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Match Prediction

Nijmegen vs Zwolle Prediction

Finished
Netherlands flag Netherlands

Nijmegen

€34.70m

24 Jan12:45
2 : 1

Zwolle

€22.05m

Preview

Nijmegen vs Zwolle Prediction Eredivisie

Nijmegen vs Zwolle Prediction: Goals Galore Expected in Eredivisie Showdown

If you’re searching for the best Nijmegen vs Zwolle prediction for January 24, 2026, you’ve come to the right place. The Eredivisie’s Friday night curtain-raiser at Stadion de Goffert promises attacking football, tactical intrigue, and—if history is any guide—a fair share of drama. With both teams boasting recent headline-grabbing results and a history of lively head-to-head meetings, this one is a must-watch for football fans and value-seeking punters alike.

Form Guide and Tactical Insights

Let’s start with the hosts. Nijmegen, or NEC for those who don’t want to risk tongue-twisting, have been flying high this season. Perched 4th in the Eredivisie with 32 points from 18 matches, they’ve scored a whopping 47 goals—trailing only the Dutch big hitters PSV and Feyenoord in the scoring charts. Their recent record reads like a dream: unbeaten in eight, seven wins in their last twelve, and a home record that would make most teams jealous. If you’re into numbers, that’s an average of 2.83 goals and over 15 shots per game in their last six outings. Dick Schreuder’s side likes to keep the ball (expect around 65% possession) and attack in waves, with Steven van der Heijden and Sebastiaan van Bakel forming a particularly dangerous duo.

Zwolle, meanwhile, have been living life a little more on the edge. Occupying 11th place with 23 points from 19 matches, their season has been a mix of rebuilding and survival mode. While they stunned AZ Alkmaar 3-1 last time out (at juicy odds of 6.5, no less), their away form has been patchy—just two wins in their last eleven on the road. Under the guidance of Henry van der Vegt, Zwolle will likely stick to their 4-2-3-1, hoping Koen Kostons and the energetic Shola Shoretire can spring a surprise or two on the counter. But with only eight shots and 3.33 on target per game lately, they’ll need to be clinical.

Head to Head: Always Entertaining

The Nijmegen vs Zwolle prediction gets even more interesting when you look at their head to head record. In their last six meetings, draws have been common—but goals are never far behind. Their most recent encounter in Zwolle finished 2-2, with both teams trading blows and neither side dominating possession. Over 26 historic meetings, the record is tight: Nijmegen with 9 wins, Zwolle with 10, and 7 draws. If you like your football with a bit of unpredictability, this fixture rarely disappoints.

Team News and Key Absences

  • NEC Nijmegen: Darko Nejasmic is a doubt after a recent injury, while Freek Entius, Thomas Ouwejan, and Bram Nuytinck remain sidelined. On the bright side, Youssef El Kachati is finally available after a long layoff, and Bryan Linssen returns from suspension.
  • PEC Zwolle: Keeper Jasper Schendelaar is out long-term, so Tom de Graaff continues in goal. Odysseus Velanas and Damian van der Haar are still missing, while Olivier Aertssen is back in the squad. Ryan Thomas and Simon Graves are both one yellow card away from suspension.

Stats That Matter

  • Market value: Nijmegen’s squad is worth €34.70m, Zwolle’s €22.05m.
  • Shots and corners: Expect Nijmegen to rack up 16 shots (6 on target) and 7 corners, while Zwolle will likely manage 6 shots (2 on target) and 1 corner.
  • Discipline: Anticipate 1 yellow for the hosts, 2 for the visitors.

Betting Odds and AI-Driven Predictions

Now for the bit everyone’s here for—the Nijmegen vs Zwolle prediction, straight from our AI. Bookmakers have Nijmegen as the clear favorites (1.45 for a home win), with a draw at 5.0 and a Zwolle win at 6.5. But the real value may lie in the goals market.

  • Our best tip: Over 2.5 total goals (odds 1.45, confidence 8.0/10). These two like to entertain, and with Nijmegen’s attacking stats, three or more goals feels likely.
  • 1X2 prediction: Home win (trust level 5.7/10, odds 1.45). The hosts’ firepower and home form should be enough, but Zwolle’s recent giant-killing suggests they won’t go quietly.
  • Final score prediction: 3-2 to Nijmegen, with a 2-1 lead at halftime.

With Nijmegen expected to dominate possession and chances, but Zwolle’s knack for taking their opportunities, expect a match that keeps you glued to your seat (or nervously checking your bet slip). The head to head history, recent form, and betting odds all point to a high-scoring affair—so over 2.5 goals is our pick of the bunch.

