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Match Prediction

Estrela vs Estoril Prediction

Finished

Estrela

€13.45m

19 Jan15:15
0 : 5

Estoril

€40.25m

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Estrela vs Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga

Estrela vs Estoril Prediction: Goals, Drama, and Betting Tips

If you’re looking for a friendly, expert, and down-to-earth Estrela vs Estoril prediction, you’ve landed in the right place. On January 19, 2026, at 20:15 GMT, Estádio José Gomes in Amadora will be buzzing as Estrela and Estoril face off in a Primeira Liga fixture that promises excitement, goals, and plenty to talk about for football fans and punters alike. Let’s break down the story so far, the tactical chess game, and, of course, the best betting odds and predictions for this much-anticipated meeting.

Recent Form and Team News: A Tale of Two Inconsistent Sides

Let’s start with the basics: Estrela currently sits 12th in the league, while Estoril holds 9th. Both teams have been riding the rollercoaster lately, making this Estrela vs Estoril prediction even more intriguing.

  • Estrela have shown spirit—drawing 3-3 with Braga, edging Famalicão 3-2, and even holding Moreirense to a goalless stalemate. However, their defense is leakier than a sieve, with a clean sheet rate of just 20% at home and an average of 1.60 goals scored per match on their own turf.
  • Estoril have also been unpredictable. They lost to Benfica (1.27), thrashed Alverca (4-1), snatched a big win over Braga (1-0), but then got hammered by Famalicão (0-4). Their average? 1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. In other words: expect action at both ends!

Head to Head: Goals Galore When These Two Meet

Looking at recent head to head meetings, Estoril have the bragging rights—three wins in the last five, while Estrela have just one, and one match ended all square. These matches are rarely dull: 60% of their last five encounters saw both teams score, and their most recent meeting (January 2025) ended 4-2 to Estoril. If you like goals, you’re in the right place.

Injuries, Suspensions, and Tactical Tweaks

Both sides are missing key players. Estrela will be without Ni and Nilton Varela (injuries), plus Oumar Ngom and P. Valente Moreira (suspensions). Jovane Cabral and Oumar Ngom are also away on international duty, so their squad looks stretched. Still, Kikas is a threat up front, and Abraham Marcus is their chief creator.

Estoril have their own headaches: Goncalo Costa, Or Israelov, and Xeka are all sidelined, with Xeka nursing a ligament injury. Yanis Begraoui leads their attack, while João Carvalho is the main playmaker.

On the touchline, Estrela are still adapting after a coaching change in late 2024, while Estoril’s Ian Cathro has brought a modern, analytical approach to his side. Expect tactical tweaks and possibly some surprises.

Betting Odds, Predictions, and Stats: Where’s the Smart Money?

Now, let’s get nerdy with the numbers and see where the value lies for your Estrela vs Estoril prediction:

  1. 1x2 Odds:
    • Home win (Estrela): 3.0
    • Draw: 3.45
    • Away win (Estoril): 2.45
  2. AI-Recommended Bets:
    • Over 1.5 Total Goals at 1.27 odds (confidence: 8/10)—both teams love to attack and hate to defend, so this feels like a banker.
    • X2 (Draw or Estoril) at 1.45 (trust: 2/10)—Estoril’s stronger squad value (€40.25m vs Estrela’s €13.455m) and recent head to head edge give them a slight advantage.
  3. Predicted Score: 2-2, with a 1-1 halftime. Expect a lively, open contest with plenty of chances—estimated shots: 14 for Estrela, 13 for Estoril, and a combined 9 corners.

Quick Stats and Fun Facts

  • Possession forecast: Estrela 49%, Estoril 51%—almost too close to call.
  • Last time out: Estrela drew 3-3 with Braga (defying the odds), Estoril beat Braga 1-0 as big underdogs.
  • Yellow cards: Expect 2 for Estrela, 1 for Estoril—so not too feisty, but enough to keep things interesting.

