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NAC Breda

€15.70m

21 Feb14:00
1 : 0

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NAC Breda vs FC Volendam Prediction Eredivisie

NAC Breda vs FC Volendam prediction for Saturday survival

The NAC Breda vs FC Volendam prediction for 21 February 2026 (19:00 GMT) comes with real pressure attached. With the Eredivisie moving into the final third, this looks and feels like a relegation six-pointer at Rat Verlegh Stadion, where NAC sit around 16th and Volendam hover just above the danger line in 14th/15th. Nobody will frame it as “must-win” out loud… but everyone will think it, including the fans who will count every tackle like it’s a goal.

Team context, form, and what to expect tactically

NAC, “The Pearl of the South”, are in a rough patch: five league games without a win, and their home numbers have been a headache (a high loss rate at Rat Verlegh this season). The recent 0-2 defeat to Excelsior only added to the noise around Carl Hoefkens, whose team have looked fragile at the back in Breda. NAC’s plan is usually direct and wide: get the ball into the channels, cross early, and hope the box fills up on time. The issue is not effort, it’s end product — they have struggled to turn pressure into goals, despite showing spirit in that eye-catching 2-2 away draw at PSV on 24 January (at huge 8.25 odds).

Volendam, “The Other Oranje”, arrive with something NAC badly want: momentum. They shocked PSV 2-1 on 13 February (priced at 11.0 to win), and backed it up with a 2-1 away win at PEC Zwolle. Rick Kruys has found a more resilient structure, often resembling a 4.05-4.05 or flexible 4-3-3, with quick transitions and a focus on punishing mistakes. Volendam’s overall away record is still worrying (they’ve lost most of their road trips), but the recent pattern suggests they’ve discovered a way to frustrate teams and then hit at the right moment.

Player news that shapes this match

  • NAC absences: Boy Kemper (hamstring) and Fredrik Oldrup Jensen (knee) remain out; Rio Hillen is suspended after a red card.
  • Volendam concerns: top scorer Henk Veerman is a major doubt; Gibson Yah and Joel Ideho are out; Yannick Leliendal is also reported sidelined.
  • Key men: Raul Paula is NAC’s most regular threat for shots on target, while Juho Talvitie supplies the “big chance” passes. For Volendam, Robin van Cruijsen is the form man (4 goals, 3 assists) and Brandley Kuwas brings wing danger, though he’s one yellow away from a suspension.

The head to head angle adds spice. Volendam are unbeaten in the last five competitive meetings (3 wins, 2 draws), and they took the reverse fixture 2-1 in November 2025. Still, NAC fans will remember the last listed H2H on 2025-07-26 ended 6-1 to NAC — proof this pairing can swing wildly when one side loses its shape.

Best bets, betting odds, and AI match prediction

From a sports betting view, the 1X2 betting odds lean strongly to NAC: Home win 1.65, Draw 4.05, Away win 5.4. That’s the market saying “Breda should handle this”… even if recent form says “maybe keep your seatbelt on.” With both squads valued almost identically (€15.40m vs €15.68m), this is not a mismatch on paper, it’s a nerve test.

  • Best tip: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.46 (trust rating 2.3/10)
  • 1X2 pick: 1X @ 1.18 (trust 2.0/10)
  • Correct score lean: 1-1, with 0-0 at half-time

Our model expects NAC to have more control (59% possession) and more overall efforts (17 shots to 11), but not a huge gap in shots on target (5 to 3). That points to a familiar story: NAC circulating the ball, Volendam waiting for transitions, and both goalkeepers being busy in short bursts rather than constantly. Corners are projected at 7-3 to NAC (10 total), which fits the “wide play and crosses” theme, while the yellow cards forecast (1-1) suggests a tense game without turning into a wrestling show.

