Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Welcome to our detailed Jequie vs ASA prediction for the upcoming Serie D fixture on July 20, 2025. This match carries significant weight for both teams' promotion ambitions, and the contrasting forms set the stage for a fascinating encounter. As we dive into the analysis, we'll explore the tactics, key players, and head-to-head history before revealing our AI-backed sports betting tips and score prediction.
Jequie enters this home match in a precarious position. While they have impressively remained unbeaten in their last three games at the Estádio Waldomiro Borges, their overall form tells a different story. Reports indicate a struggle for points, with the team failing to find the back of the net in three of their last five outings. Coach Erivaldo Silva, appointed early in 2025, is expected to deploy a disciplined 4-3-3 formation. Their strategy will likely revolve around a compact defensive shape with two holding midfielders, aiming to absorb pressure and launch quick counter-attacks through forwards like Lucas Silva and Carlos Silva.
On the other side, ASA arrives in Jequié with momentum. Under the guidance of coach Raniel Ribeiro, known for his integrated training methods, the team is on a three-game unbeaten run. Their preferred 4-2-3-1 setup facilitates a more possession-based game, with an effective press designed to win the ball back quickly. This tactical approach allows them to control the tempo and build attacks methodically, a style that has served them well recently. The current betting odds certainly reflect their stronger position in this match.
The outcome of this match could hinge on individual performances. For Jequie, the experience of veteran midfielder João Pedro will be vital in controlling the center of the park. ASA, however, boasts the firepower of striker Rafael Santiago, who has already netted six goals this season, and the creativity of playmaker Daniel Rosa. Their efforts will be crucial, especially with whispers that the visitors might be without key figures like captain Cristian and midfielder Samuel, which could test their squad depth.
Historically, this fixture has produced goals. The last time these two met, ASA secured a 4-2 win, a scoreline that has appeared frequently in their head-to-head record. Another interesting tidbit for betting enthusiasts is ASA's tendency to score late, with 16% of their goals coming in the final ten minutes. While history suggests an open game, Jequie's recent scoring drought and ASA's potential absences could script a different narrative this time around.
The market has positioned ASA as the clear favorite, and it's easy to see why. The current betting odds for an away win stand at 1.95, while a home victory for Jequie is a long shot at 3.83. A draw is priced at 3.00. These odds paint a clear picture based on recent form and team strength, but our AI analysis offers a deeper look into where the true value might lie for this important match.
After processing all the available data, our AI model aligns with the market sentiment, favoring the visitors. The AI-generated 1x2 prediction is for an ASA win, backed by a solid trust calculation. Their consistent form and tactical superiority give them a distinct edge over a Jequie side that has struggled to create chances and score goals.
Interestingly, our top selection for this match is Under 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.58. This might seem counterintuitive given the 4-2 result in their last meeting. However, our model places weight on Jequie's recent offensive struggles and the potential for a slightly weakened ASA attack. While the confidence rating for this prediction is modest at 1.5/10, it suggests that a high-scoring affair is less likely than the head-to-head history implies. The final score prediction from our system is a clean 0:2 victory for ASA, with the visitors expected to be leading 0:1 at the break. This scoreline perfectly marries the away win and the under 2.5 goals prediction, suggesting a controlled and professional performance from the favorites.
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ASA has an unusually high recent form
U2.5 -172
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1722 -105
ASA is expected to win with odds of -105Under 2.5 -172
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -133
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -164
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:2
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0
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0
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1
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 ASA |
26-Apr-25
4:2
| Jequie  |
Recent Matches of Jequie| 29 Jan |
Bahia F.
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-
| Jequie.
| |
| 23 Jan | W |
Jequie.
|
4:1
| Atletico A.
|
Recent Matches of ASA
| 25 Jan | W |  CSE. |
1:2 |
ASA. |
Brazil - Serie D| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ASA | 14 | 27-8 | 31 |
| 2 |
Lagarto | 14 | 20-16 | 23 |
| 3 |
Sergipe | 14 | 16-10 | 22 |
| 4 |
Juazeirense | 14 | 12-15 | 22 |
| 5 |
União | 14 | 14-16 | 19 |
| 6 |
Jequié | 14 | 15-16 | 16 |
| 7 |
Barcelona BA | 14 | 9-20 | 11 |
| 8 |
Penedense | 14 | 5-17 | 8 |