Summary: What to Expect

  1. Goals, goals, and more goals—the stats and the history both support it.
  2. Nijmegen’s attack should prove decisive, but don’t underestimate Zwolle’s ability to hit back.
  3. For betting fans, the over 2.5 market looks the safest (and most entertaining) play.

So there you have it—the NerdyTips publishers’ take on the Nijmegen vs Zwolle prediction. Get your popcorn (and your bets) ready for what should be a Friday night football treat in Nijmegen!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Nijmegen has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Nijmegen vs Zwolle

O2.5 -222

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -222
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -200

Nijmegen is expected to win with odds of -200
5/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -222

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -169

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -357

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
8/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

2:1

Correct Score

3:2

Stats Predictions

2.48
xG
0.91
65%
Ball Possession
35%
16
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
2
7
Corners
1
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.1
Expected Goals
1.14
4
Total Goals
3.9
2.5
Goals Scored
1.5
1.5
Goals Against
2.4
56%
Possession
42%
15.6
Total Shots
8.2
6.7
Shots on Goal
3.4
4.6
Shots off Goal
2.8
11.4
Fouls
11
6
Corners
2.1
2.1
Offsides
2.1
2
Yellow Cards
2.13
427
Total Passes
347

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
4
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
8
Over 2.5 Goals
7
7
Over 3.5 Goals
5
8
Both Teams Scored
8
1
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Nijmegen
6 - 6 - 5
Zwolle
Zwolle Zwolle 25-Oct-25
2:2
Nijmegen Nijmegen
Zwolle Zwolle 11-Jan-25
0:1
Nijmegen Nijmegen
Nijmegen Nijmegen 29-Oct-24
4:3
Zwolle Zwolle
Nijmegen Nijmegen 24-Aug-24
1:0
Zwolle Zwolle
Nijmegen Nijmegen 14-Apr-24
2:2
Zwolle Zwolle
Zwolle Zwolle 09-Dec-23
1:3
Nijmegen Nijmegen
Zwolle Zwolle 05-Feb-22
1:1
Nijmegen Nijmegen
Nijmegen Nijmegen 20-Aug-21
2:0
Zwolle Zwolle
Zwolle Zwolle 19-Dec-17
2:0
Nijmegen Nijmegen
Zwolle Zwolle 10-Feb-17
2:0
Nijmegen Nijmegen

Profile time Recent Matches of Nijmegen

31 Jan AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar.
-
Nijmegen. Nijmegen
24 JanW Nijmegen Nijmegen.
2:1
Zwolle. Zwolle
20 JanW De Treffers De Treffers.
1:2
Nijmegen. Nijmegen
17 JanW NAC Breda NAC Breda.
3:4
Nijmegen. Nijmegen
20 DecD Nijmegen Nijmegen.
2:2
Ajax. Ajax
16 DecW AFC AFC.
1:3
Nijmegen. Nijmegen
13 DecD Telstar Telstar.
2:2
Nijmegen. Nijmegen
07 DecW FC Volendam FC Volendam.
2:3
Nijmegen. Nijmegen
29 NovW Nijmegen Nijmegen.
3:1
S. Rotterdam. S. Rotterdam
23 NovW Feyenoord Feyenoord.
2:4
Nijmegen. Nijmegen

Profile time Recent Matches of Zwolle

24 JanLNijmegen Nijmegen.
2:1
Zwolle.Zwolle
17 JanWZwolle Zwolle.
3:1
AZ Alkmaar.AZ Alkmaar
10 JanDTwente Twente.
1:1
Zwolle.Zwolle
20 DecLExcelsior Excelsior.
2:1
Zwolle.Zwolle
13 DecWZwolle Zwolle.
1:0
Sittard.Sittard
06 DecLFeyenoord Feyenoord.
6:1
Zwolle.Zwolle
03 DecLZwolle Zwolle.
1:3
AZ Alkmaar.AZ Alkmaar
28 NovWZwolle Zwolle.
2:1
Heerenveen.Heerenveen
23 NovDGroningen Groningen.
2:2
Zwolle.Zwolle
08 NovWZwolle Zwolle.
1:0
S. Rotterdam.S. Rotterdam

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven20
61-25
53
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord20
51-29
39
3 Ajax Ajax20
39-26
37
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen19
49-33
35
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar20
35-32
32
6 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta20
25-34
32
7 Groningen Groningen20
28-24
31
8 Twente Twente20
29-22
30
9 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna20
30-34
25
10 Heerenveen Heerenveen19
31-30
24
11 Utrecht Utrecht19
29-26
23
12 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle20
26-42
23
13 Excelsior Excelsior20
20-35
22
14 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead19
30-33
21
15 FC Volendam FC Volendam20
21-35
17
16 Telstar Telstar20
24-33
16
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda20
21-32
15
18 Heracles Heracles20
28-52
14
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