Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Uruguay
Liverpool
€11.98m
Cerro Largo
€7.18m
Preview
The stage is set for an intriguing Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo prediction as the two sides prepare to face off at Estadio Belvedere on June 7, 2025. Fresh off a narrow 1-0 victory in their last head to head meeting on May 18, Liverpool will aim to assert their home dominance. But Cerro Largo, the giant-killers who stunned Defensa Y Justicia at 9.0 odds, arrive with a point to prove—can they defy the numbers once again?
Liverpool Montevideo’s season has been a mix of resilience and flashes of brilliance. Their 3-0 demolition of Peñarol—a result priced at 5.4 odds—showcased their ability to punch above their weight. Yet, consistency has been elusive. At home, the stats tilt in their favor:
Cerro Largo, meanwhile, thrives in chaos. Their 2-1 win against Defensa Y Justicia as 9.0 underdogs was no fluke—it was a masterclass in defensive discipline and counter-attacking precision. Yet, their away record remains patchy, making this a true test of their giant-slaying credentials.
The betting tips for this match lean heavily toward a low-scoring game, and for good reason. The league’s trends paint a clear picture:
Expect a chess match early on, with both teams prioritizing structure over risk. Our predicted 0-0 halftime scoreline hints at a patient buildup, with Liverpool’s defensive solidity (they’ve conceded just 0.8 goals per home game) clashing against Cerro’s compact shape.
Liverpool’s midfield control vs Cerro’s rapid transitions will decide the tempo. If Cerro can replicate their Defensa Y Justicia heroics—absorbing pressure and striking on the break—they could silence the Belvedere. But Liverpool’s home advantage (1.77 odds) and higher squad value suggest they’ll dominate possession.
For stat-savvy punters, the numbers reveal smart plays:
Cerro’s underdog spirit makes them tempting at 4.75 odds, but the data suggests Liverpool’s home edge might prevail—just don’t expect a goal fest.
The Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo prediction boils down to a clash of narratives. Liverpool, with their financial muscle and home comfort, are favorites—but Cerro’s recent giant-killing act is a reminder that football isn’t played on spreadsheets. Will the hosts’ 1.77 odds justify the hype, or will Cerro’s 9.0-odds magic strike again? One thing’s certain: with unders heavily favored, don’t blink—you might miss the decisive moment.
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U3.5 -345
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3451-130
Liverpool is expected to win with odds of -130Under 3.5 -345
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -118
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -303
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
|
|
14
-
4
-
5
|
|
 Liverpool |
18-May-25
1:0
| Cerro Largo  |
| Cerro Largo |
13-Nov-24
0:0
| Liverpool |
| Cerro Largo |
06-Jul-24
1:0
| Liverpool |
| Liverpool |
12-May-24
2:1
| Cerro Largo |
| Liverpool |
10-Nov-23
3:0
| Cerro Largo |
| Cerro Largo |
16-Jun-23
1:3
| Liverpool |
| Cerro Largo |
31-Mar-23
1:0
| Liverpool |
| Liverpool |
16-Oct-22
1:0
| Cerro Largo |
| Cerro Largo |
28-May-22
1:2
| Liverpool |
| Cerro Largo |
25-Sep-21
3:0
| Liverpool |
Recent Matches of Liverpool| 16 Nov |
Liverpool M..
|
-
| Penarol.
| |
| 07 Nov | L |
Cerro Largo.
|
2:0
| Liverpool M..
|
Recent Matches of Cerro Largo
| 07 Nov | W | Cerro Largo. |
2:0 |
Liverpool M.. |
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Penarol | 7 | 15-5 | 16 |
| 2 |
Defensor Sport | 7 | 12-10 | 14 |
| 3 |
Wanderers | 7 | 6-5 | 12 |
| 4 |
Plaza Colonia | 7 | 6-7 | 8 |
| 5 |
Liverpool Mont | 7 | 10-12 | 8 |
| 6 |
Cerro | 7 | 7-9 | 8 |
| 7 |
CA River Plate | 6 | 4-8 | 4 |
| 8 |
Cerro Largo | 6 | 5-9 | 2 |
