Empoli vs Modena Prediction

Empoli vs Modena Prediction: Betting Preview, Odds & AI Insights

The Empoli vs Modena prediction is on everyone’s mind as these two Serie B sides prepare to meet at the Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena on January 31, 2.26, at 14:00 GMT. With both teams eyeing crucial points in the league, this fixture promises tactical intrigue and betting value. Let’s break down the story behind the numbers, the recent form, and what our AI sees in this much-anticipated encounter.

Empoli vs Modena: Recent Form and Team News

Empoli, currently sitting 10th in the Serie B standings with 27 points from 21 matches, have been the definition of unpredictable this season. Their last five league outings show a mixed bag: two wins, two losses, and a draw. Notable results include a 3-0 defeat to Carrarese and a 1-0 win over Mantova, underlining a team that can swing from solid to shaky at a moment’s notice. Steven Shpendi leads the scoring charts for Empoli with six goals, while Salvatore Elia has been the main creative force, crafting six big chances so far.

Modena, meanwhile, are in 6th place with 33 points and a slightly better defensive record, conceding just 17 goals in 21 matches. Their form mirrors Empoli’s inconsistency: two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five. Ettore Gliozzi is the man to watch for the visitors, boasting nine goals and 18 shots on target. Modena’s recent away games have been tight affairs, with under 2.5 total goals in their last four on the road—a trend bettors should note.

Head to Head and Player Availability

• Head to head: Empoli and Modena have met nine times in recent memory, with Empoli edging the record (4 wins to Modena’s 3, plus 2 draws).
• Last meeting: Modena won 2-1 in October 2.25, showing they can get the job done away from home.
• Injuries: Empoli are missing Gabriele Indragoli and Pietro Pellegri, while Modena have a clean bill of health.

Betting Odds and Tactical Overview

The betting odds for this fixture are intriguing: a home win for Empoli is priced at 3.8, the draw at 3.3, and an away win for Modena at 2.2. Despite Empoli’s higher squad value (€36.00m vs Modena’s €26.25m), the odds favor the visitors, likely due to their defensive solidity and recent head to head success.

Neither side is known for all-out attacking football. Empoli have scored 26 and conceded 28, while Modena have netted 28 but kept things much tighter at the back. Expect both teams to approach this one with caution, especially in the first half.

Empoli vs Modena Prediction: AI Tips and Match Stats

• Best tip: Under 3.5 total goals (odds 1.26, trust rating 8.0/10). Both teams have favored low-scoring games recently, especially Modena away from home.
• 1x2 prediction: Modena to win (odds 2.2, trust rating 3.9/10). Our AI gives the visitors a slight edge, reflecting their stronger defensive record and recent head to head win.
• Predicted score: 0:1 to Modena, with the away side expected to control possession (56%) and take more shots (17 vs 10 for Empoli).
• First half prediction: Modena to lead 0:1 at the break.
• Other stats: Expect 9 corners (3 for Empoli, 6 for Modena), and a disciplined affair with just three yellow cards predicted in total.

Final Thoughts: Where’s the Value?

This Empoli vs Modena prediction points to a tight, tactical contest where chances may be at a premium. The under 3.5 goals bet looks like the safest play, given both teams’ recent records and the AI’s high trust rating. While Empoli have shown they can pull off surprises—like their 1-1 away draw at Como—Modena’s recent defensive performances and head to head edge suggest they’re the better pick in the 1x2 market.

For punters, watch for Modena to edge a narrow win, likely by a single goal. If you’re after value, the under 3.5 total goals market is your best friend here. As always, check the latest team news before kick-off, but our Empoli vs Modena prediction is a low-scoring Modena victory.