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Match Prediction

Excelsior vs NAC Breda Prediction

Finished
Netherlands flag Netherlands
Eredivisie

Excelsior

€16.33m

29 Nov10:30
1 : 0

NAC Breda

€16.48m

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Excelsior vs NAC Breda Prediction Eredivisie

Excelsior vs NAC Breda Prediction: Stats, Tips & Storylines for 29 Nov 2025

Welcome to our Excelsior vs NAC Breda prediction, where we dive into the numbers, recent form, and betting odds for this Eredivisie encounter at Stadion Woudestein. With both sides hovering near the lower end of the table, there’s plenty at stake—so let’s break down what makes this match a must-watch for football fans and punters alike.

Tactical Approaches, Team News & Recent Form

Excelsior and NAC Breda arrive at this fixture with much to prove. Excelsior, currently 14th, have shown flashes of promise but lack consistency. Under Ruben den Uil, Excelsior’s tactical setup leans on the creativity of Irakli Yegoian and the finishing of Gyan de Regt, who leads the team with two Eredivisie goals. The home side’s attack is supported by the likes of Derensili Sanches Fernandes and Szymon Włodarczyk, though injuries may force some shuffling—especially with Ilias Bronkhorst, Simon Janssen, and Lennard Hartjes likely sidelined.

NAC Breda, just a point behind in 15th, have had a tough run on the road, losing seven of their last ten away games. Their manager, Carl Hoefkens, will be counting on Sydney van Hooijdonk’s eye for goal, but the squad is stretched thin by injuries and suspensions. Lewis Holtby, a key creative force, is suspended alongside F. Oldrup Jensen and Carl Hoefkens himself. Denis Odoi’s arrival is meant to shore up a defense that has conceded in each of their last eight away matches—no easy fix.

Head to Head and Key Stats

  • In 31 head to head meetings, NAC Breda have won 15, Excelsior 8, and 8 have ended in draws.
  • Recent history since July 2022 is very balanced: two wins apiece and two draws in their last six meetings.
  • The last friendly, in July 2025, saw Excelsior edge out NAC Breda 1-0.
  • Excelsior’s home form is solid, with six wins from their last ten at Woudestein.
  • NAC Breda’s away form is shaky, with over 2.5 goals scored in 70% of their away games—a stat that should interest sports betting fans.
  • When these two met in June, Excelsior won 4-1, dominating possession and chances.

Excelsior vs NAC Breda Prediction: AI-Backed Tips & Betting Odds

Now, let’s get to the Excelsior vs NAC Breda prediction and what the numbers tell us about how to bet smartly on this match. Here’s what our analysis and the latest football betting odds reveal:

  • Home Win Odds: 2.24
  • Draw Odds: 3.56
  • Away Win Odds: 3.11
  • Over 2.5 Goals Odds: 1.72 (confidence: 6.4/10)
  • 1X Double Chance Odds: 1.4 (trust rating: 2.0)

Our AI-generated best tip for this match is over 2.5 goals, with a confidence level of 6.4 out of 10. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities and a habit of being involved in high-scoring affairs—especially Breda, who see over 2.5 goals in most away games. If you’re into sports betting, this market looks attractive.

The 1X prediction (Excelsior to win or draw) is another sensible shout, given the home side’s better form at Woudestein and Breda’s travel woes. The expected final score is 2:1 for Excelsior, with a 1:0 lead at halftime. Expect around 52% possession for Excelsior, 15 shots (five on target), and a narrow edge in corners and ball control.

Key Match Facts & Betting Insights

  1. Excelsior’s squad is valued at €16.33m, NAC Breda at €16.48m—almost identical in market value.
  2. Both teams are projected to have just one yellow card each, so don’t expect a dirty game.
  3. NAC Breda have conceded in their last eight away matches—a trend that supports both the over 2.5 goals tip and the 1X prediction.
  4. Excelsior’s last home win was a shock 2:1 at Ajax, showing they can rise to the occasion.

Excelsior vs NAC Breda Prediction: Final Thoughts

All signs point to an open, entertaining game with goals at both ends. Our Excelsior vs NAC Breda prediction is a 2:1 home win, with over 2.5 goals the standout betting tip. If you’re looking for value in the sports betting markets, consider Excelsior to avoid defeat (1X) and the over 2.5 goals line. With both teams hungry for points and prone to defensive lapses, expect plenty of action—and maybe a few nervous moments for fans of either side.

