Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Preview
The Championship calendar brings us an intriguing fixture on January 24, 2026, as Leicester City host Oxford United at the King Power Stadium. If you’re searching for a detailed Leicester vs Oxford Utd prediction, you’re in the right place. With both sides eager to climb the table and plenty of talking points on and off the pitch, this match promises more than just three points—it’s a test of tactics, resilience, and, for punters, a fascinating case for sports betting analysis.
Leicester City, currently 13th in the Championship with 37 points from 27 games, have endured a season of ups and downs. Their recent results have been a mixed bag, but they showed real grit in their last away outing, snatching a 2-2 draw against Nottingham Forest despite being clear underdogs in the betting odds. Under the guidance of Martí Cifuentes, who took the reins in July 2025, Leicester have focused on building consistency and increasing their goal output. Cifuentes is known for encouraging healthy competition within his squad, and he’s not shy about demanding more from his players.
Oxford United, meanwhile, find themselves in a more precarious position—23rd in the table with 23 points from 26 matches. Their form has been patchy, with more losses and draws than wins, but they did spring a surprise with a 2-1 victory over Ipswich in November, defying the pre-match odds. The club recently appointed Matt Bloomfield as head coach, hoping his emphasis on organization, discipline, and purposeful play can spark a turnaround. Bloomfield’s early focus has been on tightening up defensively while giving his attacking players the freedom to express themselves.
Both teams have had to navigate injury troubles. Leicester are missing key names like Aaron Ramsey, Harry Souttar, Victor Kristiansen, and Boubakary Soumaré, while Patson Daka is away on international duty. Silko Thomas and Abdul Fatawu have stepped up, with Thomas leading in shots on target and Fatawu creating the most big chances. Oxford are also depleted, with Hidde ter Avest, Jamie Donley, Nik Prelec, Przemyslaw Placheta, and Tyler Goodrham all sidelined. However, new signing Yunus Konak could provide a timely boost, and Brian De Keersmaecker’s creativity remains vital.
This is the second head to head meeting between Leicester and Oxford in the Championship this season, with their previous encounter ending in a lively 2-2 draw. Matches between these two have often been entertaining, and both managers have spoken about the need for balance—Leicester seeking to turn possession into goals, and Oxford aiming to create more clear-cut chances after a series of goalless draws.
Expect Leicester to dominate the ball, with a predicted 57% possession, while Oxford will look to be compact and strike on the break. Both sides are expected to register 11 shots each, but Leicester’s higher squad value (€145.40m to Oxford’s €40.53m) and home advantage could prove decisive.
Let’s turn to the numbers and our trusted NerdyTips AI for a Leicester vs Oxford Utd prediction that’s rooted in data and betting odds. The market currently favors a home win, with Leicester priced at 1.9, a draw at 3.45, and an Oxford win at 4.5. Our AI model leans towards a Leicester victory in the 1x2 market, assigning it a trust level of 5.1 out of 10—solid, but not overwhelming, reflecting the Foxes’ recent inconsistency and Oxford’s ability to spring a surprise.
Where the AI shows real confidence is in the under 3.45 goals market, with a trust level of 8.0 out of 10 and odds of 1.26. The prediction here is that this will be a competitive but relatively tight affair, with both teams expected to create chances but not run riot. The projected final score is 2-1 to Leicester, with a 1-1 scoreline at halftime. This aligns with the expected stats: a balanced shot count (11 each), but slightly more on-target efforts for the home side (3 vs 2).
For those interested in sports betting, the AI’s recommendations are clear: while Leicester are favorites, the real value may lie in the under 3.45 goals market. The head to head history suggests goals, but both managers’ tactical approaches and recent injury lists point towards a more measured contest this time around.
