FC Volendam vs PSV Prediction

FC Volendam vs PSV prediction: a small stadium, big stakes

FC Volendam vs PSV prediction time arrives on Friday, February 13, 2026, with kickoff at 19:00 GMT (20:00 local) at the Kras Stadion. On paper, it reads like a mismatch: PSV sit 1st with 56 points, while Volendam are 15th on 18 points, only one above the relegation line. But Volendam have made a habit of turning their seaside home into a stubborn problem, and PSV arrive with a very real striker shortage.

Context, team news, and the tactical story

Volendam’s season has leaned heavily on home comfort: 15 of their 18 points have been collected at the Kras Stadion. Rick Kruys is expected to protect that edge with a low block, usually a 5-4-1 (or a very defensive 4-5-1), and hope Bilal Ould-Chikh can carry counters into space. The busiest man may again be goalkeeper Kayne van Oevelen, who leads the league in saves per match (4.8). If Volendam keep this close, he will be the main reason.

PSV, meanwhile, still look like league leaders even when the squad is patched together. Peter Bosz keeps the high-pressing 4-3-3, but the striker situation forces improvisation. Ricardo Pepi (forearm fracture) and Alassane Pléa (knee) are out, Ruben van Bommel is out for the season, and Guus Til is questionable with a foot issue. That shifts attention to Ismael Saibari and new signing Paul Wanner, with Ivan Perišić and January arrival Dennis Man expected to stretch the pitch from wide areas. The “false nine” movement could be key to pulling Volendam’s deep defenders out of their shell.

• Volendam availability: Henk Veerman is close to a return (possible bench), Yannick Leliendal is back from suspension, while Gibson Yah and Anthony Descotte remain out.
• PSV staff note: Ibrahim Afellay joined Bosz’s staff as assistant coach in January 2026, adding experience for the season run-in.

Recent form and head to head that shapes the mood

Volendam just won away at Zwolle on 2026-02-07, a 1-2 result that beat long betting odds of 5.8 and offered proof they can take chances when they get them. PSV’s ceiling remains high too: the 1-4 away win at Liverpool on 2025-11.26 (PSV priced at 10.0) still stands out as a reminder that they can punish teams once the first goal lands.

For the head to head, the recent memory is painful for Volendam: on 2024-02-11 they scored once, but PSV replied with five (1-5). PSV have also won the last eight league meetings, and Volendam have not beaten PSV competitively since May 8, 1994.

NerdyTips picks, betting odds, and how they connect

Now to the numbers behind our FC Volendam vs PSV prediction. The 1X2 betting odds reflect the gap in resources (Volendam squad value €15.68m vs PSV €272.00m): Home 10.0, Draw 6.6, Away 1.26.

• Main 1X2 tip: Away win (2) at 1.26, trust level 10.0/10.
• Best value-style angle: PSV to score 2+ (AS2+) at 1.23, trust level 8.0/10.
• Total goals lean: Over 2.5 at 1.265, trust level 2.7/10.

The logic is consistent: even with PSV’s striker issues, Bosz’s structure creates volume and pressure, and Volendam’s low block tends to invite waves. Our model’s projected script is 0-1 at half-time, finishing 0-3. That fits AS2+ neatly: PSV can cover “two goals” without needing a perfect finishing night, while Volendam’s best hope is to survive the first press and steal one transition.

Modelled scoreline

• Half-time: 0-1
• Full-time: 0-3

Final takeaway for readers scanning one clear FC Volendam vs PSV prediction: PSV to win looks straightforward, but the more practical betting route may be PSV 2+ team goals, especially with Volendam’s survival-minded setup and PSV’s habit of turning pressure into repeated chances.