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Match Prediction

Groningen vs NAC Breda Prediction

Finished
Netherlands flag Netherlands
Eredivisie

Groningen

€32.45m

10 Jan15:00
0 : 0

NAC Breda

€15.90m

Preview

Groningen vs NAC Breda Prediction Eredivisie

Groningen vs NAC Breda Prediction: Can the Hosts Keep Rolling?

Football fans, mark your calendars: the Groningen vs NAC Breda prediction is in for Saturday, January 10, 2026, at the Euroborg Stadium. With the home side looking to continue their impressive run and the visitors desperate for a change in fortune, this Eredivisie fixture promises plenty of talking points—and maybe a few nervous moments for punters and fans alike.

Form, Tactics, and Team News: Groningen in the Driver’s Seat

Let’s set the stage: Groningen are currently sitting pretty in 5th place, while NAC Breda are battling at the bottom in 18th. The difference in recent form couldn’t be more stark. Groningen have been solid at home, unbeaten in their last three at the Euroborg, and averaging two goals per game with a commanding 62% possession. The visitors, meanwhile, are in a rut: no wins in their last six, five losses, and a single draw. Away days have been especially rough for NAC, who haven’t tasted victory on the road in their last 15 attempts. Ouch.

  • Groningen head to head advantage: Undefeated in their last three home meetings with NAC Breda (two wins, one draw).
  • NAC Breda’s attacking woes: Averaging just 0.33 goals per game over their last six matches.
  • Home comforts: Groningen’s Euroborg form is a bright spot, with strong attacking numbers and ball control.

On the injury front, Groningen will have to shuffle the deck. Midfielders Sven Bouland and Marvin Peersman are out, while Fofin Turay and Thijmen Blokzijl are doubts. Mats Seuntjens is suspended, and a few others are nursing long-term knocks. NAC Breda aren’t faring much better, with Terence Kongolo and Fredrik Jensen sidelined, plus Leo Greiml and C. Brym dealing with shoulder issues. Cherrion Valerius is walking a suspension tightrope, too.

What the Stats and Betting Odds Tell Us

Digging into the numbers for this Groningen vs NAC Breda prediction, the hosts are clear favorites with odds of 1.7 for the home win. A draw sits at 3.8, while a NAC Breda win is a long shot at 5.3. The last time these two met, Groningen ran out 4-1 winners—another stat that tips the scale towards the home team.

  • Squad values: Groningen at €32.45m, NAC Breda at €15.90m—a gulf in resources that’s reflected on the pitch.
  • Recent upsets: Groningen held Ajax to a 0-0 draw away (against all betting odds), and NAC Breda managed a 2-2 draw at Twente as big underdogs.

The tactical expectation? Groningen to dominate the ball (projected 59% possession), fire off 22 shots (seven on target), and keep NAC Breda mostly on the back foot. Expect the visitors to muster about 14 shots, with just three on target. Corners are forecast at 14 total, with Groningen likely to win the majority.

AI Betting Tips, Predictions, and Final Score Forecast

Let’s get to the part punters care about: the tips. According to NerdyTips’ AI, the best 1x2 bet is a home win (1), with a trust level of 7.3/10 and odds of 1.7. Not exactly a moonshot, but sometimes the safe bet is the smart one. For those eyeing the totals, under 3.5 goals is the recommended play, though with a lower trust rating of 2.1 and odds of 1.44.

  1. Best bet: Home win (Groningen), trust score 7.3/10, odds 1.7
  2. Under/over: Under 3.5 goals, trust score 2.1/10, odds 1.44

Our AI’s Groningen vs NAC Breda prediction for the final score is 2:1, with the hosts expected to take a 1:0 lead into halftime. The home side’s control of possession and attacking output should see them through, but don’t be surprised if NAC Breda scrapes a consolation goal late on—after all, even the most lopsided matches can throw up a twist or two.

