Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Turkey
Preview
The Eyupspor vs Karagumruk prediction is on every Turkish football fan’s mind as these two Istanbul sides prepare to meet on November 22, 2025, at Eyüp Stadium. With both teams languishing near the bottom of the Süper Lig, this 14:00 GMT kick-off could be a turning point in their seasons—or just another episode in a tense relegation drama. Let’s break down the recent form, tactical outlook, and what our AI-powered insights suggest about this crucial encounter.
Eyupspor and Karagumruk, both Istanbul-based, have seen better days. Currently, Eyupspor sits 17th in the table, with Karagumruk just below them in 18th. For fans hoping for a high-flying derby, this one is more about grit than glamour. Both teams are desperate for points to climb out of the relegation zone, and the pressure is mounting.
Eyupspor’s recent run has been a tough watch for their supporters. In their last six matches, they’ve managed just one win, one draw, and four defeats. Goals have been hard to come by, with an average of only 0.33 per game, while conceding 0.83. After 12 matches, their goal difference stands at a worrying -9, with only six goals scored and 15 conceded. Their home form is slightly better, but scoring remains a serious concern.
Karagumruk, meanwhile, have mirrored these struggles. They’ve also picked up just one win and one draw in their last six, but their attack has looked livelier, averaging 1.333 goals per game. The flip side? Their defense has been leaky, letting in 1.83 goals per game. With a -11 goal difference and four away defeats in their last five, it’s clear why they’re stuck near the bottom. However, their shock 2-0 away win over Galatasaray earlier this year shows they’re capable of springing a surprise.
Both squads are dealing with more than just poor form. Eyupspor will be without Luccas Claro due to torn ankle ligaments, and several key players are flirting with suspension thanks to yellow card accumulation. The likes of Kerem Demirbay and Mame Thiam need to tread carefully. Samu Sáiz is expected back soon, but the midfield looks thin, with Taras Stepanenko and Halil Akbunar also sidelined.
Karagumruk aren’t faring much better on the injury front. Ricardo Esgaio and Tiago Cukur are both out, and there’s uncertainty about Marius Tresor Doh’s suspension status. The team recently changed managers, bringing back Onur Can Korkmaz in hopes of recapturing the spirit that led them to promotion. Whether he can steady the ship remains to be seen.
Now, let’s get nerdy. According to our AI models, the Eyupspor vs Karagumruk prediction leans towards the home side. The odds for a home win are 2.15, with a draw at 3.45, and an away win a distant 3.6. Our best tip? Go for 1X (Eyupspor to win or draw), with a confidence of 7.2 out of 10 and odds of 1.33. For the classic 1x2 market, a straight home win is recommended, though with a slightly lower trust level of 5.7.
The AI expects a tight affair, predicting under 3.45 total goals (confidence 5.1, odds 1.3.45). The most likely scoreline is 2-0 to Eyupspor, with a 1-0 lead at halftime. Ball possession is projected at 59% for the hosts, and the shot count should be close—13 for Eyupspor, 11 for Karagumruk. Expect the home team to hit the target four times, while Karagumruk might only manage two. Corners and yellow cards are likely to be spread fairly evenly, but discipline could play a role, especially if nerves get the better of the visitors.
Looking at the head to head, both clubs have a history of tight, low-scoring games, and with both desperate for points, don’t expect a goal fest. Eyupspor’s market value stands at €29.60m, comfortably ahead of Karagumruk’s €20.40m, which could give them an edge in quality. The betting odds reflect this, with Eyupspor favored to take all three points.
All in all, this match is a classic relegation six-pointer—tense, unpredictable, and likely to be decided by small margins. Our Eyupspor vs Karagumruk prediction? Back the home team to avoid defeat, and don’t expect fireworks in front of goal. If you’re a neutral, maybe keep the popcorn handy—just don’t expect to use much of it!
Read More
Derby match
1X -303
Eyupspor to win or draw with odds of -3031 115
Eyupspor is expected to win with odds of 115Under 3.5 -244
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 125
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -179
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:0
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Recent Matches of Eyupspor| 18 Mar |
Eyupspor
| - |
Trabzonspor
| - | |
| 15 Mar | L |
Kasimpasa
| 1 |
Eyupspor
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Karagumruk
| 19 Mar |  Kayserispor |
- |  Karagumruk |
- | |
| 13 Mar | W | Karagumruk |
2 |  Fenerbahce |
0 |
Turkey - Süper Lig| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Galatasaray | 26 | 62-18 | 64 |
| 2 |
Fenerbahçe | 26 | 57-27 | 57 |
| 3 |
Trabzonspor | 26 | 52-29 | 57 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş | 26 | 45-30 | 47 |
| 5 |
Göztepe | 26 | 30-20 | 43 |
| 6 |
Başakşehir | 26 | 44-30 | 42 |
| 7 |
Samsunspor | 26 | 28-30 | 35 |
| 8 |
Kocaelispor | 26 | 23-27 | 33 |
| 9 |
Gaziantep FK | 26 | 35-42 | 33 |
| 10 |
Rizespor | 26 | 32-36 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alanyaspor | 26 | 28-32 | 28 |
| 12 |
Konyaspor | 26 | 30-39 | 27 |
| 13 |
Gençlerbirliği | 26 | 28-34 | 26 |
| 14 |
Kasımpaşa | 26 | 22-36 | 24 |
| 15 |
Antalyaspor | 26 | 25-43 | 24 |
| 16 |
Eyüpspor | 26 | 19-37 | 22 |
| 17 |
Kayserispor | 26 | 19-47 | 20 |
| 18 |
Fatih | 26 | 24-46 | 17 |
