Preview
Mark your calendars for Tuesday, March 17, 2.26 (22:00 GMT), because this Lanus vs Newells Old Boys prediction comes with that familiar Argentine feel: pressure, patience, and maybe not many goals. The Torneo Apertura meeting is set for Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (La Fortaleza), with Bruno Amiconi on the whistle and ESPN Premium carrying it in Argentina.
Lanús arrive with a steadier pulse. They sit 10th in Zona A and just picked up an important 1–0 away win at Estudiantes on March 13, decided late by teenager Dylan Aquino. That result mattered after a bruising 3–0 home loss to Boca Juniors, a game that reportedly drew blunt words from Mauricio Pellegrino. Still, the bigger mood music came in late February: Lanús lifting the 2.26 Recopa Sudamericana after beating Flamengo, then later even winning away at Flamengo on 2.26-02.27 in a wild 2–3 upset at enormous odds (12.0).
But Lanús have been forced to remodel their attack. Rodrigo Castillo, hero of that Recopa run with two goals against Flamengo, has been sold to Fluminense for $10m. Marcelino Moreno has been managing a foot injury (timed around mid-March), and Raúl Loaiza has had physical discomfort. So Pellegrino’s blueprint leans even more on structure: the experienced centre-back pairing of Izquierdoz and Canale, with veterans like Salvio and Carrera asked to provide the final pass while Aquino and other academy options supply energy.
Newell’s, meanwhile, come to Buenos Aires with their season already feeling heavy. They are last in Zona A (15th) and the annual table, with just 2 points from 8 matches. A 1–1 draw with Platense on March 10 stopped the immediate bleeding after a painful Clásico loss to Rosario Central, but the broader trend is stark: only one win in their last 17 matches overall. The club also changed course quickly, dismissing the Orsi–Gómez duo after six games and turning to Frank Darío Kudelka just before the derby—now he’s tasked with making a fragile side harder to break.
The market makes Lanús clear favourites: home win 1.72, draw 3.7, away win 5.9. That price gap reflects table position and squad value, but it also creates an interesting betting angle: when one team is expected to dominate the ball, matches can still stay tight if the underdog sits deep and the favourite lacks a natural finisher.
For this Lanus vs Newells Old Boys prediction, our model’s standout is Under 2.5 goals at 1.62, with confidence 4.7/10 (and 4.8/10 on the under/over call). The projected match texture supports that: Lanús at 62% possession, 12 shots (4 on target), Newell’s at 38% possession, 7 shots (just 1 on target). That’s control without fireworks—often a recipe for low total goals.
The scoreline forecast (0–1) is the spicy part, because it goes against the 1X2 betting odds that favour Lanús. Still, it matches the idea of a tense night: Lanús pushing, Newell’s surviving, and one moment—possibly on a rare transition—deciding it. If you’re playing this sensibly, the safer logic in this Lanus vs Newells Old Boys prediction is to trust the tempo: fewer chances, fewer clean looks, and a match that stays under the line.
Mark your calendars for Tuesday, March 17, 2.26 (22:00 GMT), because this Lanus vs Newells Old Boys prediction comes with that familiar Argentine feel: pressure, patience, and maybe not many goals. The Torneo Apertura meeting is set for Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (La Fortaleza), with Bruno Amiconi on the whistle and ESPN Premium carrying it in Argentina.
Lanús arrive with a steadier pulse. They sit 10th in Zona A and just picked up an important 1–0 away win at Estudiantes on March 13, decided late by teenager Dylan Aquino. That result mattered after a bruising 3–0 home loss to Boca Juniors, a game that reportedly drew blunt words from Mauricio Pellegrino. Still, the bigger mood music came in late February: Lanús lifting the 2.26 Recopa Sudamericana after beating Flamengo, then later even winning away at Flamengo on 2.26-02.27 in a wild 2–3 upset at enormous odds (12.0).
But Lanús have been forced to remodel their attack. Rodrigo Castillo, hero of that Recopa run with two goals against Flamengo, has been sold to Fluminense for $10m. Marcelino Moreno has been managing a foot injury (timed around mid-March), and Raúl Loaiza has had physical discomfort. So Pellegrino’s blueprint leans even more on structure: the experienced centre-back pairing of Izquierdoz and Canale, with veterans like Salvio and Carrera asked to provide the final pass while Aquino and other academy options supply energy.
Newell’s, meanwhile, come to Buenos Aires with their season already feeling heavy. They are last in Zona A (15th) and the annual table, with just 2 points from 8 matches. A 1–1 draw with Platense on March 10 stopped the immediate bleeding after a painful Clásico loss to Rosario Central, but the broader trend is stark: only one win in their last 17 matches overall. The club also changed course quickly, dismissing the Orsi–Gómez duo after six games and turning to Frank Darío Kudelka just before the derby—now he’s tasked with making a fragile side harder to break.
The market makes Lanús clear favourites: home win 1.72, draw 3.7, away win 5.9. That price gap reflects table position and squad value, but it also creates an interesting betting angle: when one team is expected to dominate the ball, matches can still stay tight if the underdog sits deep and the favourite lacks a natural finisher.
