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Match Prediction

Millwall vs Charlton Prediction

Finished

Millwall

€54.62m

24 Jan07:30
4 : 0

Charlton

€31.10m

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Millwall vs Charlton Prediction Championship

Millwall vs Charlton Prediction: Derby Day Betting Tips and Insights

The Millwall vs Charlton prediction is on every London football fan’s lips as these two rivals prepare to meet at The Den on January 24, 2026. With both teams hungry for points and local bragging rights, this Championship derby promises drama, intensity, and, if history is anything to go by, a few heart-stopping moments. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just looking for some reliable betting tips, let’s break down what you need to know before you place your bets.

Team Form, Tactics, and Head to Head History

Millwall, under the experienced Alex Neil, have quietly built a reputation as one of the Championship’s most consistent sides this season. Sitting fourth in the table with 46 points from 27 matches, the Lions have made The Den a fortress, notching up eight wins and only four losses at home. Their recent form is solid too—three wins, a draw, and just one defeat in their last five outings. Neil’s approach is all about defensive discipline and quick transitions, using the physicality of his forwards to unsettle opponents.

Charlton, on the other hand, have had a bumpier ride. Nathan Jones’ side are 18th in the standings with 32 points, and their away record leaves much to be desired: just two wins from 14 games on the road. Their last outing—a 2-1 home defeat to Derby—ended a brief unbeaten run and highlighted their struggles to turn promise into points. Jones is known for his attacking philosophy, but implementing it at Charlton has been a challenge, especially with a long injury list and a squad still adjusting to life back in the Championship.

When it comes to head to head meetings, Millwall have had the upper hand for nearly three decades. Charlton haven’t beaten Millwall since 1996, and their last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw. For Charlton fans, that’s a stat that stings; for Millwall, it’s a source of confidence.

Squad News and Injury Updates

  • Millwall: The Lions are missing key midfielders Massimo Luongo, D. Kelly, and W. Smallbone, plus goalkeeper Lukas Jensen and defender Danny McNamara. However, there’s good news as Macaulay Langstaff, Zak Lovelace, and several others have returned to training, giving Neil more options.
  • Charlton: The Addicks are also nursing a long list of injuries, including Amari’i Bell, H. Knibbs, J. Edwards, and Onel Hernández. Defensive depth is a concern, with Harry Clarke, Reece Burke, and Kayne Ramsay all sidelined. Manager Nathan Jones will need to get creative with his lineup.

Both managers are eyeing reinforcements in the January transfer window, but for now, they’ll have to make do with what they have.

Millwall vs Charlton Prediction: Betting Tips and AI Insights

Now, let’s get to the part every punter wants to know: what do the stats and our AI say about the Millwall vs Charlton prediction? Here’s a quick breakdown of the key numbers and betting tips:

  1. 1x2 Market: Millwall are clear favorites at odds of 1.78 for a home win, with a trust rating of 4.5.30. A draw is priced at 3.75, while a Charlton upset is a long shot at 5.3.
  2. Over/Under Goals: The AI’s most profitable bet is over 1.5 goals (odds 1.37, trust rating 4.6/10). With both teams expected to push for goals and the derby atmosphere likely to spark chances, this looks like a solid pick.
  3. Predicted Score: The AI expects a 2:1 win for Millwall, with a 1:0 lead at half-time. That lines up with the Lions’ strong home form and Charlton’s defensive issues on the road.
  • Possession: Millwall 59%, Charlton 41%
  • Total Shots: Millwall 15, Charlton 9
  • Shots on Target: Millwall 5, Charlton 2
  • Corners: Millwall 7, Charlton 5
  • Yellow Cards: Millwall 1, Charlton 3

The numbers tell a clear story: Millwall’s dominance in possession and chances created should translate into goals, especially with Charlton’s depleted defense. The AI’s confidence isn’t sky-high, but the trends are hard to ignore.

Final Thoughts and Best Bets

To sum up this Millwall vs Charlton prediction: Millwall’s home strength, superior squad value (€54.62m vs €31.10m), and historical dominance make them the smart pick for the 1x2 market. Over 1.5 goals is a safe bet for those who prefer a little less risk, given both teams’ recent scoring patterns and the derby’s tendency to produce drama.

If you’re looking for a cheeky punt, a 2:1 correct score bet could offer value, especially with both sides likely to throw caution to the wind. Just remember: in derby matches, anything can happen—so bet responsibly, and maybe keep a stress ball handy!