As the teams prepare to face off, the Leicester vs Oxford Utd prediction is shaped by form, injuries, and tactical tweaks. Leicester’s higher squad value and home advantage give them the edge, but Oxford’s recent managerial change and fighting spirit mean they shouldn’t be underestimated. For punters, the betting odds and AI tips suggest a close game, with Leicester likely edging it but goals at a premium. Whether you’re a fan, a bettor, or just a lover of Championship football, this is one to watch—and perhaps, one to wager on with a careful eye on the stats.
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Leicester didn't play better in the last H2H match!
U3.5 -385
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3851 -111
Leicester is expected to win with odds of -111Under 3.5 -385
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes 100
Both teams are expected to score1X&U4.5 -263
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:1
2:1
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0
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1
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0
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 Oxford Utd |
13-Sep-25
2:2
| Leicester  |
Recent Matches of Leicester| 31 Jan |
Leicester.
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-
| Charlton.
| |
| 24 Jan | L |
Leicester.
|
1:2
| Oxford Utd.
|
| 20 Jan | D |
Wrexham.
|
1:1
| Leicester.
|
| 17 Jan | L |
Coventry.
|
2:1
| Leicester.
|
| 10 Jan | W |
Cheltenham.
|
0:2
| Leicester.
|
| 05 Jan | W |
Leicester.
|
2:1
| West Brom.
|
| 01 Jan | L |
Sheffield Ut.
|
3:1
| Leicester.
|
| 29 Dec | W |
Leicester.
|
2:1
| Derby.
|
| 26 Dec | L |
Leicester.
|
1:2
| Watford.
|
| 20 Dec | L |
QPR.
|
4:1
| Leicester.
|
Recent Matches of Oxford Utd
| 24 Jan | W | Leicester. |
1:2 |
Oxford Utd. |
| 20 Jan | D | Oxford Utd. |
0:0 |
QPR. |
| 17 Jan | D | Oxford Utd. |
0:0 |
Bristol City. |
| 09 Jan | D |  MK Dons. |
1:1 |
Oxford Utd. |
| 01 Jan | L |  Ipswich. |
2:1 |
Oxford Utd. |
| 29 Dec | L | Oxford Utd. |
0:1 |
Swansea. |
| 26 Dec | W | Oxford Utd. |
2:1 |
Southampton. |
| 20 Dec | L |  Charlton. |
1:0 |
Oxford Utd. |
| 13 Dec | L | Oxford Utd. |
1:2 |
Preston. |
| 09 Dec | D |  Blackburn. |
1:1 |
Oxford Utd. |
England - Championship| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry | 29 | 62-33 | 58 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough | 29 | 46-29 | 55 |
| 3 |
Ipswich | 28 | 48-27 | 50 |
| 4 |
Hull City | 28 | 47-40 | 50 |
| 5 |
Millwall | 29 | 36-35 | 49 |
| 6 |
Wrexham | 29 | 43-37 | 44 |
| 7 |
Bristol City | 29 | 40-31 | 43 |
| 8 |
Watford | 28 | 39-33 | 43 |
| 9 |
Preston | 29 | 36-33 | 43 |
| 10 |
Stoke City | 29 | 34-26 | 42 |
| 11 |
Derby | 29 | 39-37 | 42 |
| 12 |
QPR | 29 | 40-42 | 40 |
| 13 |
Birmingham | 29 | 39-38 | 39 |
| 14 |
Leicester | 29 | 40-43 | 38 |
| 15 |
Southampton | 29 | 41-41 | 37 |
| 16 |
Swansea | 29 | 32-37 | 36 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd | 28 | 39-41 | 35 |
| 18 |
Norwich | 29 | 37-41 | 33 |
| 19 |
Charlton | 28 | 27-38 | 32 |
| 20 |
West Brom | 29 | 32-44 | 32 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth | 27 | 24-37 | 30 |
| 22 |
Blackburn | 28 | 26-37 | 29 |
| 23 |
Oxford United | 28 | 27-36 | 27 |
| 24 |
Sheffield | 28 | 18-56 | -7 |
