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Finished

Lanus

€39.20m

17 Mar17:00
5 : 0

Newells

€28.23m

Preview

Lanus vs Newells Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Lanus vs Newells Old Boys prediction: a tight night at La Fortaleza

Mark your calendars for Tuesday, March 17, 2.26 (22:00 GMT), because this Lanus vs Newells Old Boys prediction comes with that familiar Argentine feel: pressure, patience, and maybe not many goals. The Torneo Apertura meeting is set for Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (La Fortaleza), with Bruno Amiconi on the whistle and ESPN Premium carrying it in Argentina.

Context, form, and the tactical story

Lanús arrive with a steadier pulse. They sit 10th in Zona A and just picked up an important 1–0 away win at Estudiantes on March 13, decided late by teenager Dylan Aquino. That result mattered after a bruising 3–0 home loss to Boca Juniors, a game that reportedly drew blunt words from Mauricio Pellegrino. Still, the bigger mood music came in late February: Lanús lifting the 2.26 Recopa Sudamericana after beating Flamengo, then later even winning away at Flamengo on 2.26-02.27 in a wild 2–3 upset at enormous odds (12.0).

But Lanús have been forced to remodel their attack. Rodrigo Castillo, hero of that Recopa run with two goals against Flamengo, has been sold to Fluminense for $10m. Marcelino Moreno has been managing a foot injury (timed around mid-March), and Raúl Loaiza has had physical discomfort. So Pellegrino’s blueprint leans even more on structure: the experienced centre-back pairing of Izquierdoz and Canale, with veterans like Salvio and Carrera asked to provide the final pass while Aquino and other academy options supply energy.

Newell’s, meanwhile, come to Buenos Aires with their season already feeling heavy. They are last in Zona A (15th) and the annual table, with just 2 points from 8 matches. A 1–1 draw with Platense on March 10 stopped the immediate bleeding after a painful Clásico loss to Rosario Central, but the broader trend is stark: only one win in their last 17 matches overall. The club also changed course quickly, dismissing the Orsi–Gómez duo after six games and turning to Frank Darío Kudelka just before the derby—now he’s tasked with making a fragile side harder to break.

Quick match facts to know

  • Venue: La Fortaleza, Buenos Aires
  • Referee: Bruno Amiconi
  • Squad value: Lanús €39.20m vs Newell’s €28.23m
  • Head to head: last meeting on 2.24-01-31 ended Lanús 0–2 Newell’s

Betting odds and what the numbers hint at

The market makes Lanús clear favourites: home win 1.72, draw 3.7, away win 5.9. That price gap reflects table position and squad value, but it also creates an interesting betting angle: when one team is expected to dominate the ball, matches can still stay tight if the underdog sits deep and the favourite lacks a natural finisher.

Our AI picks: total goals first, then the 1X2 lean

For this Lanus vs Newells Old Boys prediction, our model’s standout is Under 2.5 goals at 1.62, with confidence 4.7/10 (and 4.8/10 on the under/over call). The projected match texture supports that: Lanús at 62% possession, 12 shots (4 on target), Newell’s at 38% possession, 7 shots (just 1 on target). That’s control without fireworks—often a recipe for low total goals.

  • Main bet: Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.62)
  • 1X2 market call: X2 (odds 2.15, confidence 1.4/10)
  • Predicted HT: 0–0
  • Predicted FT: 0–1

The scoreline forecast (0–1) is the spicy part, because it goes against the 1X2 betting odds that favour Lanús. Still, it matches the idea of a tense night: Lanús pushing, Newell’s surviving, and one moment—possibly on a rare transition—deciding it. If you’re playing this sensibly, the safer logic in this Lanus vs Newells Old Boys prediction is to trust the tempo: fewer chances, fewer clean looks, and a match that stays under the line.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Lanus vs Newells