Estrela vs Estoril Prediction: Final Thoughts

For this Estrela vs Estoril prediction, our advice is simple: expect goals, expect drama, and don’t be surprised if both teams walk away with a point. Over 1.5 goals looks like a safe bet, and if you’re feeling brave, back Estoril or the draw on the 1x2 market. Whatever you choose, this is one match you won’t want to miss—whether you’re a stats nerd, a casual fan, or just chasing that next winning ticket!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Estoril didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Estrela vs Estoril

O1.5 -370

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -370
8/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -233

Estoril to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -370

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -152

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -137

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

2:2

Stats Predictions

1.46
xG
1.63
49%
Ball Possession
51%
14
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.29
Expected Goals
1.49
3.9
Total Goals
3.7
1.9
Goals Scored
1.9
2
Goals Against
1.8
46%
Possession
50%
11.4
Total Shots
12.8
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.7
3.9
Shots off Goal
4.7
14.5
Fouls
13.1
2.8
Corners
5.6
1.6
Offsides
1.4
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.1
359
Total Passes
433

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
4
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
7
7
Over 3.5 Goals
6
8
Both Teams Scored
6
1
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Estrela
2 - 1 - 3
Estoril
Estoril Estoril 11-Aug-25
1:1
Estrela Estrela
Estoril Estoril 17-May-25
4:0
Estrela Estrela
Estrela Estrela 05-Jan-25
2:4
Estoril Estoril
Estrela Estrela 24-Jul-24
2:1
Estoril Estoril
Estoril Estoril 04-Feb-24
1:0
Estrela Estrela
Estrela Estrela 25-Aug-23
2:1
Estoril Estoril

Profile time Recent Matches of Estrela

31 Jan Alverca Alverca.
-
Estrela. Estrela
25 JanL Benfica Benfica.
4:0
Estrela. Estrela
19 JanL Estrela Estrela.
0:5
Estoril. Estoril
03 JanD Estrela Estrela.
3:3
Braga. Braga
27 DecW Famalicao Famalicao.
2:3
Estrela. Estrela
20 DecD Estrela Estrela.
0:0
Moreirense. Moreirense
15 DecL FC Porto FC Porto.
3:1
Estrela. Estrela
07 DecW Estrela Estrela.
3:1
Arouca. Arouca
30 NovL Sporting CP Sporting CP.
4:0
Estrela. Estrela
09 NovD Estrela Estrela.
1:1
Nacional. Nacional

Profile time Recent Matches of Estoril

31 JanSanta Clara Santa Clara.
-
Estoril.Estoril
24 JanWEstoril Estoril.
4:2
Guimaraes.Guimaraes
19 JanWEstrela Estrela.
0:5
Estoril.Estoril
03 JanLBenfica Benfica.
3:1
Estoril.Estoril
27 DecWEstoril Estoril.
4:1
Alverca.Alverca
19 DecWEstoril Estoril.
1:0
Braga.Braga
14 DecLFamalicao Famalicao.
4:0
Estoril.Estoril
07 DecDEstoril Estoril.
3:3
Moreirense.Moreirense
30 NovLFC Porto FC Porto.
1:0
Estoril.Estoril
22 NovLEstoril Estoril.
1:2
Famalicao.Famalicao

Portugal - Primeira Liga Portugal - Primeira Liga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 FC Porto FC Porto19
40-4
55
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP19
52-10
48
3 Benfica Benfica19
42-11
45
4 SC Braga SC Braga19
37-18
33
5 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente19
24-16
31
6 Moreirense Moreirense19
26-26
30
7 Famalicao Famalicao19
24-14
29
8 Estoril Estoril19
37-31
26
9 Guimaraes Guimaraes19
20-27
25
10 Alverca Alverca19
19-33
23
11 Nacional Nacional19
26-28
20
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave19
22-35
20
13 Estrela Estrela19
23-36
19
14 Santa Clara Santa Clara19
14-21
17
15 Arouca Arouca19
20-44
17
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia19
20-38
15
17 Tondela Tondela19
12-33
12
18 AVS AVS19
14-47
5
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