Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
KuPS
€5.47m
Kairat Almaty
€12.80m
Preview
Our comprehensive KuPS vs Kairat Almaty prediction dives deep into this intriguing UEFA Champions League qualifier. On Tuesday, July 22, 2025, the Väre Areena in Kuopio, Finland, will host a historic first-ever meeting between these two clubs. With a spot in Europe's elite competition on the line, both teams arrive with impressive unbeaten streaks, setting the stage for a fascinating tactical battle. This football betting preview will analyze the form, tactics, and key player news before delivering our data-driven tips.
This match marks a significant moment for both KuPS and Kairat Almaty as they cross paths for the first time in a competitive fixture. The Finnish hosts, KuPS, will be looking to leverage their home advantage in this crucial first leg, kicking off at 16:00 GMT. Their recent domestic success has earned them this shot on the continental stage, and they enter the tie in formidable shape.
Both teams are riding waves of confidence:
From a tactical perspective, KuPS, under the guidance of coach Jarkko Wiss, is expected to deploy their preferred 4-3-3 formation. Their game plan revolves around a high press, rapid transitions, and using their full-backs to create width. The midfield, likely featuring stalwarts like Otto Ruoppi and Petteri Pennanen, is key to their ball retention and ability to switch play quickly. Encouragingly for the home fans, KuPS reports a full-strength squad with no significant injuries.
On the other side, Kairat Almaty has found renewed cohesion under manager Rafael Urazbakhtin. However, their on-paper strength, reflected in a squad value more than double that of KuPS (€12.80m vs €5.47m), is severely undermined by a crippling injury crisis. The Kazakh side will be without three of their most influential players. Defenders will have an easier time without the threat of strikers João Paulo and Élder Santana, both sidelined with cruciate ligament tears. To make matters worse, key defender Luka Gadrani is also out with torn ankle ligaments. These absences drastically blunt their attack and weaken their defensive core.
When we look at the sports betting markets, the odds reflect a tight contest. The bookmakers have priced a home win for KuPS at 2.47, a draw at 3.14, and an away victory for Kairat at 2.95. While Kairat has a history of impressive away performances, such as their stunning 3-0 win at FC Astana in 2023 as 6.5 underdogs, their current injury situation makes a repeat of such heroics highly unlikely. The value, therefore, seems to lie with the home side, who are at full strength and playing in front of their own supporters.
Our analysis, powered by AI, has processed all the available data to provide a clear betting direction for this head to head encounter. While the AI's trust levels are conservative, which is common for a first-ever meeting, the underlying stats point towards a cautious, low-scoring affair where the home side holds the edge.
In conclusion, our KuPS vs Kairat Almaty prediction leans heavily on the team news. Kairat's injuries have levelled the playing field, shifting the advantage to a solid and fully-fit KuPS side playing at home. The betting odds for a home result or a low-scoring game offer good value.
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1X -250
KuPS to win or draw with odds of -2501X -250
KuPS to win or drawUnder 2.5 -154
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -116
Both teams are expected to score1X&U3.5 -114
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
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Recent Matches of KuPS| 11 Dec |
KuPS.
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Recent Matches of Kairat
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Olympiakos. |
World - UEFA Champions League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal | 5 | 14-1 | 15 |
| 2 |
Paris Saint Ge | 5 | 19-8 | 12 |
| 3 |
Bayern Münche | 5 | 15-6 | 12 |
| 4 |
Inter | 5 | 12-3 | 12 |
| 5 |
Real Madrid | 5 | 12-5 | 12 |
| 6 |
Borussia Dortm | 5 | 17-11 | 10 |
| 7 |
Chelsea | 5 | 12-6 | 10 |
| 8 |
Sporting CP | 5 | 11-5 | 10 |
| 9 |
Manchester Cit | 5 | 10-5 | 10 |
| 10 |
Atalanta | 5 | 6-5 | 10 |
| 11 |
Newcastle | 5 | 11-4 | 9 |
| 12 |
Atletico Madri | 5 | 12-10 | 9 |
| 13 |
Liverpool | 5 | 10-8 | 9 |
| 14 |
Galatasaray | 5 | 8-7 | 9 |
| 15 |
PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 13-8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tottenham | 5 | 10-7 | 8 |
| 17 |
Bayer Leverkus | 5 | 8-10 | 8 |
| 18 |
Barcelona | 5 | 12-10 | 7 |
| 19 |
Qarabag | 5 | 8-9 | 7 |
| 20 |
Napoli | 5 | 6-9 | 7 |
| 21 |
Marseille | 5 | 8-6 | 6 |
| 22 |
Juventus | 5 | 10-10 | 6 |
| 23 |
Monaco | 5 | 6-8 | 6 |
| 24 |
Pafos | 5 | 4-7 | 6 |
| 25 |
Union St. Gill | 5 | 5-12 | 6 |
| 26 |
Club Brugge KV | 5 | 8-13 | 4 |
| 27 |
Athletic Club | 5 | 4-9 | 4 |
| 28 |
Eintracht Fran | 5 | 7-14 | 4 |
| 29 |
FC Copenhagen | 5 | 7-14 | 4 |
| 30 |
Benfica | 5 | 4-8 | 3 |
| 31 |
Slavia Praha | 5 | 2-8 | 3 |
| 32 |
Bodo/Glimt | 5 | 7-11 | 2 |
| 33 |
Olympiakos Pir | 5 | 5-13 | 2 |
| 34 |
Villarreal | 5 | 2-10 | 1 |
| 35 |
Kairat Almaty | 5 | 4-14 | 1 |
| 36 |
Ajax | 5 | 1-16 | 0 |
