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Match Prediction

Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction

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Netherlands flag Netherlands

Excelsior

€16.25m

5 Dec14:00
0 : 2

Groningen

€32.45m

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Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction Eredivisie

Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction: Stats, Odds & AI Insights for December 2.25

Welcome to our Excelsior vs Groningen prediction, where we break down the numbers, history, and tactical angles for this intriguing Eredivisie fixture. If you’re looking for a smart bet—or just want to sound clever at the pub—stick with us as we dig into everything from team form to betting odds, and of course, our AI’s take on where the goals (and points) will go.

Form Guide: Can Excelsior Upset the Odds at Home?

Excelsior and Groningen meet at the compact Van Donge & De Roo Stadion in Rotterdam on Friday, December 5, 2.25. Kickoff is set for 19:00 GMT, and the home fans are hoping their side—currently 15th with 13 points—can spring a surprise against a Groningen team sitting 7th with 20 points.

  • Excelsior have been a mixed bag lately, notching two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches across all competitions. Their defense has wobbled, conceding 9 goals while scoring 7 in that span.
  • Despite a rocky overall record (4 wins, 1 draw, 8 losses), Excelsior’s home form is a bright spot: unbeaten in 24 of their last 30 home games and clean sheets in nearly half of their last 20 home league matches.
  • Groningen, meanwhile, have hit a rough patch. They’re winless in five (two draws, three losses), with their last result a 2.2 draw against PEC Zwolle—another match where they couldn’t hold a lead.
  • The visitors have a more balanced season record (6 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses), but their away form is unpredictable: three wins and three losses from six on the road.

Head to Head & Historical Context

The Excelsior vs Groningen head to head record is one-sided: out of 23 meetings since 2006, Groningen have won 15, Excelsior 4, and 4 matches ended level. Their most recent encounter saw Groningen win 2-0, underlining their historical edge. However, Excelsior’s recent 2-1 away win over Ajax showed they’re capable of big surprises—especially when the odds are stacked against them.

  • Stadium: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (capacity: 4,400)
  • Squad values: Excelsior €16.25m, Groningen €32.45m

Tactics & Team News

Excelsior boss Ruben den Uil is focused on tightening up his defense and building a more cohesive unit. Given their recent struggles at the back, expect a cautious approach early on, with quick transitions when chances arise. Groningen, despite their blip, favor a possession-based game—projected to see 55% of the ball in this matchup—and will look to exploit Excelsior’s defensive lapses.

No major injury or suspension news has emerged, but keep an eye on late updates as matchday approaches. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups, with tactical tweaks likely to be the main talking point.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions & Stats

Let’s get to the numbers. The betting odds favor Groningen, with a price of 2.2 for an away win. Excelsior are at 3.65, while the draw sits at 3.65. Our Excelsior vs Groningen prediction leans toward the visitors, but not without some reservations.

  1. 1x2 Market: Our AI tips Groningen to win (2) with a trust level of 2.8/10. Not the strongest vote of confidence, but the odds of 2.2 offer value if you believe in the away side’s quality shining through.
  2. Total Goals (Over/Under): Over 2.5 goals is the standout pick, with a confidence of 5.2/10 and odds of 1.88. Both teams have shown a tendency for open games—Excelsior’s defense leaks goals, while Groningen have scored and conceded 19 each this season.
  3. Predicted Score: 1-2 to Groningen, with a projected halftime score of 0-1. Expect Groningen to control possession (55%), outshoot the hosts (16 shots to 12), and edge the corners (6 to 4).

Key Match Stats

  • Shots on target: Excelsior 4, Groningen 6
  • Yellow cards: 1 each (so don’t expect a card-fest!)
  • Total corners: 10

Final Thoughts: Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction

While Excelsior’s home resilience and recent giant-killing act against Ajax add some spice, the numbers and historical head to head record suggest Groningen are the safer pick. Still, with both teams struggling for consistency, goals look likely—so the over 2.5 goals market is our top recommendation. If you’re feeling bold, back Groningen for the win, but keep your stake sensible; this is Eredivisie football, after all, where surprises are always just around the corner.

To sum up our Excelsior vs Groningen prediction: expect a lively game with at least three goals and a narrow away win. Good luck, and may your bets be as well-timed as a Groningen counter-attack!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.68

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Excelsior vs Groningen

O2.5 -114

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -114
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 120

Groningen is expected to win with odds of 120
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -114

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -143

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -154

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

1.37
xG
1.75
45%
Ball Possession
55%
12
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Goal
6
4
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.34
Expected Goals
1.63
2.4
Total Goals
2.7
1.1
Goals Scored
1.2
1.3
Goals Against
1.5
47%
Possession
51%
12.8
Total Shots
16.2
4.1
Shots on Goal
6.6
5
Shots off Goal
5.4
13.9
Fouls
11.1
4.9
Corners
6.1
0.4
Offsides
1.6
1.78
Yellow Cards
1.5
391
Total Passes
412

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
4
7
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Excelsior
4 - 4 - 10
Groningen
Excelsior Excelsior 16-Jan-24
0:2
 Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 25-Feb-23
3:0
 Excelsior Excelsior
Excelsior Excelsior 08-Jan-23
1:0
 Groningen Groningen
Excelsior Excelsior 15-Dec-21
2:4
 Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 06-Apr-19
1:0
 Excelsior Excelsior
Excelsior Excelsior 02-Nov-18
2:4
 Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 29-Apr-18
4:0
 Excelsior Excelsior
Excelsior Excelsior 17-Dec-17
2:0
 Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 04-Feb-17
1:1
 Excelsior Excelsior

Profile time Recent Matches of Excelsior

01 MarL Excelsior Excelsior 0 G.A. Eagles G.A. Eagles 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Groningen

01 MarLFC Volendam FC Volendam 3 Groningen Groningen 2

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven25
73-30
65
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord25
55-35
48
3 Ajax Ajax25
47-31
44
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen25
61-43
43
5 Twente Twente25
41-26
41
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar25
42-40
39
7 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta25
32-42
37
8 Utrecht Utrecht25
38-31
34
9 Heerenveen Heerenveen25
42-43
34
10 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna25
39-45
32
11 Groningen Groningen25
33-35
31
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead25
38-39
29
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle25
34-50
28
14 FC Volendam FC Volendam25
29-41
27
15 Excelsior Excelsior25
26-42
26
16 NAC Breda NAC Breda25
25-39
22
17 Telstar Telstar25
31-41
21
18 Heracles Heracles25
32-65
17
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