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Match Prediction

Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction

Finished
Netherlands flag Netherlands
Eredivisie

Excelsior

€16.25m

5 Dec14:00
0 : 2

Groningen

€32.45m

Preview

Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction Eredivisie

Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction: Stats, Odds & AI Insights for December 2.25

Welcome to our Excelsior vs Groningen prediction, where we break down the numbers, history, and tactical angles for this intriguing Eredivisie fixture. If you’re looking for a smart bet—or just want to sound clever at the pub—stick with us as we dig into everything from team form to betting odds, and of course, our AI’s take on where the goals (and points) will go.

Form Guide: Can Excelsior Upset the Odds at Home?

Excelsior and Groningen meet at the compact Van Donge & De Roo Stadion in Rotterdam on Friday, December 5, 2.25. Kickoff is set for 19:00 GMT, and the home fans are hoping their side—currently 15th with 13 points—can spring a surprise against a Groningen team sitting 7th with 20 points.

  • Excelsior have been a mixed bag lately, notching two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches across all competitions. Their defense has wobbled, conceding 9 goals while scoring 7 in that span.
  • Despite a rocky overall record (4 wins, 1 draw, 8 losses), Excelsior’s home form is a bright spot: unbeaten in 24 of their last 30 home games and clean sheets in nearly half of their last 20 home league matches.
  • Groningen, meanwhile, have hit a rough patch. They’re winless in five (two draws, three losses), with their last result a 2.2 draw against PEC Zwolle—another match where they couldn’t hold a lead.
  • The visitors have a more balanced season record (6 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses), but their away form is unpredictable: three wins and three losses from six on the road.

Head to Head & Historical Context

The Excelsior vs Groningen head to head record is one-sided: out of 23 meetings since 2006, Groningen have won 15, Excelsior 4, and 4 matches ended level. Their most recent encounter saw Groningen win 2-0, underlining their historical edge. However, Excelsior’s recent 2-1 away win over Ajax showed they’re capable of big surprises—especially when the odds are stacked against them.

  • Stadium: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (capacity: 4,400)
  • Squad values: Excelsior €16.25m, Groningen €32.45m

Tactics & Team News

Excelsior boss Ruben den Uil is focused on tightening up his defense and building a more cohesive unit. Given their recent struggles at the back, expect a cautious approach early on, with quick transitions when chances arise. Groningen, despite their blip, favor a possession-based game—projected to see 55% of the ball in this matchup—and will look to exploit Excelsior’s defensive lapses.

No major injury or suspension news has emerged, but keep an eye on late updates as matchday approaches. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups, with tactical tweaks likely to be the main talking point.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions & Stats

Let’s get to the numbers. The betting odds favor Groningen, with a price of 2.2 for an away win. Excelsior are at 3.65, while the draw sits at 3.65. Our Excelsior vs Groningen prediction leans toward the visitors, but not without some reservations.

  1. 1x2 Market: Our AI tips Groningen to win (2) with a trust level of 2.8/10. Not the strongest vote of confidence, but the odds of 2.2 offer value if you believe in the away side’s quality shining through.
  2. Total Goals (Over/Under): Over 2.5 goals is the standout pick, with a confidence of 5.2/10 and odds of 1.88. Both teams have shown a tendency for open games—Excelsior’s defense leaks goals, while Groningen have scored and conceded 19 each this season.
  3. Predicted Score: 1-2 to Groningen, with a projected halftime score of 0-1. Expect Groningen to control possession (55%), outshoot the hosts (16 shots to 12), and edge the corners (6 to 4).

Key Match Stats

  • Shots on target: Excelsior 4, Groningen 6
  • Yellow cards: 1 each (so don’t expect a card-fest!)
  • Total corners: 10

Final Thoughts: Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction

While Excelsior’s home resilience and recent giant-killing act against Ajax add some spice, the numbers and historical head to head record suggest Groningen are the safer pick. Still, with both teams struggling for consistency, goals look likely—so the over 2.5 goals market is our top recommendation. If you’re feeling bold, back Groningen for the win, but keep your stake sensible; this is Eredivisie football, after all, where surprises are always just around the corner.

