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Newells

€27.88m

21 Mar15:45
1 : 0

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Newells vs Gimnasia M. Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M. prediction and betting guide

Our Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M. prediction starts with the basics: mark your calendars for 2026-03-21 at 20:45 GMT, when these two meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Torneo Apertura). Newell’s host Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza in a game that looks more like a chess match than a fireworks show—great for tactical fans, and sometimes great for bettors too.

Match overview: what to expect from both game plans

Newell’s usually look most comfortable when they can control territory at home, moving the ball patiently and trying to create decent shots rather than rushing. That approach matches the market mood: the home win sits at 2.57, suggesting they are favored, but not by a mile. Gimnasia M., meanwhile, tend to travel with a “keep it tight first” mindset—compact lines, fewer risks, and a willingness to win points the hard way.

That cautious identity showed again on 2026-03-12, when Gimnasia grabbed a 0:0 away draw vs Dep. Riestra despite being priced around 5.2 to win. Newell’s also proved they can beat the script: their 0:2 away win at Huracán on 2025-11-08 came with big pre-match win odds of 5.5. So yes, both teams have recently been good at making oddsmakers sweat.

Key pre-match notes bettors should keep in mind

  • Squad value edge: Newell’s (€27.88m) are notably ahead of Gimnasia M. (€12.68m), which often translates into better depth and more ways to change a match.
  • Likely rhythm: If Newell’s have more of the ball, expect a steady tempo; if Gimnasia settle early, expect long stretches where “nothing happens”… except your under bet looking healthier.
  • Head to head angle: Without leaning too hard on old meetings, this profile hints at a low-margin game where the first goal matters a lot.

AI picks, betting odds, and the smartest angles

Now to the numbers. The 1X2 betting odds are 2.57 (Newell’s), 2.8 (Draw), 3.55 (Gimnasia M.). NerdyTips’ AI leans to the draw (X) at 2.8, but with a low trust score of 2.0/10—so it’s more “interesting value idea” than “build your weekend around it.” Still, it fits the match story: two teams comfortable living in low-scoring territory.

The stronger call is on total goals. The AI’s best tip is under 2.5 goals at 1.41, trust 5.6/10, and it’s also flagged as the best statistical under/over bet. In plain words: this game projects to have a maximum of two goals, and that aligns with the expected match flow.

Projected match stats (and what they mean for bets)

  • Final score pick: 0:0 (half-time: 0:0)
  • Possession: 53% Newell’s vs 47% Gimnasia M.
  • Shots: 11 vs 10, with 3 on target each
  • Corners: 3-3 (total 6)
  • Cards: 2 yellows Newell’s, 1 Gimnasia M.

When both sides are forecast for only 3 shots on target each, it’s hard to imagine a goal fest. That’s why our Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M. prediction keeps circling back to under 2.5 as the practical play, while the draw at 2.8 is the spicy side dish. If you want one clean takeaway: trust the low-score script more than the winner.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Newells vs Gimnasia M.

U2.5 -244

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -244
5/10

1x2 Tip

X 180

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -244

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -161

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -147

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:0

Stats Predictions

0.86
xG
0.59
53%
Ball Possession
47%
11
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.71
Expected Goals
0.62
2.8
Total Goals
1.8
0.6
Goals Scored
0.6
2.2
Goals Against
1.2
42%
Possession
44%
9.9
Total Shots
10.5
3
Shots on Goal
3.5
4.8
Shots off Goal
4.8
14.7
Fouls
11.6
3.2
Corners
3.3
2
Offsides
1.4
2.5
Yellow Cards
1.8
252
Total Passes
313

Overview Last 10 Matches

0
Wins
2
10
Over 1.5 Goals
5
4
Over 2.5 Goals
3
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Newells Old Boys
1 - 0 - 0
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys Newells 21-Mar-26
1:0
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.

Profile time Recent Matches of Newells

26 AprD Newells Newells 1 Instituto C Instituto C 1
18 AprW Union S Union S 2 Newells Newells 3
12 AprD Newells Newells 0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0
06 AprW Central C Central C 1 Newells Newells 3
30 MarL Newells Newells 0 Acassuso Acassuso 2
21 MarW Newells Newells 1 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 0
17 MarL Lanus Lanus 5 Newells Newells 0
11 MarD Newells Newells 1 Platense Platense 1
01 MarL Newells Newells 0 Rosario C Rosario C 2
25 FebL Newells Newells 0 Estudiant Estudiant 2

Profile time Recent Matches Of Gimnasia M.

26 AprLIndepend. R Independ. R 5 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 1
21 AprWGimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 1 Lanus Lanus 0
15 AprDGimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 0 Gimnasia Gimnasia 0
12 AprDPlatense Platense 1 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 1
03 AprWGimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 3 Velez S Velez S 2
21 MarLNewells Newells 1 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 0
18 MarLGimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 1 Estudiant Estudiant 2
12 MarDDep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 0 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 0
28 FebDBoca Juniors Boca Juniors 1 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 1
25 FebDGimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 1 Independiente Independiente 1

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team M G P
1 Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors880-0156
2 River PlateRiver Plate880-0152
3 Velez SarsfieldVelez880-0143
4 Racing ClubRacing Club880-0143
5 Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS880-0142
6 Rosario CentralRosario880-0140
7 Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes880-0133
8 LanusLanus880-0132
9 Talleres CordobaTalleres880-0131
10 IndependienteIndependiente880-0131
11 HuracanHuracan880-0130
12 Independ. RivadaviaIndepend.880-0122
13 Barracas CentralBarracas880-0119
14 Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe880-0119
15 San LorenzoSan Lorenzo880-0118
16 Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y880-0115
17 Deportivo RiestraDeportivo880-0110
18 Belgrano CordobaBelgrano880-0109
19 Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.880-0109
20 PlatensePlatense880-0108
21 TigreTigre880-0107
22 Instituto CordobaInstituto880-0105
23 Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de880-0100
24 Newells Old BoysNewells Old880-096
25 Atletico TucumanAtletico880-095
26 Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.150-016
27 BanfieldBanfield880-091
28 Sarmiento JuninSarmiento880-089
29 AldosiviAldosivi470-040
30 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio150-05
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