Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Argentina
Preview
Football fans can look forward to Newell’s hosting Estudiantes on 2026-02-25 at 22:30 GMT, and this Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction lands in a moment where one side feels like it’s changing the tyres mid-race while the other is just quietly cruising. For anyone following Argentine football, the contrast is hard to miss: Newell’s arrive with an emergency feel around the bench, while Estudiantes travel with the steady rhythm of a team that knows exactly what it wants.
Newell’s are dealing with a real leadership vacuum. The club dismissed the coaching duo Favio Orsi and Sergio Gómez on February 21 after a heavy 3.0 loss to Banfield, which means this match will likely be handled by interim staff. And with the Rosario Derby coming up on March 1, the pressure at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa won’t be subtle. If the crowd had a “patience meter,” it would already be flashing red.
That situation pushes Newell’s toward a simpler plan: defend first, keep shape, and try to stop the early wobble. Their slow starts have been a theme too, with the team failing to lead at half-time in 22 of their last 23 league games. That trend matters because Estudiantes are the kind of opponent who will happily let you run into your own frustration, then win 1–0 while barely breaking a sweat.
Estudiantes, still under Eduardo Domínguez, look like the opposite of chaos. They are the defending 2025 Torneo Clausura champions and have carried that stability into 2026, arriving unbeaten and fresh off a 1–0 win over Sarmiento on February 20. Their “low-risk” approach often shows in the structure: a disciplined 4-3-3 or 4-4-2, patient build-up, and a strong focus on clean sheets.
Newell’s injury list isn’t doing them favours, with absences including M. Cóccaro (calf), I. Glavinovich (groin), and B. Cabrera (muscle), plus Oscar Salomón struggling with a strain. They also added 12 reinforcements in the summer, but without a settled system, new faces can look more like strangers than solutions.
Estudiantes get a major lift from Fernando Muslera’s return; the veteran keeper played 90 minutes on February 20 after an Achilles issue. They still miss Santiago Arzamendia (ACL) and Gabriel Neves (hamstring), while Guido Carrillo and Lucas Alario have had minor muscle concerns, but the squad rotation remains one of their strengths.
The last head to head meeting on 2025-09-30 ended 1–1, which fits the recent pattern of tight games between these sides. Newell’s also showed they can spring surprises away from home, like the 0–2 win at Huracán on 2025-11-08 at big betting odds (5.5). Estudiantes have their own statement away result too: the 0–2 win at River Plate on 2025-03.01, priced at 5.15. So yes, both can travel, but right now Estudiantes look far more predictable—in the good way.
The 1x2 betting odds are set at 3.75 for a Newell’s win, 3.0 for the draw, and 2.35 for an Estudiantes win. The market is basically saying: “away side slightly favoured, but not a walk.” The squad values support that lean too—Newell’s at €23.753m versus Estudiantes at €41.08m—one more hint of who has the deeper tools.
This is where the numbers and the story shake hands. Possession is projected at 46% for Newell’s and 54% for Estudiantes, with total shots close (10 vs 11) but a slight edge in shots on target (3 vs 4) for the visitors. That’s the profile of a team that doesn’t need fireworks—just cleaner chances.
With corners predicted at 3–4 (7 total) and yellow cards expected at 2–2, the model points to a controlled match rather than a wide-open one. Add Newell’s likely “back-to-basics” approach and Estudiantes’ love for the 1–0 script, and the under looks logical for sports betting.
For this Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction, the safest angle is X2, because Estudiantes arrive stable, organised, and comfortable in tight away games. If you want the bolder route, the straight away win at 2.35 lines up with the projected 0–1—just don’t expect it to be pretty. Then again, in Argentina, “pretty” is often reserved for the post-match excuses.
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X2 -345
Estudiant to win or draw with odds of -3452 135
Estudiant is expected to win with odds of 135Under 2.5 -244
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -182
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -167
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:0
0:1
|
|
4
-
4
-
6
|
|
 Newells |
30-Sep-25
1:1
| Estudiant  |
| Estudiant |
15-Mar-25
1:1
| Newells |
| Newells |
03-Aug-24
1:4
| Estudiant |
| Estudiant |
19-Feb-24
2:0
| Newells |
| Newells |
24-Sep-23
0:1
| Estudiant |
| Estudiant |
31-Mar-23
3:0
| Newells |
| Estudiant |
25-Jun-22
0:2
| Newells |
| Newells |
30-Jul-21
4:2
| Estudiant |
| Newells |
12-Dec-20
1:0
| Estudiant |
Recent Matches of Newells| 01 Mar |
Newells
| - |
Rosario C
| - | |
| 25 Feb | L |
Newells
| 0 |
Estudiant
| 2 |
| 21 Feb | L |
Banfield
| 3 |
Newells
| 0 |
| 16 Feb | D |
Dep. Riestra
| 1 |
Newells
| 1 |
| 08 Feb | L |
Newells
| 2 |
Defensa J
| 3 |
| 01 Feb | L |
Boca Juniors
| 2 |
Newells
| 0 |
| 28 Jan | D |
Newells
| 1 |
Independiente
| 1 |
| 24 Jan | L |
Talleres
| 2 |
Newells
| 1 |
| 16 Nov | L |
Newells
| 0 |
Racing Club
| 1 |
| 08 Nov | W |
Huracan
| 0 |
Newells
| 2 |
Recent Matches of Estudiant
| 02 Mar | Estudiant |
- |  Velez S |
- | |
| 25 Feb | W | Newells |
0 | Estudiant |
2 |
| 20 Feb | W | Estudiant |
1 |  Sarmiento |
0 |
| 15 Feb | D |  Gimnasia L.P. |
0 | Estudiant |
0 |
| 09 Feb | W | Estudiant |
1 |  Dep. Riestra |
0 |
| 02 Feb | D |  Defensa J |
0 | Estudiant |
0 |
| 29 Jan | W | Estudiant |
2 |  Boca Juniors |
1 |
| 23 Jan | D |  Independiente |
1 | Estudiant |
1 |
| 20 Jan | W | Estudiant |
4 |  Ituzaingo |
0 |
| 20 Dec | W | Estudiant |
2 |  Platense |
1 |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Estudiantes | 7 | 7-2 | 15 |
| 2 |
Velez | 7 | 8-4 | 15 |
| 3 |
Independiente | 8 | 11-7 | 13 |
| 4 |
San Lorenzo | 8 | 7-5 | 12 |
| 5 |
Platense | 7 | 5-3 | 12 |
| 6 |
Union Santa Fe | 7 | 9-4 | 11 |
| 7 |
Defensa Y | 7 | 6-4 | 11 |
| 8 |
Talleres | 8 | 8-9 | 11 |
| 9 |
Boca Juniors | 7 | 6-5 | 9 |
| 10 |
Lanus | 5 | 8-8 | 8 |
| 11 |
Instituto | 7 | 8-8 | 8 |
| 12 |
Central Cordoba de | 8 | 3-6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Gimnasia M. | 8 | 5-10 | 8 |
| 14 |
Deportivo | 7 | 2-5 | 4 |
| 15 |
Newells Old | 7 | 5-14 | 2 |
