El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising are set to clash in the USL Championship on March 16, 2025, at 01:00 UTC at Southwest University Park. With the home side priced at 1.88 for the win, the odds suggest a slight edge for El Paso. But is this the safest bet? Let’s break it down.
El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising are set to clash in the USL Championship on March 16, 2025, at 01:00 UTC at Southwest University Park. With the home side priced at 1.88 for the win, the odds suggest a slight edge for El Paso. But is this the safest bet? Let’s break it down.

Our AI leans towards a 1X bet (El Paso to win or draw) at 1.25, but with a modest trust rating of 4.5/10. While this option offers security, the low odds may not excite risk-takers. If you're feeling bold, backing El Paso outright at 1.88 could be the way to go, as our AI assigns a confidence rating of 3.6 to this outcome.

Historically, home teams in the USL Championship have won 42.2% of matches, while away victories stand at just 27.2%. This trend favors El Paso, especially considering their recent form, including an unexpected away win over Memphis 901.

Goals could be in short supply, with our AI predicting under 2.5 goals (odds: 1.64, trust: 2.3/10). While this bet lacks strong confidence, it aligns with the teams' recent encounters—Phoenix and El Paso played out a 1-1 draw in their last meeting. However, with a predicted final score of 2-0, El Paso might just have the firepower to secure a clean sheet.

For those eyeing a first-half bet, our AI suggests a 1-0 lead for El Paso at the break. Given their home advantage and Phoenix’s struggles on the road, this could be a solid in-play betting angle.

In summary, El Paso to win (1.88) offers value, while 1X (1.25) is the safer route. If you're expecting a tight affair, under 2.5 goals (1.64) could be worth a look. With both squads nearly equal in market value (€3.97m vs. €3.83m), expect a competitive battle—but El Paso might just have the edge.