To sum up our Excelsior vs Groningen prediction: expect a lively game with at least three goals and a narrow away win. Good luck, and may your bets be as well-timed as a Groningen counter-attack!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.68

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Excelsior vs Groningen

O2.5 -114

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -114
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 120

Groningen is expected to win with odds of 120
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -114

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -143

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -154

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

1.37
xG
1.75
45%
Ball Possession
55%
12
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Goal
6
4
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.34
Expected Goals
1.63
2.4
Total Goals
2.7
1.1
Goals Scored
1.2
1.3
Goals Against
1.5
47%
Possession
51%
12.8
Total Shots
16.2
4.1
Shots on Goal
6.6
5
Shots off Goal
5.4
13.9
Fouls
11.1
4.9
Corners
6.1
0.4
Offsides
1.6
1.78
Yellow Cards
1.5
391
Total Passes
412

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
4
7
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Excelsior
4 - 4 - 10
Groningen
Excelsior Excelsior 16-Jan-24
0:2
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 25-Feb-23
3:0
Excelsior Excelsior
Excelsior Excelsior 08-Jan-23
1:0
Groningen Groningen
Excelsior Excelsior 15-Dec-21
2:4
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 06-Apr-19
1:0
Excelsior Excelsior
Excelsior Excelsior 02-Nov-18
2:4
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 29-Apr-18
4:0
Excelsior Excelsior
Excelsior Excelsior 17-Dec-17
2:0
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 04-Feb-17
1:1
Excelsior Excelsior

Profile time Recent Matches of Excelsior

05 DecL Excelsior Excelsior.
0:2
Groningen. Groningen
29 NovW Excelsior Excelsior.
1:0
NAC Breda. NAC Breda
22 NovW Ajax Ajax.
1:2
Excelsior. Excelsior
08 NovL Excelsior Excelsior.
1:2
Heracles. Heracles
01 NovD Telstar Telstar.
2:2
Excelsior. Excelsior
29 OctL Excelsior Excelsior.
1:0
Excelsior. Excelsior
26 OctL GA Eagles GA Eagles.
2:0
Excelsior. Excelsior
19 OctW Excelsior Excelsior.
1:0
Sittard. Sittard
04 OctL Heerenveen Heerenveen.
2:1
Excelsior. Excelsior
27 SepL Excelsior Excelsior.
1:2
PSV. PSV

Profile time Recent Matches of Groningen

13 DecWGroningen Groningen.
3:0
FC Volendam.FC Volendam
05 DecWExcelsior Excelsior.
0:2
Groningen.Groningen
02 DecDAjax Ajax.
0:0
Groningen.Groningen
23 NovDGroningen Groningen.
2:2
Zwolle.Zwolle
09 NovLNijmegen Nijmegen.
2:0
Groningen.Groningen
02 NovDGroningen Groningen.
1:1
Twente.Twente
30 OctLS. Rotterdam S. Rotterdam.
5:2
Groningen.Groningen
25 OctWSittard Sittard.
1:2
Groningen.Groningen
19 OctLGroningen Groningen.
0:2
S. Rotterdam.S. Rotterdam
03 OctWNAC Breda NAC Breda.
1:2
Groningen.Groningen

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven15
46-17
40
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord15
41-18
34
3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen15
39-25
27
4 Ajax Ajax15
28-20
26
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar15
28-24
25
6 Groningen Groningen15
21-21
23
7 Utrecht Utrecht15
26-20
22
8 Twente Twente15
23-20
21
9 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterd15
17-28
20
10 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagle15
25-26
18
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittar15
21-25
18
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen15
23-26
17
13 Excelsior Excelsior15
14-26
16
14 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle15
19-36
16
15 FC Volendam FC Volendam15
19-27
14
16 Heracles Heracles15
23-37
14
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda15
15-24
12
18 Telstar Telstar15
17-25
11
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