icon back

Match Prediction

Leganes vs Valladolid Prediction

Finished
Spain flag Spain
Segunda División

Leganes

€25.40m

11 Jan08:00
3 : 0

Valladolid

€26.90m

Preview

Leganes vs Valladolid Prediction Segunda División

Leganes vs Valladolid Prediction: Stats, Tips & Storylines for 2026

Mark your calendars for January 11, 2026, at 13:00 GMT, because the Leganes vs Valladolid prediction is one every sports betting fan will want to read. This Segunda División fixture at Estadio Municipal de Butarque brings together two sides with plenty of history, a dash of drama, and—if the stats are right—a real chance for some smart betting odds to pay off. Let’s dive into the story behind the numbers and see what makes this head to head so intriguing.

Team Form, Tactics, and What’s at Stake

Leganes, currently sitting 16th in the Segunda División, are hoping home advantage can help them turn a corner. The Madrid-based team has had a rough patch at home lately, losing five of their last nine matches in front of their own fans. Not exactly fortress Butarque, but football loves a comeback story, right?

Valladolid, meanwhile, are perched in 12th, just a few points ahead. Their recent form isn’t sparkling either—three defeats in their last six matches across all competitions suggest they’re still finding their feet under new management. Speaking of which, Luis Tevenet has just taken over as manager, bringing a fresh approach and, perhaps, a few surprises in tactics.

Let’s not forget the head to head numbers. In 19 previous meetings, Leganes have come out on top nine times, Valladolid five, with five draws. The last time these two met, Leganes cruised to a 3-0 win. But here’s a fun fact: half of their last six encounters have ended all square. If you’re a fan of sports betting, you know that kind of stat can make a draw look tempting in the betting odds.

  • Leganes market value: €25.40m
  • Valladolid market value: €26.90m
  • Leganes recent home form: 5 losses in last 9
  • Valladolid recent away win: 3.45 at Alaves (odds were 5.0!)

Injuries, Suspensions, and the Human Factor

Both squads are feeling the strain. Leganes are missing S. Figueredo and Rubén Pulido to injury, with others like Lalo Aguilar and Rubén Peña also struggling. D. Hamansenya is away on international duty. Valladolid aren’t much better off: Guillermo Bueno, Marcos André, and Amath Ndiaye are all sidelined, and Pablo Tomeo is suspended. It’s a test of squad depth and resilience—sometimes, that’s where games are won or lost.

On the touchline, Leganes are led by caretaker boss Igor Oca, while Valladolid’s new man Luis Tevenet is still settling in. And yes, if you’re wondering, that is former Jalisco governor Enrique Alfaro now helping out on the Valladolid bench. Football really does have room for everyone!

Leganes vs Valladolid Prediction: AI Tips, Stats, and Betting Odds

Now, let’s get to the heart of our Leganes vs Valladolid prediction—the numbers and tips that matter for sports betting fans. Our AI analysis points to a tight, low-scoring affair, and the betting odds reflect that.

  1. Most likely result: Leganes win (odds: 2.4, confidence: 1.9/5)
  2. Recommended bet: 1X (Leganes win or draw) at odds of 1.34 (trust level: 2.9/10)
  3. Under/Over: Under 2.5 goals is a strong pick (odds: 1.62, confidence: 2.4/5)
  4. Predicted final score: 1-0 to Leganes
  5. First half prediction: 0-0
  • Expected possession: Leganes 54%, Valladolid 46%
  • Total shots: Leganes 11, Valladolid 12
  • On-target shots: Leganes 4, Valladolid 3
  • Corners: 5 each (total 10)
  • Yellow cards: Leganes 2, Valladolid 4

The AI’s trust level isn’t sky-high, but the stats do back a tight home win or draw. With both teams struggling to find the net and recent meetings often low on goals, under 2.5 goals looks like a solid sports betting pick. If you’re feeling bold, a 1-0 correct score bet could be worth a small flutter.

Final Thoughts: Head to Head, Odds, and the Smart Play

So, to sum up this Leganes vs Valladolid prediction: expect a tactical battle, not a goal fest. Both teams are missing key players, both have managers with something to prove, and both are desperate for points. The head to head record suggests a close one, and the betting odds reflect that. Our advice? Play it safe with 1X or under 2.5 goals, and keep an eye on those yellow cards—this could get feisty!

