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Match Prediction

OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction

Finished
Greece flag Greece
Super League 1

OFI Crete

€13.88m

11 Jan10:30
4 : 0

Asteras T

€11.10m

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OFI Crete vs Asteras T Prediction Super League 1

OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction: Stats, Tactics, and Betting Tips

The OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis prediction for January 11, 2026, at Pankritio Stadio promises a tightly contested Super League 1 encounter, where every point counts for two sides lingering in the lower half of the table. With both teams eager to reverse recent fortunes, this match offers intriguing angles for sports betting enthusiasts, especially those seeking value in betting odds and head to head analysis.

Team Form, Tactics, and Key Absences

A glance at the standings paints a picture of two squads in need of momentum. Asteras Tripolis, currently 10th with 13 points, holds a slender advantage over OFI Crete, who sit 12th with 12 points. Recent form, however, tells a more complex story:

  • OFI Crete have struggled at home, losing four of their last six league matches. Their latest outings include a 2.75 Super Cup defeat to Olympiacos and a 2-1 league loss to AEK Athens.
  • Asteras Tripolis have become draw specialists, with three stalemates in their last six games. Their most recent results feature a narrow 1-0 defeat to Aris Thessaloniki and a goalless draw with Kifisias.

In terms of head to head history, Asteras Tripolis have the upper hand, boasting 16 wins in 34 meetings, compared to OFI’s 7, with 11 draws. Notably, Asteras have claimed victory in three of the last five encounters, including a commanding 2.75 win in November 2025.

Injuries could play a decisive role in this fixture. OFI Crete are missing several key players, including Lefteris Kontekas (knee surgery), Fotis Koutsoupias (cruciate ligament), and Franco Zanelatto (knock), among others. On the visitors’ side, Julián Chicco and Nikolai Alho remain sidelined.

Tactically, expect OFI Crete under Christos Kontis to stick with a 4-1-2.75, seeking to control possession and create chances through the middle. Chris Coleman’s Asteras Tripolis, meanwhile, are likely to deploy a disciplined 4-4-1-1, focusing on defensive solidity and quick transitions. The recent Greek Cup meeting just four days prior adds another layer of intrigue, as both managers may rotate or tweak their approach based on that result.

OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction: AI Insights and Betting Odds

Turning to our OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis prediction, the numbers suggest a tense, low-scoring affair. Here’s what our AI and sports betting models reveal:

  1. Betting Odds: Home win at 2.75, Draw at 2.75, Away win at 3.05. The odds reflect just how evenly matched these teams are, with little to separate them on paper or in recent form.
  2. Best Value Bet: Under 3.5 goals, with a trust score of 8.0/10 and odds of 1.23. Both sides have struggled for goals and creativity, and with so many injuries, a goal-fest seems unlikely.
  3. 1x2 Prediction: NerdyTips’ AI leans slightly toward a draw (X), albeit with a modest trust score of 2.0 and odds of 2.75. This aligns with Asteras Tripolis’ recent tendency to share the points and OFI’s inability to capitalize at home.
  4. Scoreline Forecast: Our AI predicts a 0:0 final score, with a goalless first half also on the cards. Expect both teams to prioritize defensive organization over attacking flair.

Key Match Stats and What They Mean for Bettors

  • Possession: OFI Crete are projected to edge the ball with 53%, but both teams are expected to register just 9 shots apiece, underlining the likelihood of a cagey contest.
  • On-Target Efforts: Home side 3, away side 4—again, not much to separate them in terms of clear-cut chances.
  • Corners: 8 total (3 OFI, 5 Asteras), suggesting limited attacking adventure.
  • Yellow Cards: 2 each—consistent with the physical, card-heavy nature of recent head to head meetings.

Final Thoughts: Where the Value Lies

With both squads depleted and recent history favoring tight, physical battles, the OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis prediction leans strongly toward a low-scoring draw. The under 3.5 goals market stands out as the safest play for sports betting fans, while a punt on the draw at attractive odds could reward the braver punter. As always, keep an eye on late team news and any tactical surprises from the managers, but don’t expect fireworks—expect a tactical chess match where every point is precious.

