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Match Prediction

Norwich vs Stoke Prediction

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England flag England
Championship

Norwich

€99.00m

4 Jan10:00
0 : 2

Stoke

€66.88m

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Norwich vs Stoke Prediction Championship

Norwich vs Stoke Prediction: Can the Canaries Find Their Voice?

Welcome to our Norwich vs Stoke prediction, where we dive into the story behind this intriguing Championship fixture at Carrow Road on January 4, 2.056. Both teams come into this one with plenty to play for—Norwich are desperate for points to escape the drop zone, while Stoke have their eyes set on the promotion playoffs. With so much at stake, and a rich tactical battle expected, let’s break down what you need to know before placing your bets.

Team Form, Tactics, and Head to Head

Norwich City, sitting 23rd with just 13 points from 19 matches, are in full-on survival mode. Their recent form isn’t disastrous—two wins, two draws, and a single defeat in their last five—but their home record is a real concern: just one win from nine home games. Stoke, meanwhile, are 6th with 30 points, but have hit a rough patch themselves, picking up only one win in their last five.

The head to head stats make for interesting reading. Norwich have dominated recent meetings, winning three and drawing two of the last five. The last encounter saw Norwich bag four goals to Stoke’s two, and it’s worth noting that Stoke boss Mark Robins has never managed to get the better of the Canaries in his managerial career. If history is anything to go by, Norwich fans might just have a reason to be optimistic.

Tactical Insights: Clement vs Robins

Norwich’s new head coach, Philippe Clement, has brought a pragmatic edge since his appointment in November. He’s known for mixing things up—sometimes launching long balls behind high lines, sometimes building patiently from the back. Expect aggressive pressing, quick transitions, and perhaps even a bold 4-2-4 formation if he fancies a gamble. Clement loves his pacey wingers and a strong central striker, and he’s all about structure and discipline, both with and without the ball.

Stoke, under Mark Robins, are a different beast. Robins prioritizes defensive solidity and quick, purposeful counter-attacks. His teams press with intent and look to exploit any gaps left by the opposition. He’s also a master at getting the best out of his squad, even when injuries bite.

Injuries and Key Players

  • Norwich City: The treatment room is packed. Mirko Topic and Ante Crnac are both out long-term with cruciate ligament injuries, while a host of others—Schlupp, Dialló, Forson, Duffy, Forsyth, McLean, Stacey, Gibbs, Mahovo, Córdoba, and Kvistgaarden—are all doubts or ruled out for this one. The good news? Josh Sargent, with 6 goals to his name, is back from a concussion and ready to lead the line.
  • Stoke City: Sam Gallagher is a major doubt with a hamstring issue, but Ben Pearson should be available. Steven Nzonzi and Bosun Lawal are both close to returning, which could give Stoke a timely boost in midfield.

Norwich vs Stoke Prediction: AI Betting Tips and Match Stats

Now, let’s get to the numbers and our Norwich vs Stoke prediction. According to the latest betting odds, Norwich are slight favourites at 2.05 for a home win, with a draw at 3.55 and Stoke at 3.55. Our AI at NerdyTips recommends backing the home team to score (HS) with a trust level of 9.2.050 and odds of 1.21—pretty solid given Norwich’s attacking intent under Clement.

  • Best 1x2 Bet: Norwich to win (1), trust score 8.0, odds 2.05
  • Under/Over Prediction: Under 3.55 total goals, confidence 6.4, odds 1.36
  • Predicted Score: Norwich 2.05 Stoke (1-1 at half-time)
  • Possession: Norwich 53%, Stoke 47%
  • Total Shots: Norwich 14, Stoke 8
  • Shots on Target: Norwich 4, Stoke 3
  • Corners: 6 each (12 total)
  • Yellow Cards: 1 each

With Norwich’s superior head to head record and a slightly higher squad value (€99m vs €66.88m), the numbers back up the feeling that the Canaries might just edge this one. Stoke’s recent struggles and Norwich’s attacking threats—especially with Sargent back—tip the balance in favour of the home side.

Final Thoughts and Betting Advice

So, what’s the best play for your bet slip? Our Norwich vs Stoke prediction is a home win, but with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet and a tight contest expected, the under 3.55 goals market looks attractive too. If you’re feeling bold, a 2.05 correct score bet could offer real value. And if you just want a safe punt, backing Norwich to score seems as close to a banker as you’ll get in this unpredictable league.