Whether you’re a seasoned sports betting fan or just love the beautiful game, this is one Segunda División match that promises plenty of talking points—even if the scoreboard doesn’t light up. Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as a Leganes counterattack!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Leganes vs Valladolid

1X -294

Leganes to win or draw with odds of -294
2/10

1x2 Tip

1 140

Leganes is expected to win with odds of 140
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -182

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -128

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -208

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.46
xG
0.81
54%
Ball Possession
46%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
5
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
4

Average / Match

1.45
Expected Goals
1.01
2.7
Total Goals
2.2
1.1
Goals Scored
1
1.6
Goals Against
1.2
52%
Possession
50%
11.5
Total Shots
14.9
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.8
4.7
Shots off Goal
6.8
12.6
Fouls
17.6
5.5
Corners
6
1.8
Offsides
2.4
2.9
Yellow Cards
3.67
404
Total Passes
411

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
7
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
7
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Leganes
5 - 4 - 3
Valladolid
Leganes Leganes 24-May-25
3:0
Valladolid Valladolid
Leganes Leganes 10-Oct-24
3:1
Valladolid Valladolid
Valladolid Valladolid 28-Aug-24
0:0
Leganes Leganes
Leganes Leganes 03-Feb-24
0:0
Valladolid Valladolid
Valladolid Valladolid 17-Nov-23
1:1
Leganes Leganes
Valladolid Valladolid 22-Jul-23
1:4
Leganes Leganes
Valladolid Valladolid 02-Jan-22
1:0
Leganes Leganes
Leganes Leganes 17-Oct-21
0:2
Valladolid Valladolid
Leganes Leganes 13-Jun-20
1:2
Valladolid Valladolid

Profile time Recent Matches of Leganes

16 Jan Castellon Castellon.
-
Leganes. Leganes
11 JanW Leganes Leganes.
3:0
Valladolid. Valladolid
04 JanW Albacete Albacete.
1:3
Leganes. Leganes
20 DecL Leganes Leganes.
0:1
Gijon. Gijon
13 DecD Racing S Racing S.
1:1
Leganes. Leganes
07 DecD Leganes Leganes.
0:0
Cordoba. Cordoba
04 DecL Leganes Leganes.
1:2
Albacete. Albacete
30 NovL Zaragoza Zaragoza.
3:2
Leganes. Leganes
22 NovL Leganes Leganes.
0:3
Almeria. Almeria
16 NovW Ceuta Ceuta.
1:2
Leganes. Leganes

Profile time Recent Matches of Valladolid

17 JanCeuta Ceuta.
-
Valladolid.Valladolid
11 JanLLeganes Leganes.
3:0
Valladolid.Valladolid
03 JanDValladolid Valladolid.
1:1
Racing S.Racing S
19 DecLEibar Eibar.
3:0
Valladolid.Valladolid
13 DecLValladolid Valladolid.
0:1
Andorra.Andorra
06 DecWHuesca Huesca.
1:4
Valladolid.Valladolid
29 NovDValladolid Valladolid.
1:1
Malaga.Malaga
24 NovLReal II Real II.
1:0
Valladolid.Valladolid
14 NovLValladolid Valladolid.
0:1
Las Palmas.Las Palmas
09 NovDCadiz CF Cadiz CF.
0:0
Valladolid.Valladolid

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing Santand21
45-31
38
2 Las Palmas Las Palmas21
26-13
38
3 Almeria Almeria21
40-30
36
4 Castellón Castellón21
34-25
35
5 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La C21
35-24
34
6 Cadiz Cadiz21
25-23
34
7 Malaga Malaga21
31-26
32
8 Burgos Burgos21
25-20
32
9 Cordoba Cordoba21
27-24
32
10 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC21
25-26
32
11 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon21
26-29
30
12 Leganes Leganes21
23-21
26
13 Valladolid Valladolid21
21-23
25
14 FC Andorra FC Andorra21
23-29
25
15 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leone21
22-30
25
16 Eibar Eibar21
23-26
24
17 Albacete Albacete21
26-34
24
18 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad 21
28-30
23
19 Huesca Huesca21
20-30
23
20 Granada CF Granada CF21
23-27
22
21 Zaragoza Zaragoza21
20-34
20
22 Mirandes Mirandes21
22-35
17
Video preview
You might also like:
Predictions - Liverpool vs Burnley Predictions - Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Predictions - Tottenham vs West Ham Predictions - Mallorca vs Ath Bilbao Predictions - AC Milan vs Lecce
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches