Girona vs Osasuna Prediction

Girona vs Osasuna Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Expert Betting Tips

Welcome to our Girona vs Osasuna prediction for the La Liga fixture scheduled on January 10, 2026, at 17:30 GMT. With both sides hovering just above the relegation zone, this match at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi promises to be more than just another date on the calendar. If you’re searching for reliable sports betting tips, betting odds, or simply want to know how Girona and Osasuna stack up head to head, you’re in the right place.

Match Context: Recent Form, Team News, and Tactical Insights

Girona and Osasuna enter this match separated by a single point in the La Liga standings—Girona in 15th with 18 points, Osasuna in 12th with 19. Their recent head to head history is competitive: Girona has won three of the last six meetings, but Osasuna took the spoils in their most recent encounter (2-1 at home in April 2025). However, Girona fans will fondly recall the 4-0 thrashing they handed Osasuna at Montilivi back in August 2024.

• Girona have drawn their last three home games, but suffered a heavy 0-3 loss to Atlético Madrid in their latest La Liga outing.
• Osasuna have struggled away, losing 78% of their road fixtures this season, but managed a gritty 1-1 draw at Athletic Club last time out.

Injuries and suspensions are a real headache for both managers. Girona are missing key men like Azzedine Ounahi (international duty), Abel Ruiz (hamstring), and several others with long-term issues. Osasuna have their own absentees, notably Abel Bretones (suspended) and Iker Benito (ACL), with a handful of players sidelined since October.

• Girona’s top scorer is Azzedine Ounahi (3 goals), but he’s away on international duty. Vladyslav Krapyvtsov and Viktor Tsygankov have been standout performers.
• Osasuna rely on Ante Budimir up front (6 goals in 16 appearances), while R. García leads in assists (4).

Tactically, Girona—under Míchel Sánchez—favor a dynamic 3.25-3.25 setup, aiming to overload defenses and create chances from cutbacks and crosses. Osasuna, led by Vicente Moreno, often opt for a five-man defense and emphasize unity, especially during tough spells. Expect Girona to control the ball (56% projected possession) and both sides to register a similar number of shots (12 each).

Head to Head, Key Stats, and Betting Odds

Looking at the head to head record, Girona have the psychological edge at home, having demolished Osasuna 4-0 in their last Montilivi meeting. However, Osasuna’s resilience on the road—despite a poor away record—can’t be underestimated, especially after their surprise draw at Real Betis with high pre-match odds stacked against them.

• Girona’s squad value: €146.50m
• Osasuna’s squad value: €84.50m
• Odds for this match:
  • Home win: 2.42
  • Draw: 3.25
  • Away win: 3.25
• Predicted shots: 12 each, with Girona expected to hit the target 3 times and Osasuna 4 times
• Expected corners: 4 each
• Expected yellow cards: 1 for Girona, 2 for Osasuna

Both teams have similar disciplinary records, and their average possession stats are close—though Girona typically see a bit more of the ball. This balance makes for an intriguing sports betting scenario.

AI Betting Tips, Odds Analysis, and Girona vs Osasuna Prediction

Now, let’s break down the Girona vs Osasuna prediction from our in-house AI and statistical models. The numbers point toward a tight contest, but with a slight edge for the home side.

1. Best Value Tip: Over 1.5 goals (odds: 1.38, trust level: 5.9/10). Both teams are expected to create chances, and with a predicted final score of 2:1, at least two goals seem highly likely.
2. 1x2 Prediction: Home win (Girona) with a confidence level of 2.7 and odds of 2.42. Despite their recent injury woes, Girona’s home advantage and tactical setup give them the edge.
3. Predicted final score: 2:1 to Girona, with a half-time lead of 1:0.

Our AI’s statistical analysis highlights that the over 1.5 goals market is the safest play, given both teams’ attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities. The trust rating of 5.9/10 suggests moderate confidence, but the odds of 1.38 make it a solid choice for accumulator bets or cautious punters.

• Girona vs Osasuna prediction: Home win (2:1)
• Best betting odds: Over 1.5 goals (1.38)
• Sports betting tip: Consider Girona on the 1x2 market, but over 1.5 goals is the safer route

To sum up, this Girona vs Osasuna prediction leans towards a home win, but with both sides likely to get on the scoresheet. The betting odds reflect a close contest, and our sports betting tips suggest that over 1.5 goals is the most reliable pick. For those seeking value, Girona’s odds for a home win are tempting, especially given their recent head to head dominance at Montilivi.

Final Thoughts

With both teams eager to climb the La Liga table and avoid a relegation scrap, expect a competitive encounter with plenty of action. Whether you’re here for the stats, the betting odds, or just a well-informed Girona vs Osasuna prediction, we hope this preview helps you make smarter sports betting decisions. Good luck!