So, the NAC Breda vs FC Volendam prediction for bettors is to respect the stakes: it may feel big, but it might not play big. Under 3.5 goals looks sensible if NAC’s finishing stays shaky and Volendam stay compact, and 1X covers the home side avoiding defeat. Just don’t expect a calm ending — relegation games rarely read the script, they scribble in the margins.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for NAC Breda vs FC Volendam

U3.5 -217

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -217
2/10

1x2 Tip

1X -526

NAC Breda to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -217

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -135

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U5.5 -333

Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

1.38
xG
1.18
59%
Ball Possession
41%
17
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
3
7
Shots Off Goal
3
7
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.17
Expected Goals
1.32
2.3
Total Goals
2.1
0.9
Goals Scored
1.1
1.4
Goals Against
1
51%
Possession
48%
14.9
Total Shots
13.6
4.7
Shots on Goal
4.6
6.8
Shots off Goal
4.5
10
Fouls
10.2
6.1
Corners
4.2
1.6
Offsides
2.1
1.8
Yellow Cards
1.89
425
Total Passes
414

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
5
5
Over 1.5 Goals
7
3
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
0
4
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
3
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

NAC Breda
5 - 2 - 6
FC Volendam
NAC Breda NAC Breda 26-Jul-25
6:1
FC Volendam FC Volendam
NAC Breda NAC Breda 21-Feb-26
1:0
FC Volendam FC Volendam
NAC Breda NAC Breda 15-Jul-22
0:0
FC Volendam FC Volendam
NAC Breda NAC Breda 14-Jan-22
0:0
FC Volendam FC Volendam
NAC Breda NAC Breda 15-May-21
4:1
FC Volendam FC Volendam
NAC Breda NAC Breda 18-Dec-20
3:0
FC Volendam FC Volendam
NAC Breda NAC Breda 24-Feb-17
1:0
FC Volendam FC Volendam
FC Volendam FC Volendam 08-Nov-25
2:1
NAC Breda NAC Breda

Profile time Recent Matches of NAC Breda

12 AprD Fortuna S Fortuna S 1 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1
05 AprD NAC Breda NAC Breda 0 S. Rotterdam S. Rotterdam 0
21 MarL Zwolle Zwolle 2 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1
15 MarL G.A. Eagles G.A. Eagles 6 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0
08 MarD NAC Breda NAC Breda 3 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3
27 FebL Telstar Telstar 3 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0
21 FebW NAC Breda NAC Breda 1 FC Volendam FC Volendam 0
14 FebW Heracles Heracles 0 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1
06 FebL NAC Breda NAC Breda 0 Excelsior Excelsior 2
30 JanD NAC Breda NAC Breda 2 Twente Twente 2

Profile time Recent Matches Of FC Volendam

10 AprLTwente Twente 2 FC Volendam FC Volendam 1
05 AprDFC Volendam FC Volendam 0 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0
21 MarLS. Rotterdam S. Rotterdam 2 FC Volendam FC Volendam 0
14 MarLFC Volendam FC Volendam 1 Sittard Sittard 2
08 MarLNijmegen Nijmegen 3 FC Volendam FC Volendam 0
01 MarWFC Volendam FC Volendam 3 Groningen Groningen 2
21 FebLNAC Breda NAC Breda 1 FC Volendam FC Volendam 0
13 FebWFC Volendam FC Volendam 2 PSV PSV 1
07 FebWZwolle Zwolle 1 FC Volendam FC Volendam 2
04 FebLNijmegen Nijmegen 1 FC Volendam FC Volendam 0

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team M G P
1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3084-4074
2 FeyenoordFeyenoord3062-4155
3 NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3072-4854
4 TwenteTwente3051-3253
5 AjaxAjax3057-3751
6 AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3052-4548
7 UtrechtUtrecht3049-3644
8 HeerenveenHeerenveen3053-5044
9 GroningenGroningen3042-3742
10 Sparta RotterdamSparta3136-5342
11 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead3050-4536
12 Fortuna SittardFortuna3044-5536
13 PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3040-6034
14 TelstarTelstar3143-5330
15 FC VolendamFC Volendam3031-5028
16 ExcelsiorExcelsior3031-5128
17 NAC BredaNAC Breda3030-5125
18 HeraclesHeracles3034-7719
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