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Match Prediction

PAOK vs OFI Crete Prediction

Finished

PAOK

€89.25m

18 Jan13:00
3 : 0

OFI Crete

€13.88m

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PAOK vs OFI Crete Prediction Super League 1

PAOK vs OFI Crete Prediction: Form, Tactics, and Smart Betting Tips

The upcoming Super League 1 fixture at Toumba Stadium brings us another exciting chapter in Greek football: the highly anticipated PAOK vs OFI Crete prediction. As Sunday, January 18, 2026, approaches, fans and punters alike are eager to see if the home side will continue their strong run or if the visitors can pull off another surprise. Let’s dive into the details, tactics, and what our stats and AI suggest for this intriguing Round 17 encounter.

Head to Head, Standings, and Recent Form

PAOK and OFI Crete are no strangers to each other. In 47 direct matches, PAOK has claimed victory 29 times, while OFI has managed just 7 wins—leaving 11 games as draws. The last time these teams met, PAOK edged out a 2-1 win, further cementing their dominance in this head to head rivalry. Heading into this match, PAOK sits comfortably in 2nd place, while OFI Crete finds themselves in 10th, looking to climb the table.

  • PAOK’s recent form: 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in their last 6 games across all competitions.
  • OFI Crete’s recent form: 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses in their last 6 outings.

PAOK’s home advantage is hard to ignore, especially at the ever-lively Toumba Stadium. Their attack has averaged 2.03 goals per match this season, while their defense remains solid. OFI, on the other hand, has shown flashes of brilliance—like their recent 1-0 away win over AEK Athens at odds of 14.0—but consistency has eluded them.

Team News, Injuries, and Tactics

Injuries are part and parcel of football, and both squads are feeling the pinch. PAOK will miss their first-choice keeper Jiri Pavlenka (rib), as well as key figures like Dejan Lovren and Luka Ivanušec. OFI Crete’s defense is also weakened, with centre-back Lefteris Kontekas out following knee surgery, and attacking options hampered by Fotis Koutsoupias’ ligament injury and suspensions.

Tactically, PAOK—under the experienced Răzvan Lucescu—will likely stick to their possession-based game, controlling the tempo and pushing forward through the wings. Expect OFI to play more cautiously, hoping to exploit any gaps on the counter. The expected possession split says it all: 67% for PAOK, just 33% for OFI.

PAOK vs OFI Crete Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Betting Tips

Now, let’s get down to the numbers and see what our PAOK vs OFI Crete prediction model is telling us. The betting odds paint a clear picture:

  • Home win: 1.22
  • Draw: 7.5
  • Away win: 17.5

Our AI-powered analysis gives the home win a whopping confidence rating of 7.5, making PAOK the overwhelming favorite. The expected final score? A solid 3:0 for the hosts, with a 2:0 advantage likely by half-time.

If you’re looking for a value bet, the over 2.5 total goals market stands out. Both teams have seen plenty of high-scoring games this season—67.55% of PAOK’s home matches and 66.67% of OFI’s away fixtures have had at least three goals. Our best tip (with a trust rating of 2.7/10, so maybe don’t bet the house) is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.45.

  1. Expect PAOK to dominate possession and rack up the shots—19 attempts to OFI’s 6, with 7 on target for the home side.
  2. Corner count should favor PAOK (7-2), and tempers might flare—just 1 yellow card expected for PAOK, but 4 for OFI.
  3. Squad value speaks volumes: PAOK at €89.25m, OFI at €13.88m. Quality often tells over 90 minutes.

