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Match Prediction

La Coruna vs Eibar Prediction

Finished

La Coruna

€53.80m

21 Feb10:15
1 : 0

Eibar

€16.85m

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La Coruna vs Eibar Prediction Segunda División

La Coruna vs Eibar prediction: Riazor tension, tiny margins

La Coruna vs Eibar prediction time, and it feels like one of those Segunda División afternoons where the table pressure is louder than the crowd. On Saturday, 2026-02-21 (15:15 GMT) at Abanca-Riazor, Deportivo arrive 4th and chasing direct promotion, while Eibar sit 10th, close enough to smell the play-offs but still needing a run to truly join the conversation.

Context, form, and why this game matters

Deportivo’s recent weeks have been solid without being perfect: a narrow loss to Albacete on Feb 8 reminded everyone that this league punishes lapses, yet that mid-January win over Almería showed the ceiling. At home, they have been one of the division’s hardest teams to crack, already collecting 7 clean sheets at Riazor this season.

Eibar, meanwhile, have arrived with a little February spark. The 2–1 win over leaders Racing Santander on Feb 15 did more than add three points; it gave Beñat San José’s side permission to believe again. Their recent sequence still has bumps (Sporting win, Zaragoza loss), but the idea is clear: become tough first, then hurt you in transition.

Tactical storyline: patience vs transitions

Antonio Hidalgo’s Deportivo have leaned on a high-pressing 4-2-3-1 or 4.35.35, asking wide pace and quick combinations to open the door. Yeremay Hernández has been the headline act with 10 goals and 7 big chances created, while Peke (9) and Zakaria Eddahchouri (8) keep the goal threat spread out. The only small cloud is fitness: Luismi Cruz and Lucas Noubi have been carrying discomfort and remain doubts.

Eibar are more structured in a 4-2-3-1, trying to keep games tidy and then break through the wings. Javi Martón leads their scoring with 7, and José Corpas is the main creative outlet. Adu Ares is still out long term after knee surgery, and veterans Arbilla and Olaetxea are one booking away from suspension—something to watch if this becomes a gritty second-half contest.

Quick notes to frame the head to head

  • Head to head edge at Riazor: Deportivo have 6 home wins in the last 13 pro meetings (Eibar 2).
  • Last meeting (2024-11-11): Deportivo won 1–0, with similar pre-match market prices.
  • Hidalgo has spoken about emotional management as promotion pressure grows—this is where it starts to bite.

NerdyTips angles: betting odds and AI reads

The raw betting odds price Deportivo as the favourite: Home win 2.02, Draw 3.35, Away win 4.35. That lines up neatly with the projected game script: Deportivo on about 61% possession, around 14 shots to Eibar’s 6, and 3 shots on target to 1. If those numbers hold, it looks less like a fireworks show and more like controlled territory.

Best tip: total goals looks tight

  • Under 2.5 goals is the best AI tip (odds 1.61) with trust 6.8/10.
  • AI under/over call repeats the same: under 2.5 (confidence 6.9, odds 1.61).
  • Predicted half-time score: 0:0, matching the “patient and clinical” message from Hidalgo.

1X2 prediction and correct score lean

  • AI 1x2 pick: 1 (odds 2.025) but with low calculated trust (1.8).
  • Correct score call: 1:0, which mirrors the last head to head result.

So, our La Coruna vs Eibar prediction reads like this: Deportivo’s higher market value (€53.80m vs €16.85m) and home control should tilt the match, but Eibar’s recent revival and compact setup can keep the total goals down. Expect a measured first half, a few tense moments (2 yellows projected for Deportivo, 3 for Eibar), and a game decided by one well-worked move or one mistake—exactly the kind of match where “under” bettors sleep a little easier.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

La Coruna didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for La Coruna vs Eibar

U2.5 -164

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -164
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 102

La Coruna is expected to win with odds of 102
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -164