In summary, expect a tactical battle, a few nervy moments, and—if the AI is right—a narrow but vital win for Norwich. As always, keep an eye on the team news before kickoff, and may your bets be as successful as a well-timed Sargent header!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Norwich didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Norwich vs Stoke

HS -476

Norwich is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -476
9/10

1x2 Tip

1 105

Norwich is expected to win with odds of 105
8/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -270

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -137

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -185

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.33
xG
0.72
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
2
6
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.25
Expected Goals
0.74
2.8
Total Goals
2.2
1.4
Goals Scored
0.9
1.4
Goals Against
1.3
51%
Possession
55%
13.1
Total Shots
10.1
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.7
4.2
Shots off Goal
3.5
9.7
Fouls
11.8
5.7
Corners
6.6
1.9
Offsides
3
2.1
Yellow Cards
1.8
411
Total Passes
426

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
3
Over 3.5 Goals
1
8
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Norwich
8 - 7 - 4
Stoke
Stoke Stoke 27-Sep-25
1:1
Norwich Norwich
Norwich Norwich 22-Feb-25
4:2
Stoke Stoke
Stoke Stoke 19-Oct-24
1:1
Norwich Norwich
Stoke Stoke 16-Mar-24
0:3
Norwich Norwich
Norwich Norwich 16-Sep-23
1:0
Stoke Stoke
Stoke Stoke 18-Mar-23
0:0
Norwich Norwich
Norwich Norwich 29-Oct-22
3:1
Stoke Stoke
Norwich Norwich 13-Feb-21
4:1
Stoke Stoke
Stoke Stoke 24-Nov-20
2:3
Norwich Norwich
Stoke Stoke 22-Apr-19
2:2
Norwich Norwich

Profile time Recent Matches of Norwich

17 Jan Wrexham Wrexham.
-
Norwich. Norwich
11 JanW Norwich Norwich.
5:1
Walsall. Walsall
04 JanL Norwich Norwich.
0:2
Stoke. Stoke
01 JanW QPR QPR.
1:2
Norwich. Norwich
29 DecL Norwich Norwich.
0:1
Watford. Watford
26 DecW Norwich Norwich.
1:0
Charlton. Charlton
20 DecD Preston Preston.
1:1
Norwich. Norwich
13 DecW Norwich Norwich.
2:1
Southampton. Southampton
09 DecD Sheffield Utd Sheffield Ut.
1:1
Norwich. Norwich
06 DecL Watford Watford.
3:2
Norwich. Norwich

Profile time Recent Matches Of Stoke

17 JanStoke Stoke.
-
QPR.QPR
10 JanWStoke Stoke.
1:0
Coventry.Coventry
04 JanWNorwich Norwich.
0:2
Stoke.Stoke
01 JanWHull Hull.
0:1
Stoke.Stoke
29 DecLStoke Stoke.
1:2
Sheffield Ut.Sheffield Utd
26 DecDStoke Stoke.
0:0
Preston.Preston
20 DecLWatford Watford.
1:0
Stoke.Stoke
13 DecWStoke Stoke.
2:1
Swansea.Swansea
10 DecLIpswich Ipswich.
1:0
Stoke.Stoke
06 DecLSheffield Utd Sheffield Ut.
4:0
Stoke.Stoke

England - Championship England - Championship

Team Matches Goals Points
1 CoventryCoventry 26
57-29
52
2 MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough 26
37-26
46
3 IpswichIpswich 25
42-24
44
4 PrestonPreston 26
36-25
43
5 MillwallMillwall 26
29-33
43
6 WatfordWatford 25
37-29
41
7 Hull CityHull City 25
40-38
41
8 Stoke CityStoke City 26
32-23
40
9 WrexhamWrexham 26
38-32
40
10 Bristol CityBristol City 26
38-29
39
11 QPRQPR 26
38-39
38
12 LeicesterLeicester 26
37-38
37
13 DerbyDerby 26
35-35
35
14 BirminghamBirmingham 26
35-36
34
15 SouthamptonSouthampton 26
38-38
33
16 Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd 25
36-38
32
17 SwanseaSwansea 26
27-33
32
18 West BromWest Brom 26
29-35
31
19 CharltonCharlton 25
25-32
29
20 BlackburnBlackburn 25
24-30
28
21 PortsmouthPortsmouth 24
21-35
25
22 NorwichNorwich 26
28-39
24
23 Oxford UnitedOxford United 25
25-35
22
24 Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wedn 25
18-51
-7
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