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Match Prediction

Groningen vs Zwolle Prediction

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Netherlands flag Netherlands

Groningen

€27.30m

23 Nov10:45
2 : 2

Zwolle

€24.77m

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Groningen vs Zwolle Prediction Eredivisie

Groningen vs Zwolle Prediction: Goals Expected in Eredivisie Battle

The Groningen vs Zwolle prediction for November 23, 2025, is shaping up to be one of the more intriguing Eredivisie fixtures this autumn. Set for a 15:45 GMT kickoff at the Euroborg Stadium, this match brings together two sides with contrasting ambitions and recent fortunes. Whether you’re a casual fan or a seasoned bettor, there’s plenty to unpack in this encounter, from tactical trends to betting odds and head to head history.

Team Form, Tactics, and Key Absences

Let’s start with the basics. Groningen, currently sitting 6th in the Eredivisie, have been the definition of balanced—17 goals scored, 17 conceded after 12 matches. Under Dick Lukkien, they’ve shown both attacking flair and defensive frailty, averaging 1.42 goals for and against per game. At home, they’ve been strong overall, but recent form has dipped: just one goal scored and four conceded in their last three at the Euroborg, with no wins to show for it.

PEC Zwolle, meanwhile, are down in 15th, with 12 points from 12 matches. Their season has been a rollercoaster—three wins, three draws, and six losses. The away form is particularly worrying: winless in five of their last six on the road, with three defeats. Henry van der Vegt’s side have struggled to keep things tight at the back, conceding almost three goals per game in their last six, but they do pack a punch going forward, averaging 1.83 goals scored.

  • Groningen have a slight edge at home, unbeaten in their last three against Zwolle at the Euroborg (one win, two draws).
  • PEC Zwolle have managed to hold their own in recent head to head meetings, with three draws in the last six encounters.

Injuries and suspensions could play a part. Groningen are sweating on the fitness of Fofin Turay and Noam Emeran, while Stije Resink is one yellow card away from a ban. Zwolle’s injury list is longer, with doubts over Younes Namli, Tristan Gooijer, and several others, including first-choice keeper Jasper Schendelaar.

What the Stats and Odds Tell Us

The bookmakers have Groningen as clear favorites for a home win at 1.58, with a draw at 4.25 and a Zwolle away win priced at a tempting 6.6. The market values are close—Groningen at €27.30m, Zwolle at €24.77m—suggesting there’s not a massive gulf in quality, even if the table says otherwise.

  • Last time these two met (December 2024), it ended 0-0—hardly a classic, but recent form suggests more fireworks this time.
  • Groningen’s last big home game saw them hold Feyenoord to a 2-2 draw, while Zwolle shocked AZ Alkmaar with a 2-2 away draw in September.

AI-Driven Groningen vs Zwolle Prediction and Betting Tips

Now, let’s get to the part everyone loves: the Groningen vs Zwolle prediction, powered by our NerdyTips AI. The data points to an open, attacking game with plenty of chances for both sides.

  1. Over 2.5 Total Goals is our top betting tip, with odds of 1.75 and a trust rating of 6.4/10. Both teams have shown they can score and concede in equal measure, and with recent defensive lapses, at least three goals looks likely.
  2. AI 1x2 Prediction surprisingly favors Zwolle to snatch a win (odds 6.6, trust 1.5/10). While the away side are underdogs, their ability to spring a surprise—like against AZ Alkmaar—shouldn’t be ignored.
  3. Predicted Scoreline: 2-3 in favor of Zwolle, with a 1-2 score at halftime. The AI expects Groningen to dominate possession (64%) and shots (17 to 7), but Zwolle’s efficiency could be the difference.

Other stats to consider:

  • Groningen are expected to win 7 corners to Zwolle’s 2, reflecting their attacking intent at home.
  • Both teams are predicted to pick up just one yellow card each—so don’t expect a dirty game, just a lively one.

In summary, while the betting odds and head to head record suggest Groningen should edge it, our Groningen vs Zwolle prediction leans towards a high-scoring affair, with Zwolle capable of pulling off an upset. If you’re looking for value, over 2.5 total goals is the smart play, but don’t rule out a surprise away win at long odds. As always, keep an eye on late team news for any last-minute changes!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Groningen vs Zwolle

O2.5 -133

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -133
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 560

Zwolle is expected to win with odds of 560
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -133

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -123

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 200

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:3

Stats Predictions

1.85
xG
0.81
64%
Ball Possession
36%
17
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
2
7
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.52
Expected Goals
1.04
2.7
Total Goals
4.2
1.4
Goals Scored
1.5
1.3
Goals Against
2.7
50%
Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
10
5.7
Shots on Goal
3.7
4.8
Shots off Goal
3.8
11.3
Fouls
9.1
5.4
Corners
3.2
1.8
Offsides
1.6
1.6
Yellow Cards
1.56
0.14
Red Cards
0.43
393
Total Passes
361

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
4
Over 2.5 Goals
8
2
Over 3.5 Goals
7
4
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Groningen
10 - 5 - 8
Zwolle
Zwolle Zwolle 18-May-25
2:0
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 08-Dec-24
0:0
Zwolle Zwolle
Zwolle Zwolle 05-Aug-23
0:0
Groningen Groningen
Zwolle Zwolle 20-Feb-22
1:1
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 03-Dec-21
1:1
Zwolle Zwolle
Zwolle Zwolle 16-May-21
1:0
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 13-Feb-21
1:0
Zwolle Zwolle
Zwolle Zwolle 01-Feb-20
1:0
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 21-Sep-19
2:0
Zwolle Zwolle

Profile time Recent Matches of Groningen

01 Mar FC Volendam FC Volendam - Groningen Groningen -

Profile time Recent Matches of Zwolle

01 MarZwolle Zwolle - Ajax Ajax -

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven24
70-29
62
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord24
55-33
48
3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen24
59-40
43
4 Ajax Ajax24
47-31
43
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar24
42-38
39
6 Twente Twente24
39-26
38
7 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta24
31-40
37
8 Utrecht Utrecht24
36-31
31
9 Groningen Groningen24
31-32
31
10 Heerenveen Heerenveen24
40-42
31
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna24
36-43
29
12 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle24
34-50
27
13 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead24
37-39
26
14 Excelsior Excelsior24
26-41
26
15 FC Volendam FC Volendam24
26-39
24
16 NAC Breda NAC Breda24
25-36
22
17 Telstar Telstar24
28-41
18
18 Heracles Heracles24
31-62
17
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