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -133

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -256

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.44
xG
0.8
61%
Ball Possession
39%
14
Total Shots
6
3
Shots on Goal
1
6
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

1.28
Expected Goals
1.07
1.9
Total Goals
1.5
0.9
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Against
0.5
50%
Possession
47%
12.4
Total Shots
9.1
2.8
Shots on Goal
2.9
5.4
Shots off Goal
3.9
10.3
Fouls
15.8
4.4
Corners
4.4
1.9
Offsides
2
2.67
Yellow Cards
3
431
Total Passes
391

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
5
Over 1.5 Goals
4
3
Over 2.5 Goals
3
1
Over 3.5 Goals
0
4
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

La Coruna
6 - 4 - 1
Eibar
Eibar Eibar 27-Sep-25
1:1
Deportivo La Coruna
Eibar Eibar 02-Feb-25
0:1
Deportivo La Coruna
La Coruna Deportivo 11-Nov-24
1:0
Eibar Eibar
La Coruna Deportivo 03-Mar-18
1:1
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 15-Oct-17
0:0
Deportivo La Coruna
Eibar Eibar 28-Jan-17
3:1
Deportivo La Coruna
La Coruna Deportivo 19-Aug-16
2:1
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 23-Apr-16
1:1
Deportivo La Coruna
La Coruna Deportivo 19-Dec-15
2:0
Eibar Eibar
La Coruna Deportivo 06-Feb-15
2:0
Eibar Eibar

Profile time Recent Matches of Deportivo

01 MarW Real II Real II 2 Deportivo Deportivo 3
21 FebW Deportivo Deportivo 1 Eibar Eibar 0
15 FebL Castellon Castellon 2 Deportivo Deportivo 0
08 FebW Deportivo Deportivo 2 Albacete Albacete 1
31 JanW Cultural Cultural 0 Deportivo Deportivo 1
25 JanL Deportivo Deportivo 0 Racing S Racing S 1
17 JanW Almeria Almeria 1 Deportivo Deportivo 2
13 JanL Deportivo Deportivo 0 Atl. Madrid Atl. Madrid 1
10 JanD Las Palmas Las Palmas 1 Deportivo Deportivo 1
04 JanD Deportivo Deportivo 2 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 2

Profile time Recent Matches of Eibar

01 MarWEibar Eibar 3 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 1
21 FebLDeportivo Deportivo 1 Eibar Eibar 0
15 FebWEibar Eibar 2 Racing S Racing S 1
07 FebDZaragoza Zaragoza 1 Eibar Eibar 1
01 FebWEibar Eibar 1 Gijon Gijon 0
25 JanWEibar Eibar 1 Almeria Almeria 0
19 JanDGranada CF Granada CF 0 Eibar Eibar 0
10 JanLBurgos CF Burgos CF 1 Eibar Eibar 0
02 JanWEibar Eibar 2 Mirandes Mirandes 1
19 DecWEibar Eibar 3 Valladolid Valladolid 0

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing28
56-36
53
2 Castellón Castellón28
46-29
49
3 Almeria Almeria28
53-40
49
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La28
44-31
49
5 Malaga Malaga28
41-31
47
6 Las Palmas Las Palmas28
34-22
45
7 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC28
36-39
44
8 Burgos Burgos28
30-26
43
9 Cordoba Cordoba27
37-33
41
10 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon27
38-36
41
11 Eibar Eibar28
31-30
38
12 Albacete Albacete28
33-39
35
13 Cadiz Cadiz28
29-35
35
14 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad28
38-39
34
15 Leganes Leganes27
29-28
33
16 Granada CF Granada CF28
32-33
32
17 FC Andorra FC Andorra27
31-39
32
18 Valladolid Valladolid28
29-38
32
19 Huesca Huesca28
26-37
30
20 Cultural Leonesa Cultural28
27-44
27
21 Mirandes Mirandes28
28-45
24
22 Zaragoza Zaragoza28
23-41
24
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