Final Thoughts: What to Watch For

In summary, all signs point to a comfortable home win for PAOK in this PAOK vs OFI Crete prediction. OFI have shown they can spring a surprise, but the odds—and the stats—are stacked against them. For punters, over 2.5 goals is a tempting option, but the safest bet remains backing the home side. Whatever happens, expect plenty of action, passionate fans, and maybe a goal or two to remember!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

PAOK has upcoming match in Europe

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for PAOK vs OFI Crete

O2.5 -222

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -222
2/10

1x2 Tip

1 -455

PAOK is expected to win with odds of -455
10/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -222

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -133

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1&O2.5 -164

Home win and over 2.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:0

Stats Predictions

2.39
xG
0.92
67%
Ball Possession
33%
19
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots Off Goal
2
7
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
4

Average / Match

2.09
Expected Goals
1.29
3.3
Total Goals
2.5
2.2
Goals Scored
1.3
1.1
Goals Against
1.2
60%
Possession
45%
16.3
Total Shots
9.3
6.5
Shots on Goal
3.7
6.3
Shots off Goal
3.7
13.4
Fouls
15.1
6.4
Corners
3.7
1.5
Offsides
1.9
1.71
Yellow Cards
3.57
492
Total Passes
384

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
5
10
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
4
Over 3.5 Goals
1
6
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
1
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

PAOK
18 - 6 - 3
OFI Crete
OFI Crete OFI Crete 14-Sep-25
1:2
PAOK PAOK
OFI Crete OFI Crete 08-Feb-25
0:5
PAOK PAOK
PAOK PAOK 27-Oct-24
1:2
OFI Crete OFI Crete
PAOK PAOK 03-Jan-24
4:0
OFI Crete OFI Crete
OFI Crete OFI Crete 03-Sep-23
1:0
PAOK PAOK
PAOK PAOK 14-Jan-23
0:0
OFI Crete OFI Crete
OFI Crete OFI Crete 18-Sep-22
1:1
PAOK PAOK
PAOK PAOK 15-Jan-22
3:0
OFI Crete OFI Crete
OFI Crete OFI Crete 03-Oct-21
1:3
PAOK PAOK
OFI Crete OFI Crete 17-Jan-21
0:3
PAOK PAOK

Profile time Recent Matches of PAOK

15 MarW PAOK PAOK 3 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0
08 MarD Olympiakos Olympiakos 0 PAOK PAOK 0
04 MarW Kifisia Kifisia 1 PAOK PAOK 4
01 MarW PAOK PAOK 2 Asteras T Asteras T 0
26 FebL Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 PAOK PAOK 0
22 FebD AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 1 PAOK PAOK 1
19 FebL PAOK PAOK 1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2
15 FebD PAOK PAOK 0 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 0
11 FebW PAOK PAOK 2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0
08 FebD Aris Aris 0 PAOK PAOK 0

Profile time Recent Matches of OFI Crete

14 MarLOFI Crete OFI Crete 0 Olympiakos Olympiakos 3
08 MarDVolos Volos 1 OFI Crete OFI Crete 1
04 MarLPanathinaikos Panathinaikos 4 OFI Crete OFI Crete 1
28 FebWOFI Crete OFI Crete 3 AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 0
22 FebLOFI Crete OFI Crete 0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2
15 FebDKifisia Kifisia 2 OFI Crete OFI Crete 2
11 FebWLevadiakos Levadiakos 0 OFI Crete OFI Crete 1
08 FebWOFI Crete OFI Crete 3 Levadiakos Levadiakos 2
04 FebDOFI Crete OFI Crete 1 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1
31 JanWAtromitos Atromitos 1 OFI Crete OFI Crete 2

Greece - Super League 1 Greece - Super League 1

Team Matches Goals Points
1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC24
44-15
56
2 PAOK PAOK24
48-15
54
3 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos24
42-11
54
4 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos24
42-25
45
5 Levadiakos Levadiakos24
50-34
39
6 OFI OFI24
32-42
29
7 Aris Thessalonikis Aris24
20-25
29
8 Atromitos Atromitos24
24-27
28
9 Volos NFC Volos NFC24
24-35
28
10 Panetolikos Panetolikos24
24-38
24
11 Kifisia Kifisia24
30-39
24
12 Larisa Larisa24
21-38
21
13 Asteras Tripolis Asteras24
20-38
16
14 Panserraikos Panserraikos24
16-55
15
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