FAS welcomes Once Municipal to Estadio Óscar Alberto Quiteño on February 23, and if the odds are anything to go by, the hosts are in the driver's seat. Priced at 1.8 for the win, FAS is expected to take all three points, while a draw sits at 3.25 and an away upset is at 4.33. But is this a straightforward home win, or could Once Municipal throw a wrench in the works?

Let’s break it down. Historically, home teams in the Primera Division have won 38.4% of matches, while away sides have managed just 28.9%. That alone gives FAS a statistical edge. However, their last head-to-head meeting on December 22 saw Once Municipal claim a 2-1 victory. Revenge time for FAS? Possibly.

Our AI-driven prediction backs the hosts with a 3.6/10 confidence rating, forecasting a 2-0 scoreline. Not the strongest confidence level, but still enough to suggest FAS should get the job done. The expected half-time score is 1-0, meaning an early breakthrough could set the tone.

For those who love goal markets, there's a solid case for betting on Under 2.5 goals at 1.55 odds. Only 42.0% of league matches see over 2.5 goals, and with our AI predicting a controlled 2-0 win, this bet aligns well with the expected flow of the game.

FAS has shown flashes of brilliance, including a stunning away win against Alianza last May—though that match somehow ended 0-0. Meanwhile, Once Municipal pulled off a surprise victory over Águila in September, proving they can cause problems on the road.

All things considered, the best bet for this clash is a FAS win. The AI confidence level of 3.5/10 isn’t sky-high, but with home advantage and a statistical edge, FAS should have enough to claim victory. If you’re looking for a safer option, the Under 2.5 goals market also looks promising.

Will FAS get their revenge, or will Once Municipal defy the odds again? We’ll find out soon enough!