Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Argentina
Preview
The Lanus vs Atl. Tucuman prediction is shaping up to be one of the more intriguing fixtures in the Liga Profesional Argentina this November. Set for November 16, 2025, at 21:00 GMT, this match at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez promises both tactical interest and betting value. With Lanus riding high in the league and Atlético Tucumán looking to steady their ship, fans and punters alike have plenty to consider.
Let’s start with the basics. Lanus, currently sitting pretty in 3rd place, have made their home ground something of a fortress. Their recent run—two wins, two draws, and a single loss in their last five outings—suggests a team that’s tough to break down, especially in front of their own fans. In fact, they’ve won all of their last five home games, a stat that will give them plenty of confidence heading into this tie.
Atlético Tucumán, on the other hand, have had a bumpier ride. With two wins and three losses in their previous five matches, they’re perched down in 23rd, having just secured top-flight survival with a crucial win over Godoy Cruz. Their away form has been particularly patchy, and scoring on the road hasn’t come easy. In the head to head stakes, Lanus also hold the upper hand, with 7 wins to Atlético Tucumán’s 3 since 2009, and a better goal average in these meetings.
In terms of market value, Lanus’s squad is worth nearly double that of their opponents—€32.92m to €15.98m—which is reflected in their deeper bench and stronger options. However, both teams have been hit by injuries. Lanus are missing key defenders like Raúl Loaiza and Franco Ortellado, while Atlético Tucumán’s backline is also patched up, with several players nursing long-term injuries or suspensions.
Mauricio Pellegrino’s Lanus side is expected to stick with a balanced set-up, focusing on keeping things tight at the back and looking to strike with pace up front. Their predicted line-up blends experience and youth, with the likes of Bou and Dominguez providing attacking spark. Atlético Tucumán, meanwhile, will try to keep things compact and hope to hit on the break. Their line-up is likely to feature Lucchetti in goal and a midfield trio tasked with shielding a makeshift defense.
There’s also a bit of off-field drama for the visitors, with player Leandro Díaz recently voicing concerns about the club’s recruitment policy. Whether this internal tension will affect team spirit remains to be seen.
Now, let’s dig into the numbers that matter for our Lanus vs Atl. Tucuman prediction. The current betting odds favor the home side, with Lanus at 1.85 for the win, a draw at 3.35, and Atlético Tucumán out at 4.6. Notably, our AI at NerdyTips sees limited value in a goal-fest: the under 2.5 goals market comes in as the best statistical pick, with odds of 1.53 and a trust rating of 2.0 out of 10. That suggests a tight affair, with chances likely to be at a premium.
The AI’s predicted final score is 2:0 to Lanus, with a 1:0 lead expected at half-time. Ball possession is forecast to be 55% for the hosts, and while Tucumán may actually take more shots (9 to Lanus’s 8), the home team is predicted to be more clinical. Interestingly, corners are expected to be few and far between—just five in total, with Tucumán edging that stat 4 to 1. Disciplinary matters might play a part too, with the away side tipped to pick up three yellow cards.
History favors Lanus, both in terms of results and total goals scored in this fixture. When they last met in June 2023, Lanus edged a 2-1 win, and the odds back then were similarly stacked in their favor. The home side’s defensive solidity, combined with Tucumán’s struggles on the road, makes the under 2.5 goals tip a logical choice for punters looking for value in the betting odds.
For those chasing a result, the 1x2 market points to a Lanus home win, but with a trust rating of just 1.5, it’s not a bulletproof bet. Still, with Lanus’s home form and the visitors’ injury woes, it’s hard to argue against the numbers.
All things considered, our Lanus vs Atl. Tucuman prediction leans toward a low-scoring home win—something like 2:0, with Lanus controlling the tempo and limiting Tucumán’s chances. The under 2.5 goals bet looks solid, especially with both teams’ recent records and the tactical setups likely to be employed. With the league standings, head to head stats, and current form all pointing in the same direction, expect a disciplined, perhaps even cagey, ninety minutes in Buenos Aires.
If you’re betting, keep it sensible—this one could be decided by fine margins, but Lanus’s home advantage and stronger squad should tip the balance their way.
Read More
Lanus no motivation!
U2.5 -189
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1891 -118
Lanus is expected to win with odds of -118Under 2.5 -189
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -156
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -179
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2:0
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4
-
3
-
3
|
|
 Atl. Tucuman |
04-May-25
1:0
| Lanus  |
| Atl. Tucuman |
28-Oct-24
1:0
| Lanus |
| Lanus |
05-Jun-23
2:1
| Atl. Tucuman |
| Atl. Tucuman |
15-Jun-22
2:1
| Lanus |
| Lanus |
17-Jul-21
4:2
| Atl. Tucuman |
| Lanus |
06-Mar-21
2:1
| Atl. Tucuman |
| Atl. Tucuman |
23-Feb-20
2:2
| Lanus |
| Atl. Tucuman |
07-Oct-18
0:0
| Lanus |
| Lanus |
12-May-18
0:0
| Atl. Tucuman |
Recent Matches of Lanus| 29 Jan |
Lanus.
|
-
| Union S.
| |
| 23 Jan | W |
San Lorenzo.
|
2:3
| Lanus.
|
Recent Matches of Atl. Tucuman
| 28 Jan | Atl. Tucuman. |
- |
Central C. | |
| 24 Jan | L |  Rivadavia. |
2:1 |
Atl. Tucuman. |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosario | 16 | 18-8 | 31 |
| 2 |
Lanus | 16 | 20-13 | 30 |
| 3 |
Deportivo | 16 | 19-12 | 28 |
| 4 |
Velez | 16 | 19-12 | 26 |
| 5 |
San Lorenzo | 16 | 13-11 | 24 |
| 6 |
River Plate | 16 | 20-15 | 22 |
| 7 |
Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 14-16 | 22 |
| 8 |
Talleres | 16 | 9-12 | 21 |
| 9 |
Sarmiento | 16 | 13-17 | 20 |
| 10 |
San Martin | 16 | 13-16 | 19 |
| 11 |
Independiente | 16 | 14-13 | 18 |
| 12 |
Atletico | 16 | 17-22 | 18 |
| 13 |
Instituto | 16 | 9-17 | 16 |
| 14 |
Godoy Cruz | 16 | 11-19 | 12 |
| 15 |
Platense | 16 | 12-25 | 12 |
