may start believing, and Ipurúa may start holding its breath.
The Eibar vs Cadiz CF prediction for Sunday, March 1, 2026 (20:00 GMT) feels like a classic Segunda División night: small details, strong emotions, and goals that are treated like rare collectibles. With both sides on 35 points and parked next to each other in mid-table (Eibar 12th, Cádiz 11th), this is less about glamour and more about who keeps their nerve.
Eibar arrive with a mixed but mostly upbeat recent run (L-W-D-W-W), even if the last step was a 1-0 loss away at Deportivo La Coruña on February 21. At Ipurúa, though, they’ve been a different animal: five wins in their last six home matches, feeding off the tight pitch and the crowd that expects you to work for every square meter.
Cádiz, on the other hand, are searching for rhythm. They’re winless in five (L-D-L-L-L) and come from a 0-2 home defeat to Real Sociedad B on February 23. Their away record has also wobbled, with three losses in the last six road trips—yet they did show teeth on January 4, when they surprised many by drawing 2-2 at La Coruña as 5.45 outsiders. So yes, the suitcase is heavy, but it’s not empty.
Eibar’s coach Beñat San José has leaned into a high-energy identity: press high, keep the ball, and make opponents uncomfortable in Ipurúa’s narrow corridors. Cádiz boss Gaizka Garitano adds a great subplot—he’s deeply linked to Eibar from his playing and coaching years, and he knows exactly what kind of evening this can become if you let Eibar dictate the tempo.
This head to head has a reputation for restraint: eight of the last nine league meetings reportedly ended with one or fewer goals. Eibar even tend to struggle to score in both halves against Cádiz. The most recent meeting on 2024-10-23 finished 1-0 to Eibar, and it matched the pattern: competitive, tense, and decided by one moment rather than a flood of chances.
Now to the NerdyTips numbers. The market leans home: Home win 1.75, Draw 3.75, Away win 5.45. That’s a strong vote for Eibar’s Ipurúa form, especially given Cádiz’s recent run. But our model is not following the crowd on the 1X2.
The under makes sense when you connect the dots. The model projects Eibar to have 60% possession and more overall shots (11 vs 9), yet only 3 shots on target for the hosts and 2 for Cádiz. That’s not a blueprint for a goal party; it’s a blueprint for keepers staying warm and fans arguing about refereeing angles.
So what’s the read for the Eibar vs Cadiz CF Prediction crowd? The safest angle is still the low-scoring path—history, tactics, and the AI all lean that way. The spicy angle is the away win at 5.45, but note the low trust: it’s more “could happen” than “should happen.” If the match reaches 70 minutes at 0-0, Garitano’s Cádiz may start believing, and Ipurúa may start holding its breath.
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U2.5 -133
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1332 445
Cadiz CF is expected to win with odds of 445Under 2.5 -133
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -137
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 155
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
0:1
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1
-
1
-
3
|
|
Cadiz CF |
13-Sep-25
1:0
| Eibar ![]() |
Cadiz CF |
31-Mar-25
0:0
| Eibar ![]() |
Eibar |
23-Oct-24
1:0
| Cadiz CF ![]() |
Cadiz CF |
06-Mar-21
1:0
| Eibar ![]() |
Eibar |
30-Oct-20
0:2
| Cadiz CF ![]() |
| 21 Feb | L |
Deportivo
| 1 |
Eibar
| 0 |
| 15 Feb | W |
Eibar
| 2 |
Racing S
| 1 |
| 07 Feb | D |
Zaragoza
| 1 |
Eibar
| 1 |
| 01 Feb | W |
Eibar
| 1 |
Gijon
| 0 |
| 25 Jan | W |
Eibar
| 1 |
Almeria
| 0 |
| 19 Jan | D |
Granada CF
| 0 |
Eibar
| 0 |
| 10 Jan | L |
Burgos CF
| 1 |
Eibar
| 0 |
| 02 Jan | W |
Eibar
| 2 |
Mirandes
| 1 |
| 19 Dec | W |
Eibar
| 3 |
Valladolid
| 0 |
| 16 Dec | L |
Eibar
| 0 |
Elche
| 1 |
| 23 Feb | L | Cadiz CF |
0 | Real II |
2 |
| 14 Feb | D | Burgos CF |
1 | Cadiz CF |
1 |
| 08 Feb | L | Cadiz CF |
1 | Almeria |
2 |
| 01 Feb | L | Huesca |
1 | Cadiz CF |
0 |
| 24 Jan | L | Cadiz CF |
1 | Granada CF |
2 |
| 18 Jan | L | Albacete |
1 | Cadiz CF |
0 |
| 09 Jan | W | Cadiz CF |
3 | Gijon |
2 |
| 04 Jan | D | Deportivo |
2 | Cadiz CF |
2 |
| 21 Dec | W | Cadiz CF |
2 | Castellon |
0 |
| 13 Dec | W | Zaragoza |
1 | Cadiz CF |
2 |
Spain - Segunda División| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing | 27 | 53-35 | 50 |
| 2 |
Castellón | 27 | 45-26 | 49 |
| 3 |
Almeria | 27 | 52-39 | 48 |
| 4 |
Deportivo La | 27 | 41-29 | 46 |
| 5 |
Malaga | 27 | 40-31 | 44 |
| 6 |
Las Palmas | 27 | 31-22 | 42 |
| 7 |
Cordoba | 27 | 37-33 | 41 |
| 8 |
Sporting Gijon | 27 | 38-36 | 41 |
| 9 |
AD Ceuta FC | 27 | 35-39 | 41 |
| 10 |
Burgos | 27 | 29-26 | 40 |
| 11 |
Eibar | 27 | 28-29 | 35 |
| 12 |
Cadiz | 27 | 28-32 | 35 |
| 13 |
Real Sociedad | 27 | 36-36 | 34 |
| 14 |
Albacete | 27 | 32-38 | 34 |
| 15 |
Leganes | 27 | 29-28 | 33 |
| 16 |
Granada CF | 27 | 32-32 | 32 |
| 17 |
FC Andorra | 27 | 31-39 | 32 |
| 18 |
Huesca | 27 | 26-36 | 30 |
| 19 |
Valladolid | 27 | 28-38 | 29 |
| 20 |
Cultural | 27 | 27-41 | 27 |
| 21 |
Mirandes | 27 | 28-44 | 24 |
| 22 |
Zaragoza | 27 | 23-40 | 24 |