To sum up, all signs point to Groningen tightening their grip on a top-five spot, while NAC Breda fans may need to keep their lucky charms close. For those looking for betting tips, the numbers, history, and AI all favor the home team. Whether you’re a stat-head or just love a good football story, this Groningen vs NAC Breda prediction looks like one to trust.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Groningen vs NAC Breda

1 -143

Groningen is expected to win with odds of -143
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -143

Groningen is expected to win with odds of -143
7/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -278

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -115

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U5.5 -357

Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

2.41
xG
1.01
59%
Ball Possession
41%
22
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Goal
3
7
Shots Off Goal
7
9
Corners
5

Average / Match

1.81
Expected Goals
1.22
2.7
Total Goals
2.5
1.3
Goals Scored
0.9
1.4
Goals Against
1.6
54%
Possession
54%
16.7
Total Shots
15.3
5.8
Shots on Goal
4.1
6.2
Shots off Goal
7.6
8.8
Fouls
10.1
7.2
Corners
6.6
1.4
Offsides
1
1.22
Yellow Cards
1.3
396
Total Passes
452

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
1
9
Over 1.5 Goals
5
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Groningen
9 - 8 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC Breda NAC Breda 03-Oct-25
1:2
Groningen Groningen
NAC Breda NAC Breda 29-Mar-25
1:1
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 09-Aug-24
4:1
NAC Breda NAC Breda
Groningen Groningen 07-Apr-24
1:1
NAC Breda NAC Breda
NAC Breda NAC Breda 06-Oct-23
3:2
Groningen Groningen
NAC Breda NAC Breda 23-Feb-19
0:0
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 02-Dec-18
5:2
NAC Breda NAC Breda
Groningen Groningen 23-Feb-18
1:1
NAC Breda NAC Breda
NAC Breda NAC Breda 16-Sep-17
2:1
Groningen Groningen
NAC Breda NAC Breda 17-May-15
4:5
Groningen Groningen

Profile time Recent Matches of Groningen

18 Jan Heerenveen Heerenveen.
-
Groningen. Groningen
10 JanD Groningen Groningen.
0:0
NAC Breda. NAC Breda
06 JanL Groningen Groningen.
0:4
Bodo/Glimt. Bodo/Glimt
21 DecD G.A. Eagles G.A. Eagles.
1:1
Groningen. Groningen
13 DecW Groningen Groningen.
3:0
FC Volendam. FC Volendam
05 DecW Excelsior Excelsior.
0:2
Groningen. Groningen
02 DecD Ajax Ajax.
0:0
Groningen. Groningen
23 NovD Groningen Groningen.
2:2
Zwolle. Zwolle
09 NovL Nijmegen Nijmegen.
2:0
Groningen. Groningen
02 NovD Groningen Groningen.
1:1
Twente. Twente

Profile time Recent Matches of NAC Breda

17 JanNAC Breda NAC Breda.
-
Nijmegen.Nijmegen
10 JanDGroningen Groningen.
0:0
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
20 DecLNAC Breda NAC Breda.
0:1
Telstar.Telstar
14 DecDNAC Breda NAC Breda.
1:1
Utrecht.Utrecht
07 DecLS. Rotterdam S. Rotterdam.
1:0
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
29 NovLExcelsior Excelsior.
1:0
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
22 NovLNAC Breda NAC Breda.
0:1
PSV.PSV
08 NovLFC Volendam FC Volendam.
2:1
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
01 NovWNAC Breda NAC Breda.
1:0
G.A. Eagles.G.A. Eagles
29 OctLNAC Breda NAC Breda.
1:4
Heracles.Heracles

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven18
57-22
49
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord18
44-23
36
3 Ajax Ajax18
35-24
33
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen17
43-29
29
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar17
32-28
28
6 Groningen Groningen18
25-22
28
7 Twente Twente18
27-22
26
8 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterd18
20-31
26
9 Heerenveen Heerenveen18
31-28
24
10 Utrecht Utrecht17
28-23
23
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittar18
27-31
22
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagle18
28-31
20
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle18
22-39
20
14 Excelsior Excelsior17
17-32
19
15 Telstar Telstar18
22-30
15
16 NAC Breda NAC Breda18
16-26
14
17 FC Volendam FC Volendam18
19-32
14
18 Heracles Heracles18
26-46
14
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