Whether you’re a stats lover, a football romantic, or just searching for the best betting odds, this Eredivisie fixture promises drama. Don’t miss it!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Excelsior vs NAC Breda

O2.5 -139

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -139
6/10

1x2 Tip

1X -250

Excelsior to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -139

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -172

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -145

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.64
xG
1.13
52%
Ball Possession
48%
15
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
5
6
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.4
Expected Goals
1.27
2.4
Total Goals
3.3
1
Goals Scored
1.4
1.4
Goals Against
1.9
48%
Possession
52%
14
Total Shots
13.6
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.4
5.1
Shots off Goal
5.6
12.8
Fouls
11.3
5.5
Corners
6
0.4
Offsides
1.8
1.78
Yellow Cards
1.6
0.2
Red Cards
0.5
399
Total Passes
423

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
2
7
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
8
1
Over 3.5 Goals
4
6
Both Teams Scored
8
1
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Excelsior
5 - 6 - 9
NAC Breda
NAC Breda NAC Breda 20-Jul-24
1:1
Excelsior Excelsior
Excelsior Excelsior 02-Jun-24
4:1
NAC Breda NAC Breda
NAC Breda NAC Breda 28-May-24
6:2
Excelsior Excelsior
NAC Breda NAC Breda 22-Jul-23
2:0
Excelsior Excelsior
Excelsior Excelsior 06-May-22
2:2
NAC Breda NAC Breda
NAC Breda NAC Breda 01-Oct-21
4:1
Excelsior Excelsior
NAC Breda NAC Breda 23-Apr-21
1:2
Excelsior Excelsior
Excelsior Excelsior 03-Jan-21
0:3
NAC Breda NAC Breda

Profile time Recent Matches of Excelsior

05 DecL Excelsior Excelsior.
0:2
Groningen. Groningen
29 NovW Excelsior Excelsior.
1:0
NAC Breda. NAC Breda
22 NovW Ajax Ajax.
1:2
Excelsior. Excelsior
08 NovL Excelsior Excelsior.
1:2
Heracles. Heracles
01 NovD Telstar Telstar.
2:2
Excelsior. Excelsior
29 OctL Excelsior Excelsior.
1:0
Excelsior. Excelsior
26 OctL GA Eagles GA Eagles.
2:0
Excelsior. Excelsior
19 OctW Excelsior Excelsior.
1:0
Sittard. Sittard
04 OctL Heerenveen Heerenveen.
2:1
Excelsior. Excelsior
27 SepL Excelsior Excelsior.
1:2
PSV. PSV

Profile time Recent Matches of NAC Breda

14 DecNAC Breda NAC Breda.
-
Utrecht.Utrecht
07 DecLS. Rotterdam S. Rotterdam.
1:0
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
29 NovLExcelsior Excelsior.
1:0
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
22 NovLNAC Breda NAC Breda.
0:1
PSV.PSV
08 NovLFC Volendam FC Volendam.
2:1
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
01 NovWNAC Breda NAC Breda.
1:0
G.A. Eagles.G.A. Eagles
29 OctLNAC Breda NAC Breda.
1:4
Heracles.Heracles
24 OctDHeerenveen Heerenveen.
3:3
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
18 OctDNAC Breda NAC Breda.
2:2
Zwolle.Zwolle
03 OctLNAC Breda NAC Breda.
1:2
Groningen.Groningen

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven15
46-17
40
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord15
41-18
34
3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen15
39-25
27
4 Ajax Ajax15
28-20
26
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar15
28-24
25
6 Groningen Groningen15
21-21
23
7 Utrecht Utrecht15
26-20
22
8 Twente Twente15
23-20
21
9 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterd15
17-28
20
10 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagle15
25-26
18
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittar15
21-25
18
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen15
23-26
17
13 Excelsior Excelsior15
14-26
16
14 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle15
19-36
16
15 FC Volendam FC Volendam15
19-27
14
16 Heracles Heracles15
23-37
14
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda15
15-24
12
18 Telstar Telstar15
17-25
11
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