For more head to head stats, betting tips, and the latest Millwall vs Charlton prediction updates, keep an eye on nerdytips.com. Enjoy the football, and may your bets be as lucky as a last-minute winner at The Den!

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AI Predictions
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Derby match

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Millwall vs Charlton

O1.5 -270

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -270
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -128

Millwall is expected to win with odds of -128
4/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -270

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 102

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -167

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.26
xG
0.89
59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
3
7
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

0.97
Expected Goals
0.88
2.5
Total Goals
2.6
1
Goals Scored
1
1.5
Goals Against
1.6
45%
Possession
43%
11.9
Total Shots
10.5
4.6
Shots on Goal
2.9
4.2
Shots off Goal
4
13.6
Fouls
13.8
5.6
Corners
6.3
2.8
Offsides
2
2.29
Yellow Cards
3
321
Total Passes
326

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Millwall
6 - 6 - 0
Charlton
Charlton Charlton 13-Sep-25
1:1
Millwall Millwall
Millwall Millwall 25-Jul-23
2:2
Charlton Charlton
Charlton Charlton 03-Jul-20
0:1
Millwall Millwall
Millwall Millwall 09-Nov-19
2:1
Charlton Charlton
Charlton Charlton 14-Jan-17
0:0
Millwall Millwall
Millwall Millwall 21-Dec-16
3:1
Charlton Charlton
Millwall Millwall 03-Apr-15
2:1
Charlton Charlton
Charlton Charlton 22-Nov-14
0:0
Millwall Millwall
Millwall Millwall 15-Mar-14
0:0
Charlton Charlton

Profile time Recent Matches of Millwall

31 Jan Millwall Millwall.
-
Sheffield Ut. Sheffield Utd
24 JanW Millwall Millwall.
4:0
Charlton. Charlton
20 JanL Coventry Coventry.
2:1
Millwall. Millwall
17 JanW Watford Watford.
0:2
Millwall. Millwall
10 JanL Burnley Burnley.
5:1
Millwall. Millwall
04 JanW Millwall Millwall.
2:1
Swansea. Swansea
01 JanD Southampton Southampton.
0:0
Millwall. Millwall
29 DecW Millwall Millwall.
2:1
Bristol City. Bristol City
26 DecD Millwall Millwall.
0:0
Ipswich. Ipswich
20 DecL Blackburn Blackburn.
2:0
Millwall. Millwall

Profile time Recent Matches of Charlton

31 JanLeicester Leicester.
-
Charlton.Charlton
24 JanLMillwall Millwall.
4:0
Charlton.Charlton
20 JanLCharlton Charlton.
1:2
Derby.Derby
17 JanWCharlton Charlton.
1:0
Sheffield Ut.Sheffield Utd
10 JanLCharlton Charlton.
1:5
Chelsea.Chelsea
04 JanDBlackburn Blackburn.
2:2
Charlton.Charlton
01 JanDCharlton Charlton.
1:1
Coventry.Coventry
29 DecLPortsmouth Portsmouth.
2:1
Charlton.Charlton
26 DecLNorwich Norwich.
1:0
Charlton.Charlton
20 DecWCharlton Charlton.
1:0
Oxford Utd.Oxford Utd

England - Championship England - Championship

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Coventry Coventry29
62-33
58
2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough29
46-29
55
3 Ipswich Ipswich28
48-27
50
4 Hull City Hull City28
47-40
50
5 Millwall Millwall29
36-35
49
6 Wrexham Wrexham29
43-37
44
7 Bristol City Bristol City29
40-31
43
8 Watford Watford28
39-33
43
9 Preston Preston29
36-33
43
10 Stoke City Stoke City29
34-26
42
11 Derby Derby29
39-37
42
12 QPR QPR29
40-42
40
13 Birmingham Birmingham29
39-38
39
14 Leicester Leicester29
40-43
38
15 Southampton Southampton29
41-41
37
16 Swansea Swansea29
32-37
36
17 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd28
39-41
35
18 Norwich Norwich29
37-41
33
19 Charlton Charlton28
27-38
32
20 West Brom West Brom29
32-44
32
21 Portsmouth Portsmouth27
24-37
30
22 Blackburn Blackburn28
26-37
29
23 Oxford United Oxford United28
27-36
27
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield28
18-56
-7
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