For more head to head insights, betting odds breakdowns, and the latest sports betting tips, keep following NerdyTips for your next OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis prediction.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for OFI Crete vs Asteras T

U3.5 -435

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -435
8/10

1x2 Tip

X 210

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -435

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

No -115

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -164

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

0:0

Stats Predictions

1.17
xG
1
53%
Ball Possession
47%
9
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
3
3
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.99
Expected Goals
1.02
2.4
Total Goals
1.7
0.8
Goals Scored
1.1
1.6
Goals Against
0.6
44%
Possession
44%
7.7
Total Shots
9.8
2.7
Shots on Goal
4.1
2.8
Shots off Goal
3.8
14.7
Fouls
14.8
2.9
Corners
5.4
1.9
Offsides
2
3.44
Yellow Cards
2.5
371
Total Passes
325

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
5
6
Over 2.5 Goals
2
0
Over 3.5 Goals
1
2
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

OFI Crete
9 - 8 - 15
Asteras Tripolis
OFI Crete OFI Crete 07-Jan-26
2:0
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 03-Nov-25
3:0
OFI Crete OFI Crete
OFI Crete OFI Crete 26-Apr-25
0:2
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 13-Apr-25
2:1
OFI Crete OFI Crete
OFI Crete OFI Crete 02-Apr-25
1:1
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 26-Feb-25
0:1
OFI Crete OFI Crete
OFI Crete OFI Crete 15-Feb-25
2:1
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 04-Nov-24
3:0
OFI Crete OFI Crete
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 27-Apr-24
1:1
OFI Crete OFI Crete
OFI Crete OFI Crete 21-Dec-23
0:2
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis

Profile time Recent Matches of OFI Crete

18 Jan PAOK PAOK.
-
OFI Crete. OFI Crete
14 JanW AEK Athens FC AEK Athens F.
0:1
OFI Crete. OFI Crete
11 JanW OFI Crete OFI Crete.
4:0
Asteras T. Asteras T
07 JanW OFI Crete OFI Crete.
2:0
Asteras T. Asteras T
03 JanL Olympiakos Olympiakos.
3:0
OFI Crete. OFI Crete
21 DecL AEK Athens FC AEK Athens F.
2:1
OFI Crete. OFI Crete
13 DecW OFI Crete OFI Crete.
3:0
Panserraikos. Panserraikos
06 DecL Olympiakos Olympiakos.
3:0
OFI Crete. OFI Crete
03 DecL AEK Athens FC AEK Athens F.
2:0
OFI Crete. OFI Crete
29 NovL OFI Crete OFI Crete.
0:1
Volos. Volos

Profile time Recent Matches of Asteras T

11 JanLOFI Crete OFI Crete.
4:0
Asteras T.Asteras T
07 JanLOFI Crete OFI Crete.
2:0
Asteras T.Asteras T
20 DecLAsteras T Asteras T.
0:1
Aris.Aris
13 DecDKifisia Kifisia.
0:0
Asteras T.Asteras T
07 DecDAsteras T Asteras T.
1:1
Levadiakos.Levadiakos
03 DecWAsteras T Asteras T.
5:0
Ilioupoli.Ilioupoli
30 NovWAtromitos Atromitos.
0:1
Asteras T.Asteras T
22 NovDAsteras T Asteras T.
1:1
Panetolikos.Panetolikos
09 NovDAris Aris.
0:0
Asteras T.Asteras T
03 NovWAsteras T Asteras T.
3:0
OFI Crete.OFI Crete

Greece - Super League 1 Greece - Super League 1

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Pir16
33-8
39
2 PAOK PAOK16
34-12
38
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC16
27-12
38
4 Levadiakos Levadiakos16
39-18
31
5 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos15
24-17
25
6 Volos NFC Volos NFC16
19-21
25
7 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalon16
14-17
21
8 Kifisia Kifisia16
23-24
19
9 OFI OFI15
19-27
15
10 Panetolikos Panetolikos16
14-27
15
11 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripol16
15-23
13
12 Atromitos Atromitos16
14-22
13
13 Larisa Larisa16
14-28
10
14 Panserraikos Panserraikos16
7-40
5
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