For this Lanus vs Newells Old Boys prediction, our model’s standout is Under 2.5 goals at 1.62, with confidence 4.7/10 (and 4.8/10 on the under/over call). The projected match texture supports that: Lanús at 62% possession, 12 shots (4 on target), Newell’s at 38% possession, 7 shots (just 1 on target). That’s control without fireworks—often a recipe for low total goals.
The scoreline forecast (0–1) is the spicy part, because it goes against the 1X2 betting odds that favour Lanús. Still, it matches the idea of a tense night: Lanús pushing, Newell’s surviving, and one moment—possibly on a rare transition—deciding it. If you’re playing this sensibly, the safer logic in this Lanus vs Newells Old Boys prediction is to trust the tempo: fewer chances, fewer clean looks, and a match that stays under the line.
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U2.5 -161
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -161X2 122
Newells to win or drawUnder 2.5 -161
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -154
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 147
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
|
4
-
3
-
9
|
|
Lanus |
17-Mar-26
5:0
| Newells ![]() |
Lanus |
31-Jan-24
0:2
| Newells ![]() |
Lanus |
21-May-23
1:0
| Newells ![]() |
Lanus |
20-Sep-21
1:2
| Newells ![]() |
Lanus |
13-Apr-21
1:3
| Newells ![]() |
Lanus |
14-Nov-20
2:4
| Newells ![]() |
Lanus |
16-Feb-20
1:1
| Newells ![]() |
Lanus |
24-Nov-15
2:1
| Newells ![]() |
Lanus |
25-Sep-17
1:0
| Newells ![]() |
| 28 Apr | W |
Lanus
| 1 |
LDU de Quito
| 0 |
| 24 Apr | D |
Lanus
| 0 |
Central C
| 0 |
| 21 Apr | L |
Gimnasia M.
| 1 |
Lanus
| 0 |
| 16 Apr | W |
Lanus
| 1 |
Always Ready
| 0 |
| 13 Apr | W |
Lanus
| 1 |
Banfield
| 0 |
| 08 Apr | L |
Mirassol
| 1 |
Lanus
| 0 |
| 02 Apr | D |
Lanus
| 0 |
Platense
| 0 |
| 27 Mar | L |
Argentino
| 2 |
Lanus
| 1 |
| 21 Mar | W |
Velez S
| 0 |
Lanus
| 1 |
| 17 Mar | W |
Lanus
| 5 |
Newells
| 0 |
| 26 Apr | D | Newells |
1 | Instituto C |
1 |
| 18 Apr | W | Union S |
2 | Newells |
3 |
| 12 Apr | D | Newells |
0 | San Lorenzo |
0 |
| 06 Apr | W | Central C |
1 | Newells |
3 |
| 30 Mar | L | Newells |
0 | Acassuso |
2 |
| 21 Mar | W | Newells |
1 | Gimnasia M. |
0 |
| 17 Mar | L | Lanus |
5 | Newells |
0 |
| 11 Mar | D | Newells |
1 | Platense |
1 |
| 01 Mar | L | Newells |
0 | Rosario C |
2 |
| 25 Feb | L | Newells |
0 | Estudiant |
2 |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Boca Juniors | 88 | 0-0 | 156 |
| 2 |
River Plate | 88 | 0-0 | 152 |
| 3 |
Velez | 88 | 0-0 | 143 |
| 4 |
Racing Club | 88 | 0-0 | 143 |
| 5 |
Argentinos JRS | 88 | 0-0 | 142 |
| 6 |
Rosario | 88 | 0-0 | 140 |
| 7 |
Estudiantes | 88 | 0-0 | 133 |
| 8 |
Lanus | 88 | 0-0 | 132 |
| 9 |
Talleres | 88 | 0-0 | 131 |
| 10 |
Independiente | 88 | 0-0 | 131 |
| 11 |
Huracan | 88 | 0-0 | 130 |
| 12 |
Independ. | 88 | 0-0 | 122 |
| 13 |
Barracas | 88 | 0-0 | 119 |
| 14 |
Union Santa Fe | 88 | 0-0 | 119 |
| 15 |
San Lorenzo | 88 | 0-0 | 118 |
| 16 |
Defensa Y | 88 | 0-0 | 115 |
| 17 |
Deportivo | 88 | 0-0 | 110 |
| 18 |
Belgrano | 88 | 0-0 | 109 |
| 19 |
Gimnasia L.P. | 88 | 0-0 | 109 |
| 20 |
Platense | 88 | 0-0 | 108 |
| 21 |
Tigre | 88 | 0-0 | 107 |
| 22 |
Instituto | 88 | 0-0 | 105 |
| 23 |
Central Cordoba de | 88 | 0-0 | 100 |
| 24 |
Newells Old | 88 | 0-0 | 96 |
| 25 |
Atletico | 88 | 0-0 | 95 |
| 26 |
Gimnasia M. | 15 | 0-0 | 16 |
| 27 |
Banfield | 88 | 0-0 | 91 |
| 28 |
Sarmiento | 88 | 0-0 | 89 |
| 29 |
Aldosivi | 47 | 0-0 | 40 |
| 30 |
Estudiantes de Rio | 15 | 0-0 | 5 |