U2.5 -161

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -161
4/10

1x2 Tip

X2 122

Newells to win or draw
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -161

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -154

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 147

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

1.4
xG
0.58
62%
Ball Possession
38%
12
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Goal
1
5
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.21
Expected Goals
0.73
2.8
Total Goals
2.4
1.4
Goals Scored
0.6
1.4
Goals Against
1.8
45%
Possession
41%
10.6
Total Shots
10.2
4.1
Shots on Goal
3
4.6
Shots off Goal
5
13.8
Fouls
15
4.9
Corners
3.4
2.3
Offsides
2.3
2.3
Yellow Cards
2.7
389
Total Passes
242

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
0
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
3
3
Over 3.5 Goals
1
6
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Lanus
4 - 3 - 9
Newells Old Boys
Lanus Lanus 17-Mar-26
5:0
Newells Newells Old Boys
Lanus Lanus 31-Jan-24
0:2
Newells Newells Old Boys
Lanus Lanus 21-May-23
1:0
Newells Newells Old Boys
Lanus Lanus 20-Sep-21
1:2
Newells Newells Old Boys
Lanus Lanus 13-Apr-21
1:3
Newells Newells Old Boys
Lanus Lanus 14-Nov-20
2:4
Newells Newells Old Boys
Lanus Lanus 16-Feb-20
1:1
Newells Newells Old Boys
Lanus Lanus 24-Nov-15
2:1
Newells Newells Old Boys
Lanus Lanus 25-Sep-17
1:0
Newells Newells Old Boys

Profile time Recent Matches of Lanus

28 AprW Lanus Lanus 1 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 0
24 AprD Lanus Lanus 0 Central C Central C 0
21 AprL Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 1 Lanus Lanus 0
16 AprW Lanus Lanus 1 Always Ready Always Ready 0
13 AprW Lanus Lanus 1 Banfield Banfield 0
08 AprL Mirassol Mirassol 1 Lanus Lanus 0
02 AprD Lanus Lanus 0 Platense Platense 0
27 MarL Argentino Argentino 2 Lanus Lanus 1
21 MarW Velez S Velez S 0 Lanus Lanus 1
17 MarW Lanus Lanus 5 Newells Newells 0

Profile time Recent Matches Of Newells

26 AprDNewells Newells 1 Instituto C Instituto C 1
18 AprWUnion S Union S 2 Newells Newells 3
12 AprDNewells Newells 0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0
06 AprWCentral C Central C 1 Newells Newells 3
30 MarLNewells Newells 0 Acassuso Acassuso 2
21 MarWNewells Newells 1 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 0
17 MarLLanus Lanus 5 Newells Newells 0
11 MarDNewells Newells 1 Platense Platense 1
01 MarLNewells Newells 0 Rosario C Rosario C 2
25 FebLNewells Newells 0 Estudiant Estudiant 2

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team M G P
1 Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors880-0156
2 River PlateRiver Plate880-0152
3 Velez SarsfieldVelez880-0143
4 Racing ClubRacing Club880-0143
5 Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS880-0142
6 Rosario CentralRosario880-0140
7 Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes880-0133
8 LanusLanus880-0132
9 Talleres CordobaTalleres880-0131
10 IndependienteIndependiente880-0131
11 HuracanHuracan880-0130
12 Independ. RivadaviaIndepend.880-0122
13 Barracas CentralBarracas880-0119
14 Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe880-0119
15 San LorenzoSan Lorenzo880-0118
16 Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y880-0115
17 Deportivo RiestraDeportivo880-0110
18 Belgrano CordobaBelgrano880-0109
19 Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.880-0109
20 PlatensePlatense880-0108
21 TigreTigre880-0107
22 Instituto CordobaInstituto880-0105
23 Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de880-0100
24 Newells Old BoysNewells Old880-096
25 Atletico TucumanAtletico880-095
26 Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.150-016
27 BanfieldBanfield880-091
28 Sarmiento JuninSarmiento880-089
29 AldosiviAldosivi470-040
30 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio150-05
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